When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
16 games · 2024 · Texas · pick one to list those games
38% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 17% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
All 16 games
2024 · Texas · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -5.5 | 51.5 | 7212842 | U | OSU Q4 | 28–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 52.5 | 1720254870 | OT | ASU Q3 Late over |
39–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 49.5 | 14384862 | Q4 | TEX Q2 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TEX -2.5 | 50.5 | 39193241 | U | UGA Q3 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TEX -4.5 | 49.5 | 7172424 | U | TEX Q1 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TEX -18.5 | 46.5 | 7313845 | U | UK Q1 | 14–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TEX -13.5 | 56.5 | 7102030 | U | ARK Q1 | 20–10 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TEX -24.5 | 48.5 | 14355266 | Q3 | TEX Q2 | 17–49 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TEX -16.5 | 51.5 | 21314151 | U | VAN Q1 | 27–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
TEX -4.5 | 56.5 | 7233845 | U | UGA Q1 | 30–15 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TEX -16.5 | 48.5 | 3242737 | U | TEX Q2 | 34–3 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TEX -38.5 | 58.5 | 7202748 | U | MSST Q1 | 13–35 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TEX -41.5 | 53.5 | 21314054 | Q4 | TEX Q4 | 3–51 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TEX -36.5 | 56.5 | 14354963 | Q4 | TEX Q4 Late over |
7–56 |
2024 · Week 2 |
TEX -6.5 | 41.5 | 7273743 | Q4 | TEX Q1 Late over |
31–12 |
2024 · Week 1 |
TEX -34.5 | 62.5 | 7314552 | U | TEX Q3 | 0–52 |
OSU
TEX
ASU
CLEM
UGA
TA&M
UK
ARK
FLA
VAN
OU
MSST
ULM
UTSA
MICH
CSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 44% 7
Q2 19% 3
Q3 19% 3
Q4 19% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 94% and covered 63% of 16 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 67% of 15 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 7 | 14% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.