1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. UNH @ RID
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

New Hampshire Wildcats at Rider Broncs

Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · at Rider
#286UNHNew Hampshire
@
#347RIDRider
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNHThis seasonRID
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UNH 72–70 · win probability UNH 57%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 142.8
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UNH has more of the edges

UNH 3, RID 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UNHSmall
RID offense vs UNH defense
Offense 348th of 366 against a defense 255th, on the model’s ratings
UNHSmall
Three-pointers
UNH hits 30.5% and allows 34.3%; RID hits 27.6% and allows 38.0%. Threes are 43.1% and 27.5% of their shots
UNHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNH 47%, RID 0%. Transfers in: UNH 3, RID 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UNH plays 68.9 a game (186th fastest), RID 65.7 (323rd). Faster games mean more points
RIDSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNH 28.5, RID 30.1. Allowed: UNH 35.8, RID 32.5
RIDSmall
Home court
RID at home. This season: RID 0-0 at home, UNH 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNH 46.7 and allows 53.5; RID 42.8 and allows 55.2
Context
Schedule so far
UNH has played the 237th-hardest schedule, RID the 201st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNH 16.5%, RID 16.9%. Forced: UNH 15.8%, RID 15.3%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNH 25.7%, RID 32.6%. Defensive: UNH 73.1%, RID 67.2%
Even
UNH offense vs RID defense
Offense 300th of 366 against a defense 315th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UNH -2.0—
Total—142.8—
Projected score—UNH 72.4 · RID 70.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUNH -1.3—
1H total66.8—
1H projected scoreUNH 34.1 · RID 32.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: New Hampshire 0, Rider 0, even 5
New HampshireBetterRider
G T. Bike7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34
Even
G M. Butler TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 4.3 ast Score 44
G E. Oliver-Bush TR3.2 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
Even
G K. Farmer TR3.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 6
F D. Poser6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
No call
G B. Baker TR1.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F J. Squire5.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 34
No call
G T. Bevins TR0.6 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
F D. McKenna TR3.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 47
No call
F H. Simmons TR1.7 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
New HampshireBetterRider
UNH offense300th of 366 · -9.3
Even
RID defense315th of 366 · -8.2
UNH defense255th of 366 · -6.7
UNHSmall
RID offense348th of 366 · -12.2
Backcourt-3.5 · 2 players
UNHSmall
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
Frontcourt-4.5 · 3 players
RIDBig
Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player
Bench-2.3 · 4 players
RIDSmall
Bench-0.3 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestUNH betterRID betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
New Hampshire
Guards
T. Bike24 minE. Oliver-Bush16 min · TRM. Blackley2 minA. SquireNewJ. ColemanNewJ. FaumuinaNew
Forwards
D. Poser29 minJ. Squire27 minD. McKenna11 min · TRR. Zan8 min · TRJ. O'Neill6 minK. MyersNew
Centers
G. Xanthopoulos6 min
Rider
Guards
M. Butler34 min · TRK. Farmer14 min · TRB. Baker13 min · TRT. Bevins5 min · TRN. WashingtonNewR. RosaNew
Forwards
H. Simmons6 min · TRR. Brisco2 min · TRK. WylieNewS. Ezekiel ObeNew
Centers
S. Avegah SemeyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNHRID
Scoring
66.6 #339Points per game62.6 #359
0.96 #347Points per possession0.95 #355
68.9 #186Pace (possessions)65.7 #323
Shooting
46.7 #344Effective FG%42.8 #365
30.5 #3333-point %27.6 #365
43.1 #1103-point attempt rate27.5 #361
28.5 #338Free throw rate30.1 #307
Possessions
16.5 #166Turnover rate16.9 #197
25.7 #329Offensive rebound rate32.6 #101
10.6 #348Assists per game10.1 #356
Defense
76.4 #227Points allowed76.8 #236
1.11 #247Points allowed per possession1.17 #341
53.5 #282Opponent effective FG%55.2 #335
34.3 #204Opponent 3-point %38.0 #356
15.8 #227Turnovers forced15.3 #266
73.1 #32Defensive rebound rate67.2 #294
6.1 #222Steals per game5.9 #247
2.0 #345Blocks per game3.2 #188
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

New Hampshire

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC69–84
  • Wvs Bryant88–83
  • L@ UAlbany61–84
  • L@ Binghamton63–65
  • Lvs Maine58–61

A week or more of rest.

Rider

3-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Siena61–76
  • L@ Iona58–80
  • Wvs Niagara67–62
  • Lvs Canisius66–72
  • L@ Sacred Heart75–86

A week or more of rest.