1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 27
  3. ME vs LEM
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 27

Maine Black Bears vs Le Moyne Dolphins

Kirby Sports Center · Neutral site
#323MEMaine
vs
#332LEMLe Moyne
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
METhis seasonLEM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LEM 69–67 · win probability LEM 57%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 136.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

ME 3, LEM 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MEBig
LEM offense vs ME defense
Offense 333rd of 366 against a defense 191st, on the model’s ratings
MEBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ME 19.2%, LEM 19.1%. Forced: ME 19.3%, LEM 15.0%
LEMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ME 19.7%, LEM 25.2%. Defensive: ME 65.7%, LEM 71.0%
LEMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: ME 49.6 and allows 50.6; LEM 52.6 and allows 49.3
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: ME plays 64.9 a game (348th fastest), LEM 69.2 (168th). Faster games mean more points
MESmall
Three-pointers
ME hits 31.2% and allows 29.4%; LEM hits 34.3% and allows 36.0%. Threes are 37.0% and 40.8% of their shots
LEMSmall
ME offense vs LEM defense
Offense 357th of 366 against a defense 308th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ME 38.4, LEM 39.5. Allowed: ME 33.9, LEM 32.7
Context
Schedule so far
ME has played the 319th-hardest schedule, LEM the 344th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ME 31%, LEM 24%. Transfers in: ME 4, LEM 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LEM -2.1—
Total—136.5—
Projected score—ME 67.2 · LEM 69.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLEM -1.1—
1H total63.9—
1H projected scoreME 31.4 · LEM 32.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Le Moyne has the better starters

Position by position: Maine 1, Le Moyne 2, even 2
MaineBetterLe Moyne
G D. Williams TR8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 23
No call
G A. Moss10 pts · 7 reb · 5 ast Not ranked
G C. Crawford4.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 14
Even
G J. Clayville TR6.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
G V. Garcia Adsten TR3.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
LEMBig
G D. King TR4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 59
F A. Flagg6.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 33
MESmall
F K. Stuckey TR4.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 5
F Y. Bamba2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 11
LEMSmall
F T. Francis TR4.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 27
MaineBetterLe Moyne
ME offense357th of 366 · -13.7
Even
LEM defense308th of 366 · -8.0
ME defense191st of 366 · -4.5
MEBig
LEM offense333rd of 366 · -10.8
Backcourt-6.4 · 3 players
LEMSmall
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
MESmall
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
MEBig
Bench-6.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestME betterLEM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Maine
Guards
D. Williams25 min · TRC. Crawford20 minV. Garcia Adsten18 min · TRD. LopesNewK. BedardNewH. FranzNew
Forwards
A. Flagg25 minY. Bamba12 minA. Evans8 min · TRK. Gribben3 minE. Byther2 minO. Faubert2 min · TR
Le Moyne
Guards
A. Moss37 minJ. Clayville20 min · TRD. King14 min · TRJ. Teat14 min · TRK. Williams12 min · TRJ. Lee4 min
Forwards
K. Stuckey19 min · TRT. Francis15 min · TRT. Roe7 minI. BrownNewC. SchreinerNewC. JohnsonNew
Centers
P. Hartman9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MELEM
Scoring
61.2 #364Points per game72.3 #234
0.95 #356Points per possession1.04 #265
64.9 #348Pace (possessions)69.2 #168
Shooting
49.6 #263Effective FG%52.6 #118
31.2 #3143-point %34.3 #152
37.0 #2313-point attempt rate40.8 #151
38.4 #93Free throw rate39.5 #68
Possessions
19.2 #328Turnover rate19.1 #323
19.7 #364Offensive rebound rate25.2 #337
11.8 #300Assists per game14.0 #149
Defense
68.5 #39Points allowed73.9 #154
1.05 #90Points allowed per possession1.07 #132
50.6 #136Opponent effective FG%49.3 #75
29.4 #4Opponent 3-point %36.0 #303
19.3 #38Turnovers forced15.0 #289
65.7 #322Defensive rebound rate71.0 #107
7.7 #57Steals per game5.5 #300
3.2 #194Blocks per game3.3 #177
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Maine

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ NJIT58–60
  • Lvs UMass Lowell56–67
  • L@ Binghamton67–74
  • W@ UAlbany70–59
  • W@ New Hampshire61–58

A week or more of rest.

Le Moyne

14-17 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Stonehill71–81
  • L@ New Haven59–66
  • Wvs FDU76–59
  • L@ Stonehill68–77
  • L@ C Connecticut77–78

A week or more of rest.