Villanova Wildcats at Temple Owls: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 1, 12:00 AM ETLiacouras Center · at Temple

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Villanova and Temple
VILL	This season	TEM
0-1	Record	0-0
0-1	ATS	0-0
1-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VILL 79–70 · win probability VILL 79%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 148.6

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VILL has more of the edges

VILL 4, TEM 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

VILLSmall

TEM offense vs VILL defense

Offense 116th of 366 against a defense 30th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

VILL has played the 35th-hardest schedule, TEM the 110th. A record against a soft schedule means less

VILLSmall

VILL offense vs TEM defense

Offense 39th of 366 against a defense 108th, on the model’s ratings

VILLSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: VILL 15.0%, TEM 13.7%. Forced: VILL 18.6%, TEM 15.5%

VILLSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: VILL 53.8 and allows 51.4; TEM 50.2 and allows 50.7

TEMSmall

Home court

TEM at home. This season: TEM 0-0 at home, VILL 0-0 away

TEMSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: VILL 30.9, TEM 40.6. Allowed: VILL 30.0, TEM 35.5

Even

Three-pointers

VILL hits 35.7% and allows 33.4%; TEM hits 33.6% and allows 32.8%. Threes are 45.7% and 35.7% of their shots

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: VILL plays 67.3 a game (270th fastest), TEM 65.6 (325th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: VILL 32.2%, TEM 29.8%. Defensive: VILL 68.2%, TEM 69.7%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: VILL 33%, TEM 38%. Transfers in: VILL 6, TEM 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	VILL -9.2	—
Total	—	148.6	—
Projected score	—	VILL 78.9 · TEM 69.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	VILL -5.6	—
1H total	69.5	—
1H projected score	VILL 37.5 · TEM 32	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
VILL LWWLL	19-14	58%	8-4	—
TEM WLWWL	14-17	45%	7-8	—

Venue/role: VILL away; TEM home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
VILL UUOOO	20-13	61%	24-9
TEM OOOOU	17-14	55%	15-16

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
VILL	6-4 60%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%
TEM	2-8 20%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Villanova

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 9	vs FDU	W86–72LO
Dec 12	vs WIS	W76–66WU

Temple

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 12	vs SBU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

VILL 2–1 TEMVILL leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · VILL has won the last 2 meetings · VILL 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 1, 2025-26	TEM 56 @ VILL 74	VILL -14.5	VILL W
Dec 7, 2024-25	VILL 94 vs TEM 65	TEM +9.5	VILL W
Nov 11, 2022-23	VILL 64 @ TEM 68	TEM +5.5	TEM W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Villanova

33 games played

Straight up

24-9

73% wins

Against the spread

19-14

58% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

20-13

61% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

24-973%

L W W W W W W W L W W W W W L W W L W L W W W W W W L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

19-1458%

W W W L W L W W L W W W L W L L W L W W W W W L W L L L L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

20-1361%

U O U O U O U O U O U U U O O O O O U O O U O O O O U O U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsBYU	L 66-71	+9.5	W +4.5	153.5	U 137
Nov 8	vsQUC	W 94-74	-17.5	W +2.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 11	vsSHU	W 94-60	-19.5	W +14.5	160.5	U 154
Nov 15	vsDUQ	W 87-77	-10.5	L −0.5	151.5	O 164
Nov 19	@LAS	W 70-55	-12.5	W +2.5	144.5	U 125
Nov 25	vsODU	W 89-75	-22.5	L −8.5	147.5	O 164
Dec 1	vsTEM	W 74-56	-14.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 130
Dec 6	vsPENN	W 90-63	-18.5	W +8.5	150.5	O 153
Dec 9	@MICH	L 61-89	+17.5	L −10.5	156.5	U 150
Dec 13	vsPITT	W 79-61	-10.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 140
Dec 19	vsWIS	W 76-66	+3.5	W +13.5	152.5	U 142
Dec 23	@HALL	W 64-56	+1.5	W +9.5	135.5	U 120
Dec 31	vsDEP	W 71-66	-12.5	L −7.5	139.5	U 137
Jan 3	@BTLR	W 85-67	+2.5	W +20.5	149.5	O 152
Jan 7	vsCREI	L 72-76	-4.5	L −8.5	142.5	O 148
Jan 10	@MARQ	W 76-73	-3.5	L −0.5	146.5	O 149
Jan 13	@PROV	W 88-82	-2.5	W +3.5	156.5	O 170
Jan 17	vsSJU	L 79-86	+2.5	L −4.5	147.5	O 165
Jan 21	vsGTWN	W 66-51	-8.5	W +6.5	142.5	U 117
Jan 24	@CONN	L 67-75	+11.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 142
Jan 30	vsPROV	W 87-73	-8.5	W +5.5	157.5	O 160
Feb 4	vsHALL	W 72-60	-5.5	W +6.5	134.5	U 132
Feb 7	@GTWN	W 80-73	-2.5	W +4.5	140.5	O 153
Feb 10	vsMARQ	W 77-74	-9.5	L −6.5	144.5	O 151
Feb 14	@CREI	W 80-69	-1.5	W +9.5	145.5	O 149
Feb 17	@XAV	W 92-89	-4.5	L −1.5	152.5	O 181
Feb 21	vsCONN	L 63-73	+3.5	L −6.5	141.5	U 136
Feb 25	vsBTLR	W 82-73	-10.5	L −1.5	147.5	O 155
Feb 28	@SJU	L 57-89	+7.5	L −24.5	147.5	U 146
Mar 4	@DEP	W 76-57	-1.5	W +17.5	135.5	U 133
Mar 7	vsXAV	W 91-78	-11.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 169
Mar 12	vsGTWN	L 64-78	-7.5	L −21.5	140.5	O 142
Mar 20	vsUSU	L 76-86	+1.5	L −8.5	146.5	O 162

