1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. ME @ SHU
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Maine Black Bears at Sacred Heart Pioneers

William H. Pitt Center · at Sacred Heart
#323MEMaine
@
#311SHUSacred Heart
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
METhis seasonSHU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SHU 73–67 · win probability SHU 68%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 140.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

ME 2, SHU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SHUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ME 19.7%, SHU 28.6%. Defensive: ME 65.7%, SHU 69.1%
MESmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ME 19.2%, SHU 17.6%. Forced: ME 19.3%, SHU 14.6%
MESmall
SHU offense vs ME defense
Offense 281st of 366 against a defense 191st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: ME plays 64.9 a game (348th fastest), SHU 68.6 (201st). Faster games mean more points
SHUSmall
Home court
SHU at home. This season: SHU 0-0 at home, ME 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ME 38.4, SHU 31.0. Allowed: ME 33.9, SHU 27.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ME 31%, SHU 18%. Transfers in: ME 4, SHU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
ME offense vs SHU defense
Offense 357th of 366 against a defense 334th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ME has played the 319th-hardest schedule, SHU the 340th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: ME 49.6 and allows 50.6; SHU 52.0 and allows 53.5
Even
Three-pointers
ME hits 31.2% and allows 29.4%; SHU hits 35.7% and allows 34.9%. Threes are 37.0% and 50.7% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SHU -5.3—
Total—140.1—
Projected score—ME 67.4 · SHU 72.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSHU -3.0—
1H total65.6—
1H projected scoreME 31.3 · SHU 34.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Sacred Heart has the better starters

Position by position: Maine 1, Sacred Heart 3, even 1
MaineBetterSacred Heart
G D. Williams TR8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 23
SHUSmall
G J. Van Buggenhout TR6.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.1 ast Score 42
G C. Crawford4.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 14
Even
G J. Slaughter5.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20
G V. Garcia Adsten TR3.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
SHUBig
G S. Reilly TR3.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 47
F A. Flagg6.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 33
MESmall
F A. Yadd6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
F Y. Bamba2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 11
SHUSmall
F J. Robinson TR2.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 26
MaineBetterSacred Heart
ME offense357th of 366 · -13.7
Even
SHU defense334th of 366 · -8.8
ME defense191st of 366 · -4.5
MESmall
SHU offense281st of 366 · -8.7
Backcourt-6.4 · 3 players
SHUBig
Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.0 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestME betterSHU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Maine
Guards
D. Williams25 min · TRC. Crawford20 minV. Garcia Adsten18 min · TRD. LopesNewK. BedardNewH. FranzNew
Forwards
A. Flagg25 minY. Bamba12 minA. Evans8 min · TRK. Gribben3 minE. Byther2 minO. Faubert2 min · TR
Sacred Heart
Guards
J. Van Buggenhout21 min · TRJ. Slaughter21 minS. Reilly9 min · TRM. Sheppard1 minG. BarroukNewJ. WallaceNew
Forwards
A. Yadd15 minJ. Robinson10 min · TRK. CurtisNewL. KrygierNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MESHU
Scoring
61.2 #364Points per game74.3 #186
0.95 #356Points per possession1.08 #180
64.9 #348Pace (possessions)68.6 #201
Shooting
49.6 #263Effective FG%52.0 #145
31.2 #3143-point %35.7 #73
37.0 #2313-point attempt rate50.7 #12
38.4 #93Free throw rate31.0 #281
Possessions
19.2 #328Turnover rate17.6 #249
19.7 #364Offensive rebound rate28.6 #246
11.8 #300Assists per game14.6 #112
Defense
68.5 #39Points allowed77.6 #253
1.05 #90Points allowed per possession1.13 #296
50.6 #136Opponent effective FG%53.5 #283
29.4 #4Opponent 3-point %34.9 #241
19.3 #38Turnovers forced14.6 #320
65.7 #322Defensive rebound rate69.1 #199
7.7 #57Steals per game5.4 #305
3.2 #194Blocks per game3.0 #223
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Maine

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ NJIT58–60
  • Lvs UMass Lowell56–67
  • L@ Binghamton67–74
  • W@ UAlbany70–59
  • W@ New Hampshire61–58

A week or more of rest.

Sacred Heart

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 10-12 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Merrimack48–70
  • Wvs Iona91–80
  • Wvs Mount St Marys77–69
  • L@ Marist63–65
  • L@ Fairfield68–78

A week or more of rest.