Air Force vs Sam Houston: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sat, Sep 9, 2023, 8:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · Neutral site

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Air Force

1-0 · Power #52

▲ winner

Final

Sam Houston

0-1 · Power #114

final

Closing spread

AFA -13.5

✓ SHSU W

Total

36.5

▼ Under · 16 pts

Model before kickoff

AFA 26–14 SHSU

✓ AFA (82%) won

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

CloseAFA -13.5

Total36.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
AFA L	0-1	0%	—	0-1
SHSU W	1-0	100%	—	1-0

Venue/role: AFA neutral, as favorite; SHSU neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
AFA U	0-1	0%	1-0
SHSU –	0-0	—	0-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
AFAlast 1	1-0 100%	0-1 0%	0-1 0%
SHSUlast 1	0-1 0%	1-0 100%	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 135 FBS teams

AFA

Longer bar = better

SHSU

#11

Offense

◀ AFA better

#133

Defense

◀ AFA better

#20

+1.0 #26

Turnovers

◀ AFA better

−3.0 #135

59 plays #122

Pace

Even

57 plays #128

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When AFA has the ball

Even matchup

	AFA off	SHSU def	Edge
Points / game	42.0 #24	14.0 #30	Even
Yards / play	7.95 #9	3.84 #10	Even
PPA / play	+0.70 #1	−0.08 #31	AFA
Success rate	56% #11	26% #8	Even

When SHSU has the ball

Advantage: AFA defense

	SHSU off	AFA def	Edge
Points / game	0.0 #135	7.0 #7	AFA
Yards / play	3.25 #135	3.12 #2	AFA
PPA / play	−0.23 #131	−0.28 #4	AFA
Success rate	32% #130	21% #3	AFA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; PPA from CollegeFootballData (garbage time excluded). Descriptive only: the model already uses these.