1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. FDU @ VILL
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights at Villanova Wildcats

Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova
#356FDUFDU
@
#32VILLVillanova
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FDUThis seasonVILL
0-0Record0-1
0-0ATS0-1
0-0O/U1-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VILL 89–56 · win probability VILL 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VILL has more of the edges

FDU 1, VILL 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VILLBig
FDU offense vs VILL defense
Offense 356th of 366 against a defense 30th, on the model’s ratings
VILLBig
VILL offense vs FDU defense
Offense 39th of 366 against a defense 320th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
FDU has played the 308th-hardest schedule, VILL the 35th. A record against a soft schedule means less
VILLBig
Three-pointers
FDU hits 30.3% and allows 37.8%; VILL hits 35.7% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 45.2% and 45.7% of their shots
VILLBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: FDU 47.1 and allows 55.2; VILL 53.8 and allows 51.4
VILLBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FDU 18.2%, VILL 15.0%. Forced: FDU 16.1%, VILL 18.6%
FDUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FDU 32.0%, VILL 32.2%. Defensive: FDU 72.7%, VILL 68.2%
VILLSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: FDU 32.8, VILL 30.9. Allowed: FDU 36.3, VILL 30.0
VILLSmall
Home court
VILL at home. This season: VILL 0-0 at home, FDU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: FDU plays 64.4 a game (356th fastest), VILL 67.3 (270th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FDU 27%, VILL 33%. Transfers in: FDU 3, VILL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—VILL -32.5—
Total—144.4—
Projected score—FDU 56 · VILL 88.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadVILL -19.2—
1H total67.6—
1H projected scoreFDU 24.2 · VILL 43.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Villanova has the better starters

Position by position: FDU 0, Villanova 4, even 1
FDUBetterVillanova
G D. Jevtic6.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 25
VILLBig
G J. Fiegen TR11 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 82
G R. Johnson4.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 10
VILLBig
G D. Simmons TR16.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.8 ast Score 63
G R. Elijah Godbolt1 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 1
VILLBig
G T. Perkins18 pts · 4 reb · 3 ast Score 100
F P. Stosic TR3.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 16
VILLBig
F D. Royal TR5 pts · 8 reb · 0 ast Score 100
F B. Agu TR2.7 pts · 2 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Evans TR13.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2 ast Score 95
FDUBetterVillanova
FDU offense356th of 366 · -13.3
VILLBig
VILL defense30th of 366 · +3.5
FDU defense320th of 366 · -8.3
VILLBig
VILL offense39th of 366 · +5.0
Backcourt-5.8 · 3 players
VILLBig
Backcourt+7.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
VILLBig
Frontcourt+6.1 · 2 players
Bench-1.3 · 3 players
VILLBig
Bench+3.3 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestFDU betterVILL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
FDU
Guards
D. Jevtic21 minR. Johnson17 minR. Elijah Godbolt12 minT. McQuaid2 minJ. JacobsNewA. CandaNew
Forwards
P. Stosic16 min · TRB. Agu10 min · TRT. Torain9 min · TRA. RatliffNew
Centers
S. Haubro3 min
Villanova
Guards
J. Fiegen38 min · TRD. Simmons36 min · TRT. Perkins35 minE. Crawford26 min · TRW. Chiddick3 minB. MullerNew
Forwards
D. Royal32 min · TRK. Evans31 min · TRM. Hodge28 minA. Samb6 min · TR
Centers
N. OnyekwereNewL. SuigoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FDUVILL
Scoring
65.1 #349Points per game77.1 #113
1.01 #314Points per possession1.15 #64
64.4 #356Pace (possessions)67.3 #270
Shooting
47.1 #333Effective FG%53.8 #74
30.3 #3393-point %35.7 #77
45.2 #633-point attempt rate45.7 #52
32.8 #240Free throw rate30.9 #284
Possessions
18.2 #280Turnover rate15.0 #65
32.0 #125Offensive rebound rate32.2 #118
11.4 #316Assists per game15.5 #66
Defense
72.7 #123Points allowed71.2 #82
1.13 #280Points allowed per possession1.06 #105
55.2 #336Opponent effective FG%51.4 #181
37.8 #354Opponent 3-point %33.4 #148
16.1 #218Turnovers forced18.6 #70
72.7 #46Defensive rebound rate68.2 #246
4.8 #344Steals per game7.4 #93
1.5 #362Blocks per game2.1 #340
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

FDU

8-21 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Mercyhurst61–70
  • L@ Long Island60–74
  • L@ Le Moyne59–76
  • Lvs New Haven77–84
  • W@ Chicago St60–59

A week or more of rest.

Villanova

24-9 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Utah State76–86
  • Lvs Georgetown64–78
  • Wvs Xavier91–78
  • W@ DePaul76–57
  • L@ St John's57–89

A week or more of rest.