Paycom Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
VAN -12.5✓ MCN covered by 2.5
VAN -12.5✓ MCN covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Under by 2.5
 MCN | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 26-5 | Record | 26-8 |
| 15-16 | ATS | 18-16 |
| 15-16 | O/U | 17-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MCN 71–84 VAN · ✓ VAN (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| VAN | 38 | 40 | 78 |
1st half: MCN 35, VAN 38 (VAN by 3). The model had VAN by 7.6 and a total of 72.2 (actual 73).
Team stats
| MCN | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-69 36% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 9-9 100% | Free throws | 17-20 85% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Garwey Dual G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 31 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Tyshawn Archie G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 6-16 | 1-5 |
| Larry Johnson G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-17 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Peitok Machar F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yanis Ndjonga F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Brewer, Erik Villarreal, Akim Mazou, JJ Rembert, T'Johnn Brown
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 37 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 7-16 | 3-8 |
| AK Okereke F | 33 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 32 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Duke Miles G | 28 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Washington F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Leverett, George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Tyler Harris, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson, Miles Keeffe, Mike James, Frankie Collins
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -12.5
ModelVAN -12.9
Model edgeVAN +0.4
L MCN covered
Total
Market148.5
Model154.6
Model edgeOver 6.1
L Under
Projected score
MCN 70.8 · VAN 83.7
MCN 68 · VAN 78
Win probability
VAN 87%
1st half
Spread
VAN -7.6
VAN -3.0
Total
72.2
73 points
Projected score
MCN 32.3 · VAN 39.9
MCN 35 · VAN 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -10.5
2 → VAN
CloseVAN -12.5
2 pts toward VAN
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MCN +500 · VAN -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -10.5 · closed VAN -12.5 · moved 2 toward VANmodel VAN -13
model VAN -13
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| VAN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
McNeese
31 games played
Straight up
26-5
84% wins
Against the spread
15-16
48% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-16
48% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SCU | L 67-79 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 14 | vs UL | W 88-62 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | vs GW | W 92-86 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MUR | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs MTSU | W 72-62 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ UIW | L 67-71 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | vs NWST | W 92-54 | -19.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ URI | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 12 | vs ETAM | W 102-66 | -20.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 15 | @ HCU | W 78-68 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ MICH | L 71-112 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs LAM | W 82-70 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vs SFA | W 66-64 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs SELA | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 12 | vs NICH | W 94-68 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | @ RGV | L 76-79 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | @ AMCC | W 69-53 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 24 | vs NOLA | W 82-63 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @SELA | W 76-66 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 31 | @LAM | W 64-63 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 2 | @SFA | L 60-67 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | vsUIW | W 81-64 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 9 | vsHCU | W 73-69 | -21.5 | L −17.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ETAM | W 97-54 | -13.5 | W +29.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 16 | @NWST | W 75-64 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsAMCC | W 70-54 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 23 | vsRGV | W 75-68 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | @NOLA | W 66-63 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 2 | @NICH | W 75-65 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 10 | vsRGV | W 84-80 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 11 | vsSFA | W 76-59 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
+10.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
+0.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−14.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+18.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
+0.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+15.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
−4.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
−16.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
−4.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−8.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+10.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
−12.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
+0.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
−2.5
31
@LAM
LAMW 64-63
−9.5
2
@SFA
SFAL 60-67
−9.5
7
vsUIW
UIWW 81-64
+0.5
9
vsHCU
HCUW 73-69
−17.5
14
@ETAM
ETAMW 97-54
+29.5
16
@NWST
NWSTW 75-64
−3.5
21
vsAMCC
AMCCW 70-54
+1.5
23
vsRGV
RGVW 75-68
−4.5
28
@NOLA
NOLAW 66-63
−7.5
2
@NICH
NICHW 75-65
+0.5
10
vsRGV
RGVW 84-80
−4.5
11
vsSFA
SFAW 76-59
+13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 16avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
−25.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
−13.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−7.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+6.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
−16.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+25.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
+8.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
+21.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
+6.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−14.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+15.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
+8.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
−18.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
−11.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
+2.5
31
@LAM
LAMW 64-63
−17.5
2
@SFA
SFAL 60-67
−14.5
7
vsUIW
UIWW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsHCU
HCUW 73-69
+4.5
14
@ETAM
ETAMW 97-54
+8.5
16
@NWST
NWSTW 75-64
+0.5
21
vsAMCC
AMCCW 70-54
−15.5
23
vsRGV
RGVW 75-68
−3.5
28
@NOLA
NOLAW 66-63
−21.5
2
@NICH
NICHW 75-65
−5.5
10
vsRGV
RGVW 84-80
+23.5
11
vsSFA
SFAW 76-59
+0.5
over 15under 16avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
34 games played
Straight up
26-8
76% wins
Against the spread
18-16
53% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-17
50% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs UK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs MISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs OU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @ AUB | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TA&M | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | @ MIZ | L 80-81 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vs TENN | L 65-69 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | vs UGA | W 88-80 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @UK | L 77-91 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @MISS | W 89-86 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | @TENN | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 13 | vsTENN | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 14 | vsFLA | W 91-74 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 15 | vsARK | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
+11.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
+5.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
−4.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−6.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+0.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
−12.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
−4.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+6.5
13
vsTENN
TENNW 75-68
+8.5
14
vsFLA
FLAW 91-74
+24.5
15
vsARK
ARKL 75-86
−13.5
covered 18didn’t cover 16avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
−1.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
−14.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
+6.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−16.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+4.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
+10.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
+19.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+21.5
13
vsTENN
TENNW 75-68
−4.5
14
vsFLA
FLAW 91-74
+3.5
15
vsARK
ARKL 75-86
−4.5
over 17under 17avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
McNeese
26-5 overall · 21-3 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SF Austin76–59
- Wvs UT Rio Grande84–80
- W@ Nicholls75–65
- W@ LSU N Orleans66–63
- Wvs UT Rio Grande75–68
A week or more of rest.
Vanderbilt
26-8 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas75–86
- Wvs Florida91–74
- Wvs Tennessee75–68
- W@ Tennessee86–82
- W@ Ole Miss89–86
4 days since their last game.