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BYU

L 66-71

+4.5

QUC

W 94-74

+2.5

SHU

W 94-60

+14.5

DUQ

W 87-77

−0.5

LAS

W 70-55

+2.5

ODU

W 89-75

−8.5

TEM

W 74-56

+3.5

PENN

W 90-63

+8.5

MICH

L 61-89

−10.5

PITT

W 79-61

+7.5

WIS

W 76-66

+13.5

HALL

W 64-56

+9.5

DEP

W 71-66

−7.5

BTLR

W 85-67

+20.5

CREI

L 72-76

−8.5

MARQ

W 76-73

−0.5

PROV

W 88-82

+3.5

SJU

L 79-86

−4.5

GTWN

W 66-51

+6.5

CONN

L 67-75

+3.5

PROV

W 87-73

+5.5

HALL

W 72-60

+6.5

GTWN

W 80-73

+4.5

MARQ

W 77-74

−6.5

CREI

W 80-69

+9.5

XAV

W 92-89

−1.5

CONN

L 63-73

−6.5

BTLR

W 82-73

−1.5

SJU

L 57-89

−24.5

DEP

W 76-57

+17.5

XAV

W 91-78

+1.5

GTWN

L 64-78

−21.5

USU

L 76-86

−8.5

covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BYU

L 66-71

−16.5

QUC

W 94-74

+17.5

SHU

W 94-60

−6.5

DUQ

W 87-77

+12.5

LAS

W 70-55

−19.5

ODU

W 89-75

+16.5

TEM

W 74-56

−16.5

PENN

W 90-63

+2.5

MICH

L 61-89

−6.5

PITT

W 79-61

+1.5

WIS

W 76-66

−10.5

HALL

W 64-56

−15.5

DEP

W 71-66

−2.5

BTLR

W 85-67

+2.5

CREI

L 72-76

+5.5

MARQ

W 76-73

+2.5

PROV

W 88-82

+13.5

SJU

L 79-86

+17.5

GTWN

W 66-51

−25.5

CONN

L 67-75

+4.5

PROV

W 87-73

+2.5

HALL

W 72-60

−2.5

GTWN

W 80-73

+12.5

MARQ

W 77-74

+6.5

CREI

W 80-69

+3.5

XAV

W 92-89

+28.5

CONN

L 63-73

−5.5

BTLR

W 82-73

+7.5

SJU

L 57-89

−1.5

DEP

W 76-57

−2.5

XAV

W 91-78

+15.5

GTWN

L 64-78

+1.5

USU

L 76-86

+15.5

over 20under 13avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Temple

31 games played

Straight up

15-16

48% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

17-14

55% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1648%

W W L W L W L L L W W W W W W L L W W L W W L L L L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

14-1745%

W W L L L L L L L W W L W W W W L W L L W W L L L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

