Missouri Valley ConferencePower #17617-15 SU19-13 ATS17-15 O/U
Valparaiso went 17-15 straight up, 19-13 against the spread (59% covers, average cover margin +2.8 points), 17-15 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 6-6 ATS as a favorite and 13-7 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):WWU·WWU·LLO·WLU·LLO
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which VAL beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
−2.5
EIU−15.5
@UK+2.5
NICH+11.5
BRY+17.5
@CLE−17.5
USI+24.5
WMU+14.5
@MARQ+1.5
UNCW−1.5
@NU−0.5
MUR−1.5
@UNI+2.5
@SIU+4.5
UIC+12.5
ILST−0.5@MUR+7.5
@BEL+11.5UNI+4.5SIU+4.5BEL+6.5
@INST+0.5
@BRAD−1.5
EVAN+8.5
@DRKE−13.5@ILST−3.5INST+9.5BRAD+11.5@UIC+0.5DRKE−6.5@EVAN−1.5INST−0.5BRAD
EIU−15.5@UK+2.5NICH+11.5BRY+17.5@CLE−17.5USI+24.5WMU+14.5@MARQ+1.5UNCW−1.5@NU−0.5MUR−1.5@UNI+2.5@SIU+4.5UIC+12.5ILST−0.5@MUR+7.5@BEL+11.5UNI+4.5SIU+4.5BEL+6.5@INST+0.5@BRAD−1.5EVAN+8.5@DRKE−13.5@ILST−3.5INST+9.5BRAD+11.5@UIC+0.5DRKE−6.5@EVAN−1.5INST−0.5BRADcovered 19didn’t cover 13avg +2.8 ptstaller = bigger margin
−15.5EIU+8.5@UK−13.5NICH−25.5BRY+6.5@CLE−30.5USI−7.5WMU+0.5@MARQ+6.5UNCW+10.5@NU+8.5MUR−25.5@UNI−0.5@SIU−19.5UIC+9.5ILST+18.5@MUR+5.5@BEL−32.5UNI−10.5SIU+9.5BEL+2.5@INST−7.5@BRAD−3.5EVAN+12.5@DRKE+11.5@ILST+5.5INST+8.5BRAD−0.5@UIC−1.5DRKE+21.5@EVAN−15.5INST+34.5BRAD
EIU+8.5@UK−13.5NICH−25.5BRY+6.5@CLE−30.5USI−7.5WMU+0.5@MARQ+6.5UNCW+10.5@NU+8.5MUR−25.5@UNI−0.5@SIU−19.5UIC+9.5ILST+18.5@MUR+5.5@BEL−32.5UNI−10.5SIU+9.5BEL+2.5@INST−7.5@BRAD−3.5EVAN+12.5@DRKE+11.5@ILST+5.5INST+8.5BRAD−0.5@UIC−1.5DRKE+21.5@EVAN−15.5INST+34.5BRADover 17under 15avg −0.9 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
17-15
53% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers
Avg cover margin
+2.8
points vs the line
Over / Under
17-15
53% overs
Points for / against
71.2 / 71.9
per game
Valparaiso 2025-26 team stats
32 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game71.2 #263
Points per possession1.06 #233
Pace (possessions)67.4 #258
Shooting
Effective FG%47.6 #322
3-point %33.9 #180
3-point attempt rate36.8 #234
Free throw rate39.1 #79
Possessions
Turnover rate15.7 #116
Offensive rebound rate32.5 #110
Assists per game11.7 #307
Defense
Points allowed71.9 #103
Points allowed per possession1.06 #116
Opponent effective FG%50.5 #130
Opponent 3-point %32.1 #70
Turnovers forced16.9 #161
Defensive rebound rate69.9 #167
Steals per game5.9 #245
Blocks per game3.6 #124
Valparaiso 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
32 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | E Illinois non-conf | -5.5 | 144.5 | W 66-63 | L -2.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ #9Kentucky non-conf | +32.5 | 157.5 | L 59-107 | L -15.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | Nicholls non-conf | -2.5 | 144.5 | W 68-63 | W +2.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | Bryant non-conf | -6.5 | 143.5 | W 68-50 | W +11.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ Cleveland St non-conf | +2.5 | 158.5 | W 90-75 | W +17.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles non-conf | -9.5 | 150.5 | L 56-64 | L -17.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | W Michigan non-conf | -4.5 | 146.5 | W 84-55 | W +24.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ Marquette non-conf | +17.5 | 146.5 | L 72-75 | W +14.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | UNC Wilmington non-conf | +4.5 | 136.5 | L 70-73 | W +1.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ Northwestern non-conf | +14.5 | 145.5 | L 70-86 | L -1.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | Murray St | +5.5 | 155.5 | L 79-85 | L -0.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ Northern Iowa | +8.5 | 131.5 | L 48-58 | L -1.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ S Illinois | +7.5 | 145.5 | L 70-75 | W +2.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | UIC | -2.5 | 144.5 | W 66-59 | W +4.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | Illinois St | +6.5 | 138.5 | W 77-71 | W +12.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ Murray St | +12.5 | 152.5 | L 79-92 | L -0.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ Belmont | +11.5 | 146.5 | L 74-78 | W +7.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | Northern Iowa | +1.5 | 130.5 | W 54-44 | W +11.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | S Illinois | -1.5 | 142.5 | W 69-63 | W +4.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | Belmont | +5.5 | 145.5 | L 77-78 | W +4.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | @ Indiana St | +2.5 | 145.5 | W 76-72 | W +6.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 3 | @ Bradley | +7.5 | 144.5 | L 65-72 | W +0.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 6 | Evansville | -8.5 | 136.5 | W 70-63 | L -1.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | @ Drake | +3.5 | 144.5 | W 81-76 | W +8.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | @ Illinois St | +8.5 | 138.5 | L 64-86 | L -13.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | Indiana St | -4.5 | 145.5 | W 76-75 | L -3.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 18 | Bradley | +2.5 | 142.5 | W 79-72 | W +9.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | @ UIC | +7.5 | 138.5 | W 71-67 | W +11.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | Drake | -2.5 | 146.5 | W 74-71 | W +0.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 28 | @ Evansville | -5.5 | 137.5 | L 79-80 | L -6.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St (N) | -2.5 | 140.5 | W 63-62 | L -1.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 6 | Bradley (N) | +5.5 | 139.5 | L 84-90 | L -0.5 | O 174 |
Valparaiso 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 17-15 | 19-13 | 59% | +2.8 | 17-15 | 71.2 | 71.9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-5 | 69% | +3.9 | 6-10 | 70.8 | 65.6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-6 | 57% | +2.1 | 10-4 | 71.3 | 78.5 |
| Neutral site | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0% | -1.0 | 1-1 | 73.5 | 76.0 |
| As favorite | 10-2 | 6-6 | 50% | +1.3 | 2-10 | 69.9 | 64.0 |
| As underdog | 7-13 | 13-7 | 65% | +3.8 | 15-5 | 72.0 | 76.6 |
| In conference | 12-10 | 13-9 | 59% | +2.5 | 12-10 | 71.6 | 72.2 |
| Non-conference | 5-5 | 6-4 | 60% | +3.5 | 5-5 | 70.3 | 71.1 |
How Valparaiso’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime14 games · won 10 · covered 9
Trailed at halftime14 games · won 6 · covered 9
Tied at halftime4 games · won 1 · covered 1