1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Dec 11
  3. ARMY @ COLU
NCAAB · Fri, Dec 11

Army Black Knights at Columbia Lions

Levien Gymnasium · at Columbia
#288ARMYArmy
@
#170COLUColumbia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ARMYThis seasonCOLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COLU 80–70 · win probability COLU 82%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COLU has more of the edges

ARMY 1, COLU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
COLUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ARMY 49.3 and allows 55.1; COLU 53.5 and allows 51.2
COLUBig
COLU offense vs ARMY defense
Offense 163rd of 366 against a defense 304th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ARMY has played the 302nd-hardest schedule, COLU the 169th. A record against a soft schedule means less
COLUBig
Three-pointers
ARMY hits 32.0% and allows 35.5%; COLU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 53.3% and 37.5% of their shots
COLUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ARMY 29.6%, COLU 36.0%. Defensive: ARMY 72.3%, COLU 72.8%
COLUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: ARMY 26.8, COLU 28.6. Allowed: ARMY 39.6, COLU 33.5
COLUSmall
ARMY offense vs COLU defense
Offense 271st of 366 against a defense 198th, on the model’s ratings
ARMYSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ARMY 17.2%, COLU 19.3%. Forced: ARMY 15.4%, COLU 15.1%
COLUSmall
Home court
COLU at home. This season: COLU 0-0 at home, ARMY 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: ARMY plays 68.6 a game (200th fastest), COLU 67.8 (237th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ARMY 65%, COLU 61%. Transfers in: ARMY 0, COLU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COLU -10.3—
Total—149.8—
Projected score—ARMY 69.7 · COLU 80

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOLU -6.0—
1H total70.0—
1H projected scoreARMY 32 · COLU 38—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Army 1, Columbia 1, even 3
ArmyBetterColumbia
G R. Curry13.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast Score 57
Even
G M. Franklin9.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 1 ast Score 48
G K. McCarthy7.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 13
COLUSmall
G G. O'Keefe7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 45
F J. Holloway10.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.1 ast Score 37
Even
G H. Sanders4.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 38
F T. Laczkowski5.3 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.9 ast Score 38
ARMYSmall
F M. Ritter6.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 21
F D. Benner1.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F C. Igoe8.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 72
ArmyBetterColumbia
ARMY offense271st of 366 · -8.2
COLUSmall
COLU defense198th of 366 · -4.8
ARMY defense304th of 366 · -7.8
COLUBig
COLU offense163rd of 366 · -4.9
Backcourt-3.1 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.6 · 3 players
COLUSmall
Frontcourt-1.1 · 2 players
Bench-1.0 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestARMY betterCOLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Army
Guards
R. Curry34 minK. McCarthy24 minD. Watt5 minJ. Green3 minB. O'Keefe2 minJ. EllisNew
Forwards
J. Holloway29 minT. Laczkowski22 minD. Benner6 minN. Ikechi3 minD. Murans3 minH. RasmussenNew
Centers
P. HendersonNew
Columbia
Guards
M. Franklin24 minG. O'Keefe21 minH. Sanders15 minJ. Cunningham4 minD. VesseyNewN. RomanelliNew
Forwards
M. Ritter25 minC. Igoe20 minD. Langford11 min · TRR. Nweke8 minL. Coleman4 minN. ClarksonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ARMYCOLU
Scoring
70.8 #268Points per game74.9 #167
1.03 #281Points per possession1.10 #130
68.6 #200Pace (possessions)67.8 #237
Shooting
49.3 #279Effective FG%53.5 #83
32.0 #2783-point %35.9 #61
53.3 #33-point attempt rate37.5 #221
26.8 #352Free throw rate28.6 #337
Possessions
17.2 #221Turnover rate19.3 #332
29.6 #219Offensive rebound rate36.0 #23
14.5 #118Assists per game15.0 #90
Defense
79.0 #298Points allowed73.5 #145
1.15 #321Points allowed per possession1.09 #188
55.1 #334Opponent effective FG%51.2 #168
35.5 #285Opponent 3-point %35.2 #258
15.4 #257Turnovers forced15.1 #282
72.3 #54Defensive rebound rate72.8 #42
5.4 #307Steals per game5.7 #270
1.6 #359Blocks per game3.0 #235
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Army

9-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Bucknell55–65
  • L@ Lafayette77–83
  • Lvs Bucknell73–75
  • Lvs Navy63–81
  • W@ Loyola MD87–77

A week or more of rest.

Columbia

14-12 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Harvard71–81
  • Lvs Yale54–60
  • Wvs Brown80–62
  • Lvs Dartmouth63–64
  • W@ Princeton75–65

A week or more of rest.