17-1455%

U O O O O O O U U O U U O U U U O U U O O O U U O U O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsDSU	W 83-65	-16.5	W +1.5	154.5	U 148
Nov 11	vsLAS	W 90-63	-6.5	W +20.5	148.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsBC	L 71-76	-3.5	L −8.5	142.5	O 147
Nov 19	vsHOF	W 81-76	-5.5	L −0.5	145.5	O 157
Nov 24	vsUCSD	L 76-91	-1.5	L −16.5	148.5	O 167
Nov 25	vsPRIN	W 79-75	-8.5	L −4.5	145.5	O 154
Nov 26	vsURI	L 75-90	+3.5	L −11.5	149.5	O 165
Dec 1	@VILL	L 56-74	+14.5	L −3.5	146.5	U 130
Dec 6	vsJOES	L 69-70	-1.5	L −2.5	147.5	U 139
Dec 14	vsSFPA	W 95-67	-20.5	W +7.5	150.5	O 162
Dec 18	@DAV	W 68-63	+5.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 131
Dec 22	vsPRIN	W 65-61	-8.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 126
Dec 30	@CLT	W 76-73	+1.5	W +4.5	138.5	O 149
Jan 3	vsUTSA	W 76-57	-10.5	W +8.5	149.5	U 133
Jan 7	vsECU	W 75-67	-7.5	W +0.5	143.5	U 142
Jan 14	@MEM	L 53-55	+7.5	W +5.5	143.5	U 108
Jan 18	vsFAU	L 73-79	+2.5	L −3.5	148.5	O 152
Jan 21	@RICE	W 69-65	+1.5	W +5.5	142.5	U 134
Jan 24	@UTSA	W 70-64	-10.5	L −4.5	145.5	U 134
Jan 28	vsCLT	L 76-80	-4.5	L −8.5	139.5	O 156
Jan 31	vsUSF	W 79-78	+9.5	W +10.5	154.5	O 157
Feb 7	@ECU	W 81-73	-2.5	W +5.5	140.5	O 154
Feb 11	@TULN	L 66-77	+1.5	L −9.5	144.5	U 143
Feb 15	vsUNT	L 62-65	-2.5	L −5.5	135.5	U 127
Feb 18	vsUAB	L 71-76	-1.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 147
Feb 21	@WICH	L 57-69	+8.5	L −3.5	144.5	U 126
Feb 26	@FAU	L 73-77	+4.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 150
Mar 1	vsRICE	L 74-80	-6.5	L −12.5	142.5	O 154
Mar 5	vsTULN	W 89-60	-4.5	W +24.5	144.5	O 149
Mar 8	@TLSA	L 76-78	+11.5	W +9.5	149.5	O 154
Mar 11	vsFAU	L 59-63	-1.5	L −5.5	144.5	U 122

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DSU

W 83-65

+1.5

LAS

W 90-63

+20.5

L 71-76

−8.5

HOF

W 81-76

−0.5

UCSD

L 76-91

−16.5

PRIN

W 79-75

−4.5

URI

L 75-90

−11.5

VILL

L 56-74

−3.5

JOES

L 69-70

−2.5

SFPA

W 95-67

+7.5

DAV

W 68-63

+10.5

PRIN

W 65-61

−4.5

CLT

W 76-73

+4.5

UTSA

W 76-57

+8.5

ECU

W 75-67

+0.5

MEM

L 53-55

+5.5

FAU

L 73-79

−3.5

RICE

W 69-65

+5.5

UTSA

W 70-64

−4.5

CLT

L 76-80

−8.5

USF

W 79-78

+10.5

ECU

W 81-73

+5.5

TULN

L 66-77

−9.5

UNT

L 62-65

−5.5

UAB

L 71-76

−6.5

WICH

L 57-69

−3.5

FAU

L 73-77

+0.5

RICE

L 74-80

−12.5

TULN

W 89-60

+24.5

TLSA

L 76-78

+9.5

FAU

L 59-63

−5.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DSU

W 83-65

−6.5

LAS

W 90-63

+4.5

L 71-76

+4.5

HOF

W 81-76

+11.5

UCSD

L 76-91

+18.5

PRIN

W 79-75

+8.5

URI

L 75-90

+15.5

VILL

L 56-74

−16.5

JOES

L 69-70

−8.5

SFPA

W 95-67

+11.5

DAV

W 68-63

−10.5

PRIN

W 65-61

−13.5

CLT

W 76-73

+10.5

UTSA

W 76-57

−16.5

ECU

W 75-67

−1.5

MEM

L 53-55

−35.5

FAU

L 73-79

+3.5

RICE

W 69-65

−8.5

UTSA

W 70-64

−11.5

CLT

L 76-80

+16.5

USF

W 79-78

+2.5

ECU

W 81-73

+13.5

TULN

L 66-77

−1.5

UNT

L 62-65

−8.5

UAB

L 71-76

+3.5

WICH

L 57-69

−18.5

FAU

L 73-77

+4.5

RICE

L 74-80

+11.5

TULN

W 89-60

+4.5

TLSA

L 76-78

+4.5

FAU

L 59-63

−22.5

over 17under 14avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Villanova has the better starters

