Viejas Arena · at San Diego St
LineNo line yet
Total—
 MTST | This season | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SDSU 80–67 · win probability SDSU 86%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SDSU has more of the edges
MTST 1, SDSU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
MTST has played the 278th-hardest schedule, SDSU the 80th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MTSTBigWho is back
Minutes back from last season: MTST 89%, SDSU 20%. Transfers in: MTST 2, SDSU 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SDSUBigMTST offense vs SDSU defense
Offense 190th of 366 against a defense 70th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: MTST plays 67.9 a game (233rd fastest), SDSU 70.6 (89th). Faster games mean more points
SDSUSmallSDSU offense vs MTST defense
Offense 86th of 366 against a defense 155th, on the model’s ratings
SDSUSmallShooting
Effective FG%: MTST 53.6 and allows 51.6; SDSU 52.7 and allows 48.2
SDSUSmallHome court
SDSU at home. This season: SDSU 0-0 at home, MTST 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MTST 27.0%, SDSU 29.5%. Defensive: MTST 71.8%, SDSU 68.9%
Even
Three-pointers
MTST hits 36.1% and allows 34.3%; SDSU hits 34.5% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 44.6% and 33.8% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MTST 14.8%, SDSU 17.2%. Forced: MTST 15.6%, SDSU 20.2%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MTST 30.2, SDSU 39.0. Allowed: MTST 29.6, SDSU 38.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | SDSU -12.4 | — |
| Total | — | 146.9 | — |
| Projected score | — | MTST 67.3 · SDSU 79.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SDSU -7.3 | — |
| 1H total | 68.7 | — |
| 1H projected score | MTST 30.7 · SDSU 38 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| SDSU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Next 3 games
With how the last meeting with each opponent went
Montana StNo more games listed yet.
San Diego StNo more games listed yet.
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs NAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @ EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @ IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs MONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 22 | vs IDST | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs WEB | W 91-88 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @ SAC | L 80-83 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ PRST | L 54-63 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | vsIDHO | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsEWU | L 71-72 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | @MONT | W 82-71 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | @WEB | L 79-82 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | @IDST | L 76-91 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | vsPRST | W 84-69 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 28 | vsSAC | W 82-61 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 2 | @NAU | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 8 | vsIDHO | L 74-78 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
+6.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
−3.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
−7.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−4.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
+4.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−6.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+13.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
−1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTL 76-91
−16.5
26
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-69
+12.5
28
vsSAC
SACW 82-61
+14.5
2
@NAU
NAUW 76-65
+5.5
8
vsIDHO
IDHOL 74-78
−2.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
−8.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
+31.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
+9.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−21.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
−8.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−5.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+7.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
+12.5
21
@IDST
IDSTL 76-91
+22.5
26
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-69
+12.5
28
vsSAC
SACW 82-61
−15.5
2
@NAU
NAUW 76-65
−1.5
8
vsIDHO
IDHOL 74-78
+8.5
over 16under 13avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
15-17
47% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-17
47% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vsLBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vsIDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs AF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vsBOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @ NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs FRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @ GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vs CSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @USU | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsWYO | W 72-63 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | @AF | W 88-54 | -22.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vsNEV | W 71-57 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | vsGCU | L 63-73 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | @CSU | L 74-83 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | vsUSU | W 89-72 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | @UNM | L 76-81 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 3 | @BOIS | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 6 | vsUNLV | W 89-86 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 12 | vsCSU | W 71-62 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 13 | vsUNM | W 64-62 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Mar 14 | vsUSU | L 62-73 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
