When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
16 games · 2024 · Ohio State · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 38% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 13% of games.
All 16 games
2024 · Ohio State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -8.5 | 44.5 | 7284657 | Q3 | OSU Q2 | 34–23 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -5.5 | 51.5 | 7212842 | U | OSU Q4 | 28–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 14425662 | Q3 | OSU Q1 | 41–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 21314559 | Q4 | OSU Q1 | 17–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
OSU -20.5 | 41.5 | 3202023 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–10 |
2024 · Week 13 |
OSU -10.5 | 51.5 | 7213553 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
15–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
OSU -29.5 | 44.5 | 0283838 | U | NU Q1 | 31–7 |
2024 · Week 11 |
OSU -37.5 | 55.5 | 7213845 | U | OSU Q3 | 0–45 |
2024 · Week 10 |
OSU -3.5 | 47.5 | 17243033 | U | OSU Q2 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 9 |
OSU -25.5 | 48.5 | 7202338 | U | NEB Q1 | 17–21 |
2024 · Week 7 |
OSU -3.5 | 54.5 | 13435063 | Q4 | ORE Q4 Lead lost |
31–32 |
2024 · Week 6 |
OSU -17.5 | 45.5 | 772842 | U | OSU Q3 | 7–35 |
2024 · Week 5 |
OSU -23.5 | 47.5 | 3314545 | U | OSU Q3 | 38–7 |
2024 · Week 4 |
OSU -38.5 | 55.5 | 14425663 | Q3 | MRSH Q1 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 2 |
OSU -37.5 | 54.5 | 21354956 | Q4 | OSU Q3 | 0–56 |
2024 · Week 1 |
OSU -48.5 | 55.5 | 10204458 | Q4 | AKR Q1 Late over |
6–52 |
OSU
ND
TEX
ORE
TENN
MICH
IU
NU
PUR
PSU
NEB
IOWA
MSU
MRSH
WMU
AKRWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 44% 7
Q2 13% 2
Q3 31% 5
Q4 13% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 73% of 15 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 93% and covered 64% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.