Position by position: Villanova 4, Temple 0, even 1

VillanovaBetterTemple

G J. Fiegen TR11 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 82

Even

G D. Ford18.1 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.9 ast Score 86

G D. Simmons TR16.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.8 ast Score 63

VILLSmall

G D. White TR9.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 44

G T. Perkins18 pts · 4 reb · 3 ast Score 100

VILLSmall

G G. Griffiths10 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 68

F D. Royal TR5 pts · 8 reb · 0 ast Score 100

VILLBig

F B. Njie TR9.6 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 45

F K. Evans TR13.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2 ast Score 95

VILLBig

F E. Suarez TR9.3 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 54

VillanovaBetterTemple

VILL offense39th of 366 · +5.0

VILLSmall

TEM defense108th of 366 · -1.1

VILL defense30th of 366 · +3.5

VILLSmall

TEM offense116th of 366 · -2.5

Backcourt+7.2 · 3 players

VILLBig

Backcourt+1.9 · 3 players

Frontcourt+6.1 · 2 players

VILLBig

Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players

Bench+3.3 · 4 players

VILLBig

Bench-1.1 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestVILL betterTEM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Villanova

Guards

J. Fiegen38 min · TRD. Simmons36 min · TRT. Perkins35 minE. Crawford26 min · TRW. Chiddick3 minB. MullerNew

Forwards

D. Royal32 min · TRK. Evans31 min · TRM. Hodge28 minA. Samb6 min · TR

Centers

N. OnyekwereNewL. SuigoNew

Temple

Guards

D. Ford36 minD. White30 min · TRG. Griffiths29 minJ. Marsh18 min · TRC. Wallace6 minD. DrakeNew

Forwards

B. Njie26 min · TRE. Suarez22 min · TRS. Issac Herron13 min · TR

Centers

C. Beam16 min · TRM. Keita5 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

VILL77.1 #113

TEM73.0 #224

Points per possession

VILL1.15 #64

TEM1.11 #115

Pace (possessions)

VILL67.3 #270

TEM65.6 #325

Shooting

Effective FG%

VILL53.8 #74

TEM50.2 #229

3-point %

VILL35.7 #77

TEM33.6 #194

3-point attempt rate

VILL45.7 #52

TEM35.7 #255

Free throw rate

VILL30.9 #284

TEM40.6 #52

Possessions

Turnover rate

VILL15.0 #65

TEM13.7 #18

Offensive rebound rate

VILL32.2 #118

TEM29.8 #209

Assists per game

VILL15.5 #66

TEM11.9 #290

Defense

Points allowed

VILL71.2 #82

TEM71.2 #77

Points allowed per possession

VILL1.06 #105

TEM1.08 #177

Opponent effective FG%

VILL51.4 #181

TEM50.7 #137

Opponent 3-point %

VILL33.4 #148

TEM32.8 #107

Turnovers forced

VILL18.6 #70

TEM15.5 #245

Defensive rebound rate

VILL68.2 #246

TEM69.7 #177

Steals per game

VILL7.4 #93

TEM5.7 #279

Blocks per game

VILL2.1 #340

TEM4.0 #71

VILL		TEM
Scoring
77.1 #113	Points per game	73.0 #224
1.15 #64	Points per possession	1.11 #115
67.3 #270	Pace (possessions)	65.6 #325
Shooting
53.8 #74	Effective FG%	50.2 #229
35.7 #77	3-point %	33.6 #194
45.7 #52	3-point attempt rate	35.7 #255
30.9 #284	Free throw rate	40.6 #52
Possessions
15.0 #65	Turnover rate	13.7 #18
32.2 #118	Offensive rebound rate	29.8 #209
15.5 #66	Assists per game	11.9 #290
Defense
71.2 #82	Points allowed	71.2 #77
1.06 #105	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #177
51.4 #181	Opponent effective FG%	50.7 #137
33.4 #148	Opponent 3-point %	32.8 #107
18.6 #70	Turnovers forced	15.5 #245
68.2 #246	Defensive rebound rate	69.7 #177
7.4 #93	Steals per game	5.7 #279
2.1 #340	Blocks per game	4.0 #71

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Villanova

24-9 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Utah State76–86
Lvs Georgetown64–78
Wvs Xavier91–78
W@ DePaul76–57
L@ St John's57–89

A week or more of rest.

Temple

15-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs FAU59–63
L@ Tulsa76–78
Wvs Tulane89–60
Lvs Rice74–80
L@ FAU73–77

A week or more of rest.

Villanova Wildcats at Temple Owls

What could decide it: VILL has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Villanova

Temple

Villanova has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Villanova

Temple