+1.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−3.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
+6.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−17.5
21
@CSU
CSUL 74-83
−12.5
25
vsUSU
USUW 89-72
+18.5
28
@UNM
UNML 76-81
−3.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 77-86
−7.5
6
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-86
−6.5
12
vsCSU
CSUW 71-62
+2.5
13
vsUNM
UNMW 64-62
−0.5
14
vsUSU
USUL 62-73
−8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
31
@USU
USUL 66-71
−10.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 72-63
−6.5
7
@AF
AFW 88-54
+2.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-57
−11.5
17
vsGCU
GCUL 63-73
−3.5
21
@CSU
CSUL 74-83
+17.5
25
vsUSU
USUW 89-72
+14.5
28
@UNM
UNML 76-81
+6.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 77-86
+19.5
6
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-86
+21.5
12
vsCSU
CSUW 71-62
−9.5
13
vsUNM
UNMW 64-62
−24.5
14
vsUSU
USUL 62-73
−10.5
over 15under 17avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St has the better starters
Position by position: Montana St 1, San Diego St 0, even 4
Montana StBetterSan Diego St
G J. Miller15.2 pts · 5.6 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 82
←MTSTSmall
G C. Gladden TR14.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 67
G C. Holden8.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast
Not ranked
=No call
G N. Anderson TR16 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 95
G J. Davis9.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 59
=Even
G I. Sy TR10 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 57
G S. Amunrud7.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 53
=Even
G E. Harrington7.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 63
F C. King12.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 41
=No call
F B. Cherry TR15.3 pts · 6.8 reb · 1 ast
Not ranked
Montana StBetterSan Diego St
MTST offense190th of 366 · -5.8
→SDSUSmall
SDSU defense70th of 366 · +0.8
MTST defense155th of 366 · -3.4
→SDSUSmall
SDSU offense86th of 366 · +0.3
Backcourt-0.8 · 4 players
→SDSUBig
Backcourt+3.9 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.9 · 1 player
=Even
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-4.0 · 5 players
→SDSUBig
Bench+0.9 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestMTST betterSDSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Montana StGuards
J. Miller36 minC. Holden28 minJ. Davis25 minS. Amunrud21 minH. Keene11 minD. Slater7 min · TR
Forwards
C. King29 minJ. Steppe15 minW. Mbatch11 minL. Praytor4 min · TRC. Rutherfurd1 minJ. StewardNew
San Diego StGuards
C. Gladden34 min · TRN. Anderson30 min · TRI. Sy28 min · TRE. Harrington21 minR. Gonzales2 minL. DavisNew
Forwards
B. Cherry29 min · TRT. Simmons14 minT. Majak3 minS. MashebinuNewL. SkoricNewL. VinciniNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
MTST75.7 #151SDSU76.8 #120Points per possession
MTST1.12 #107SDSU1.09 #159Pace (possessions)
MTST67.9 #233SDSU70.6 #89Shooting
Effective FG%
MTST53.6 #80SDSU52.7 #1163-point %
MTST36.1 #52SDSU34.5 #1443-point attempt rate
MTST44.6 #76SDSU33.8 #301Free throw rate
MTST30.2 #303SDSU39.0 #81Possessions
Turnover rate
MTST14.8 #53SDSU17.2 #224Offensive rebound rate
MTST27.0 #292SDSU29.5 #222Assists per game
MTST10.6 #347SDSU14.6 #110Defense
Points allowed
MTST73.5 #144SDSU71.3 #84Points allowed per possession
MTST1.08 #158SDSU1.01 #31Opponent effective FG%
MTST51.6 #193SDSU48.2 #41Opponent 3-point %
MTST34.3 #198SDSU33.6 #164Turnovers forced
MTST15.6 #242SDSU20.2 #19Defensive rebound rate
MTST71.8 #75SDSU68.9 #208Steals per game
MTST6.5 #171SDSU7.7 #62Blocks per game
MTST2.8 #263SDSU4.6 #27| MTST | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 75.7 #151 | Points per game | 76.8 #120 |
| 1.12 #107 | Points per possession | 1.09 #159 |
| 67.9 #233 | Pace (possessions) | 70.6 #89 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.6 #80 | Effective FG% | 52.7 #116 |
| 36.1 #52 | 3-point % | 34.5 #144 |
| 44.6 #76 | 3-point attempt rate | 33.8 #301 |
| 30.2 #303 | Free throw rate | 39.0 #81 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.8 #53 | Turnover rate | 17.2 #224 |
| 27.0 #292 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.5 #222 |
| 10.6 #347 | Assists per game | 14.6 #110 |
| Defense | ||
| 73.5 #144 | Points allowed | 71.3 #84 |
| 1.08 #158 | Points allowed per possession | 1.01 #31 |
| 51.6 #193 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.2 #41 |
| 34.3 #198 | Opponent 3-point % | 33.6 #164 |
| 15.6 #242 | Turnovers forced | 20.2 #19 |
| 71.8 #75 | Defensive rebound rate | 68.9 #208 |
| 6.5 #171 | Steals per game | 7.7 #62 |
| 2.8 #263 | Blocks per game | 4.6 #27 |
Montana St
15-14 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Idaho74–78
- W@ N Arizona76–65
- Wvs Sacramento St82–61
- Wvs Portland St84–69
- L@ Idaho St76–91
A week or more of rest.
San Diego St
21-11 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah State62–73
- Wvs New Mexico64–62
- Wvs Colorado St71–62
- Wvs UNLV89–86
- L@ Boise St77–86
A week or more of rest.