Pensacola Bay Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ARST -7.5✓ GASO covered by 10.5
ARST -7.5✓ GASO covered by 10.5Closing total165.5Under by 8.5
 GASO | This season | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| 15-15 | Record | 18-11 |
| 13-16 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 17-12 | O/U | 15-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GASO 82–89 ARST · ✗ ARST (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 42 | 38 | 80 |
| ARST | 34 | 43 | 77 |
1st half: GASO 42, ARST 34 (GASO by 8). The model had ARST by 4.0 and a total of 79.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| GASO | ARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 28-68 41% |
| 14-35 40% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 11-21 52% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 44 20 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Applewhite F | 38 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Spudd Webb G | 34 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Tyren Moore G | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 9-19 | 7-16 |
| Andres Burney F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nakavieon White F | 27 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Shainen Carter F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Pavle Ridesic, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cullen Schreiner, Amare Neal, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner, Jayden Williams
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Jackson G | 36 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Hampton G | 34 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Christian Harmon G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Matt Hayman G | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 7-16 | 6-13 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 24 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 22 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Joey Chammaa G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Rho Omed, Fredy-Salam Sylla, Royal Blue Smith, Tim Matthews, Weston Honeycutt, CJ Geathers, Grayson Bennett, Chudi Dioramma
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARST -7.5
ModelARST -6.9
Model edgeGASO +0.6
W GASO covered
Total
Market165.5
Model170.4
Model edgeOver 4.9
L Under
Projected score
GASO 81.8 · ARST 88.7
GASO 80 · ARST 77
Win probability
ARST 73%
1st half
Spread
ARST -4.0
GASO -8.0
Total
79.6
76 points
Projected score
GASO 37.8 · ARST 41.8
GASO 42 · ARST 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARST -7.5
no move
CloseARST -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open167.5
▼ 2
Close165.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
GASO +280 · ARST -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARST -7.5 · unchangedmodel ARST -7
model ARST -7
Opened 167.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 downmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 4-6 40% | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% |
| ARST | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GASO 1–3 ARSTARST leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · ARST has won the last 2 meetings · GASO 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | ARST 85 @ GASO 68 | GASO +1.5 | ARST W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | GASO 83 @ ARST 109 | ARST -8.5 | ARST W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | ARST 53 @ GASO 68 | GASO -6.5 | GASO W |
| Jan 1, 2021-22 | GASO 56 @ ARST 74 | ARST -4.5 | ARST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
GA Southern
30 games played
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ECU | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs UNCA | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ FGCU | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ GT | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ FSU | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs YSU | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTSA | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs HCU | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs LT | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ GWEB | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ WGA | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vs GAST | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs JMU | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ CCU | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ ODU | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ USA | L 71-87 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsODU | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsCCU | L 75-79 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vsARST | L 68-85 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | vs TROY | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 30 | vs ULM | W 79-76 | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 31 | @ UL | L 60-69 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | vs TXST | L 71-77 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | vs APP | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | vs MRSH | W 101-87 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 19 | @GAST | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 21 | @APP | L 74-89 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 25 | @JMU | L 66-82 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 27 | @MRSH | W 99-82 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 168.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 4 | vsODU | W 88-84 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+2.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
−2.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+4.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
+8.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−7.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−4.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−16.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
+10.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+6.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
−6.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
+13.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+1.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+2.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+5.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
−13.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
−2.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−10.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
−0.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−11.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−10.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 65-81
−14.5
14
vsMRSH
MRSHW 101-87
+16.5
19
@GAST
GASTL 64-66
−3.5
21
@APP
APPL 74-89
−7.5
25
@JMU
JMUL 66-82
−10.5
27
@MRSH
MRSHW 99-82
+24.5
4
vsODU
ODUW 88-84
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+29.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
+20.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+25.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
−30.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−5.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−35.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−19.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
−6.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+0.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
+9.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+21.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
−2.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+34.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+5.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+17.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
+9.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
+8.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−3.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−19.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
+1.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−15.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−3.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 65-81
+2.5
14
vsMRSH
MRSHW 101-87
+25.5
19
@GAST
GASTL 64-66
−24.5
21
@APP
APPL 74-89
+15.5
25
@JMU
JMUL 66-82
−5.5
27
@MRSH
MRSHW 99-82
+12.5
4
vsODU
ODUW 88-84
+14.5
over 17under 12avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas St
29 games played
Straight up
18-11
62% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OHIO | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ SFA | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ MOST | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ SMC | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ SMU | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs JXST | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs NDSU | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTA | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LR | W 90-78 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICE | L 76-77 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 17 | @TXST | W 89-70 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ USM | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsJMU | L 74-78 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsTROY | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | vsTXST | W 83-82 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | @USA | L 87-91 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | @TROY | L 74-99 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 22 | @GASO | W 85-68 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | @GAST | L 81-82 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | vsODU | L 71-75 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsMRSH | L 61-70 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 165.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 4 | @CCU | W 70-66 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs BGSU | W 91-54 | -2.5 | W +34.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | vsULM | W 103-70 | -20.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 14 | vsUSA | L 88-92 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 19 | @UL | W 79-62 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 21 | @ULM | W 102-94 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | O 196 |
| Feb 24 | vsUSM | W 89-84 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 27 | vsUL | W 81-58 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+7.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−26.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+2.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−16.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
+6.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+1.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
+14.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+2.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−3.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+14.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+5.5
3
vsJMU
JMUL 74-78
−14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYW 86-74
+7.5
10
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-82
−10.5
15
@USA
USAL 87-91
−8.5
17
@TROY
TROYL 74-99
−21.5
22
@GASO
GASOW 85-68
+15.5
24
@GAST
GASTL 81-82
−5.5
28
vsODU
ODUL 71-75
−13.5
31
vsMRSH
MRSHL 61-70
−12.5
4
@CCU
CCUW 70-66
−0.5
7
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-54
+34.5
11
vsULM
ULMW 103-70
+12.5
14
vsUSA
USAL 88-92
−12.5
19
@UL
ULW 79-62
+8.5
21
@ULM
ULMW 102-94
−7.5
24
vsUSM
USMW 89-84
−4.5
27
vsUL
ULW 81-58
+9.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+14.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−0.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+18.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−3.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
−18.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+4.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
−5.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+20.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−2.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+7.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+23.5
3
vsJMU
JMUL 74-78
−6.5
7
vsTROY
TROYW 86-74
−0.5
10
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-82
+8.5
15
@USA
USAL 87-91
+23.5
17
@TROY
TROYL 74-99
+7.5
22
@GASO
GASOW 85-68
−19.5
24
@GAST
GASTL 81-82
+5.5
28
vsODU
ODUL 71-75
−13.5
31
vsMRSH
MRSHL 61-70
−34.5
4
@CCU
CCUW 70-66
−15.5
7
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-54
−9.5
11
vsULM
ULMW 103-70
+10.5
14
vsUSA
USAL 88-92
+30.5
19
@UL
ULW 79-62
−3.5
21
@ULM
ULMW 102-94
+30.5
24
vsUSM
USMW 89-84
+14.5
27
vsUL
ULW 81-58
−7.5
over 15under 14avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
GA Southern
15-15 overall · 9-10 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion88–84
- W@ Marshall99–82
- L@ James Madison66–82
- L@ App State74–89
- L@ Georgia St64–66
1 day since their last game.
Arkansas St
18-11 overall · 11-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana81–58
- Wvs Southern Miss89–84
- W@ UL Monroe102–94
- W@ Louisiana79–62
- Lvs South Alabama88–92
6 days since their last game.