1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. FUR @ BEL
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Furman Paladins at Belmont Bruins

Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont
#152FURFurman
@
#138BELBelmont
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FURThis seasonBEL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BEL 78–72 · win probability BEL 70%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BEL has more of the edges

FUR 1, BEL 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BELSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FUR 17.8%, BEL 18.0%. Forced: FUR 13.7%, BEL 17.4%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: FUR plays 67.2 a game (273rd fastest), BEL 70.5 (94th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
FUR has played the 224th-hardest schedule, BEL the 146th. A record against a soft schedule means less
FURSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FUR 30.5%, BEL 28.8%. Defensive: FUR 71.8%, BEL 70.8%
BELSmall
Home court
BEL at home. This season: BEL 0-0 at home, FUR 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
FUR hits 33.4% and allows 32.3%; BEL hits 41.0% and allows 34.2%. Threes are 46.5% and 45.7% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: FUR 54.8 and allows 50.2; BEL 61.0 and allows 49.9
Even
BEL offense vs FUR defense
Offense 118th of 366 against a defense 146th, on the model’s ratings
Even
FUR offense vs BEL defense
Offense 166th of 366 against a defense 192nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: FUR 32.7, BEL 32.5. Allowed: FUR 28.9, BEL 30.7
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FUR 46%, BEL 41%. Transfers in: FUR 4, BEL 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BEL -6.0—
Total—150.5—
Projected score—FUR 72.3 · BEL 78.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBEL -3.4—
1H total70.4—
1H projected scoreFUR 33.5 · BEL 36.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Furman has the better starters

Position by position: Furman 2, Belmont 1, even 2
FurmanBetterBelmont
G J. Bell TR12.3 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 76
FURSmall
G J. Jenkins8.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 42
G C. Bowser5.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
BELBig
G J. Smiley8.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.6 ast Score 81
G L. Toews TR6.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 45
FURBig
G I. West2.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 7
F M. Kell TR13.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 59
Even
F K. Fish TR7.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 47
F C. Johnston9.6 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 66
Even
F E. Dillon7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast Score 76
FurmanBetterBelmont
FUR offense166th of 366 · -5.1
Even
BEL defense192nd of 366 · -4.5
FUR defense146th of 366 · -3.2
Even
BEL offense118th of 366 · -2.7
Backcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-2.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.9 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt+0.5 · 2 players
Bench-2.5 · 5 players
BELSmall
Bench-0.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestFUR betterBEL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Furman
Guards
J. Bell26 min · TRC. Bowser23 minL. Toews21 min · TRA. Franklin11 minC. O'Neal11 minG. LewisNew
Forwards
M. Kell30 min · TRC. Johnston29 minM. Smith12 minJ. Butler9 min · TRO. Ritger7 minD. MolnarNew
Belmont
Guards
J. Jenkins24 minJ. Smiley17 minI. West17 minM. Zobrist5 min · TRC. Haynes5 minA. Ristic3 min · TR
Forwards
K. Fish19 min · TRE. Dillon16 minG. Lemke2 minC. KnowlesNewC. GersmehlNew
Centers
V. Neugebauer8 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FURBEL
Scoring
74.9 #164Points per game83.5 #23
1.11 #114Points per possession1.18 #33
67.2 #273Pace (possessions)70.5 #94
Shooting
54.8 #43Effective FG%61.0 #1
33.4 #2043-point %41.0 #1
46.5 #403-point attempt rate45.7 #51
32.7 #246Free throw rate32.5 #248
Possessions
17.8 #260Turnover rate18.0 #272
30.5 #180Offensive rebound rate28.8 #241
14.9 #91Assists per game18.5 #6
Defense
72.5 #116Points allowed74.1 #158
1.08 #163Points allowed per possession1.05 #95
50.2 #112Opponent effective FG%49.9 #93
32.3 #75Opponent 3-point %34.2 #197
13.7 #342Turnovers forced17.4 #126
71.8 #72Defensive rebound rate70.8 #118
4.4 #357Steals per game6.0 #241
3.3 #183Blocks per game3.5 #151
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Furman

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn71–82
  • Wvs ETSU76–61
  • Wvs UNC Greensboro81–75
  • Wvs Samford86–81
  • L@ W Carolina67–86

A week or more of rest.

Belmont

25-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drake79–100
  • L@ Illinois St74–81
  • Wvs Evansville98–64
  • Wvs Indiana St87–70
  • W@ Murray St87–70

A week or more of rest.