When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
17 games · 2024 · New York Giants · pick one to list those games
35% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 12% of games.
All 17 games
2024 · New York Giants · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 18 |
PHI -2.5 | 35.5 | 7101333 | U | PHI Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 17 |
IND -7.5 | 40.5 | 10344878 | Q3 | NYG Q1 | 33–45 |
2024 · Week 16 |
ATL -9.5 | 43.5 | 0243841 | U | ATL Q2 | 7–34 |
2024 · Week 15 |
BAL -16.5 | 43.5 | 7283549 | Q4 | BAL Q3 | 35–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
NO -5.5 | 41.5 | 7101725 | U | NYG Q4 Late cover flip |
14–11 |
2024 · Week 13 |
DAL -4.5 | 39.5 | 10233747 | Q4 | DAL Q3 | 20–27 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TB -6.5 | 40.5 | 7233037 | U | TB Q1 | 30–7 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NYG -6.5 | 40.5 | 710243437 | U | CAR Q1 | 17–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WSH -3.5 | 42.5 | 7283449 | Q4 | WSH Q1 Late over |
27–22 |
2024 · Week 8 |
PIT -6.5 | 37.5 | 9182544 | Q4 | PIT Q3 | 18–26 |
2024 · Week 7 |
PHI -3.5 | 42.5 | 0172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 28–3 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CIN -4.5 | 45.5 | 771724 | U | CIN Q4 Late cover flip |
17–7 |
2024 · Week 5 |
SEA -7.5 | 41.5 | 7203349 | Q4 | NYG Q1 Late over |
29–20 |
2024 · Week 4 |
DAL -5.5 | 44.5 | 10232935 | U | NYG Q1 | 20–15 |
2024 · Week 3 |
CLE -6.5 | 37.5 | 14282836 | U | NYG Q1 | 21–15 |
2024 · Week 2 |
WSH -1.5 | 42.5 | 9212739 | U | WSH Q3 Late cover flip |
18–21 |
2024 · Week 1 |
NYG -2.5 | 40.5 | 10173434 | U | MIN Q1 | 28–6 |
NYG
PHI
IND
ATL
BAL
NO
DAL
TB
CAR
WSH
PIT
CIN
SEA
CLE
MINWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 9
Q2 12% 2
Q3 24% 4
Q4 12% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 93% and covered 80% of 15 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 88% of 17 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 8–10 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.