Mercyhurst Athletic Center · at Mercyhurst · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MERC -4.5✓ MERC covered by 0.5
MERC -4.5✓ MERC covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Under by 27.5
 STO | This season | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-20 | Record | 14-16 |
| 16-14 | ATS | 20-9 |
| 11-19 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STO 63–69 MERC · ✓ MERC (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STO | 19 | 32 | 51 |
| MERC | 23 | 33 | 56 |
1st half: STO 19, MERC 23 (MERC by 4). The model had MERC by 3.3 and a total of 62.0 (actual 42).
Team stats
| STO | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-50 36% | Field goals | 20-57 35% |
| 2-19 11% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 34 3 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 4 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| STO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermann Koffi G | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| Rex Sunderland G | 36 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Davante Hackett G | 27 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 6-16 | 2-7 |
| Chas Stinson G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Meuser F | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ridvan Tutic F | 26 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman F | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Holden G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trenton Ruth G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pearse McGuinn F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Charlie Diamantis, Colin Byrne, Cory Lovell, Norbu Jenpa, Will Batchelder, Eino Montin
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 31 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 29 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 7-11 | 3-4 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 29 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-3 |
| Christian Gamble G | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 27 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Sean Lang G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| James Thomas F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Or Faran, Chris Leman, Brady Conner, Emilis Butkus, Mykolas Ivanauskas, Vladimir Pavlovic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMERC -4.5
ModelMERC -5.8
Model edgeMERC +1.3
W MERC covered
Total
Market134.5
Model132.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
W Under
Projected score
STO 63.3 · MERC 69.1
STO 51 · MERC 56
Win probability
MERC 69%
1st half
Spread
MERC -3.3
MERC -4.0
Total
62.0
42 points
Projected score
STO 29.4 · MERC 32.7
STO 19 · MERC 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMERC -4.5
no move
CloseMERC -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open129.5
▲ 5
Close134.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
STO +170 · MERC -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MERC -4.5 · unchangedmodel MERC -6
model MERC -6
Opened 129.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 5 upmodel 132.5
model 132.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STO | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MERC | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STO 2–2 MERCSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · STO 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | MERC 75 @ STO 72 | STO +1.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | STO 62 @ MERC 57 | MERC -4.5 | STO W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | MERC 73 @ STO 85 | STO -4.5 | STO W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | STO 69 @ MERC 76 | MERC +1.5 | MERC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stonehill
30 games played
Straight up
10-20
33% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DEP | L 64-72 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | @ URI | L 57-80 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | @ FAIR | L 71-73 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs L-MD | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ ISU | L 57-96 | +40.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 21 | vs LAF | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 26 | vs UML | L 64-75 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | @ QUIN | L 62-76 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRY | L 65-77 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ UNH | L 58-59 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 22 | @ SYR | L 48-77 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vs NHVN | L 55-70 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @ WAG | W 69-60 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | @ CCSU | L 69-76 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs CHST | W 85-82 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @MERC | W 62-57 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | @ SFPA | L 61-63 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs LIU | L 63-66 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 26 | vsCCSU | W 61-59 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vs FDU | W 58-57 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | @ LEM | W 65-54 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 5 | @FDU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Feb 7 | @LIU | L 54-61 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 12 | @CHST | L 55-68 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 131.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | vsWAG | L 57-68 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 19 | @NHVN | L 51-64 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 121.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 21 | vsLEM | W 77-68 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 26 | vsSFPA | W 103-77 | -4.5 | W +21.5 | 140.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 28 | vsMERC | L 72-75 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Mar 4 | @LEM | W 81-71 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
+14.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−6.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+4.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−4.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+1.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+5.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−13.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
+1.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
−5.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
+2.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−6.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−16.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
+16.5
8
@CCSU
CCSUL 69-76
+0.5
10
vsCHST
CHSTW 85-82
−1.5
17
@MERC
MERCW 62-57
+9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAL 61-63
−0.5
23
vsLIU
LIUL 63-66
+2.5
26
vsCCSU
CCSUW 61-59
+3.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 58-57
−1.5
31
@LEM
LEMW 65-54
+13.5
5
@FDU
FDUL 58-74
−14.5
7
@LIU
LIUL 54-61
+3.5
12
@CHST
CHSTL 55-68
−15.5
14
vsWAG
WAGL 57-68
−14.5
19
@NHVN
NHVNL 51-64
−10.5
21
vsLEM
LEMW 77-68
+10.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 103-77
+21.5
28
vsMERC
MERCL 72-75
−1.5
4
@LEM
LEMW 81-71
+14.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
−11.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−14.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+0.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−1.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+6.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+2.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−9.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
−10.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
+7.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
−21.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−15.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−3.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
−10.5
8
@CCSU
CCSUL 69-76
+10.5
10
vsCHST
CHSTW 85-82
+31.5
17
@MERC
MERCW 62-57
−9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAL 61-63
−17.5
23
vsLIU
LIUL 63-66
−8.5
26
vsCCSU
CCSUW 61-59
−15.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 58-57
−16.5
31
@LEM
LEMW 65-54
−21.5
5
@FDU
FDUL 58-74
+1.5
7
@LIU
LIUL 54-61
−17.5
12
@CHST
CHSTL 55-68
−8.5
14
vsWAG
WAGL 57-68
−3.5
19
@NHVN
NHVNL 51-64
−6.5
21
vsLEM
LEMW 77-68
+7.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 103-77
+39.5
28
vsMERC
MERCL 72-75
+9.5
4
@LEM
LEMW 81-71
+11.5
over 11under 19avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercyhurst
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
20-9
69% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DAV | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @SYR | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs BING | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vsFDU | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsLEM | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @LIU | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @WAG | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTO | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vsCCSU | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | @NHVN | W 61-57 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 25 | vsCHST | W 61-59 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsNHVN | W 70-51 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @CHST | L 74-78 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsSFPA | W 98-89 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @FDU | L 52-55 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | @LEM | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 14 | @SFPA | W 94-79 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | vsWAG | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | vsLIU | W 91-83 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 26 | @CCSU | L 78-80 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 28 | @STO | W 75-72 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Mar 4 | vsFDU | W 70-61 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−21.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+10.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+13.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
−12.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
+11.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
+6.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+2.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+16.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
+2.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−7.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
+13.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
−6.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+2.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−0.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
+1.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+12.5
19
vsWAG
WAGL 80-83
−6.5
21
vsLIU
LIUW 91-83
+11.5
26
@CCSU
CCSUL 78-80
+1.5
28
@STO
STOW 75-72
+1.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 70-61
+5.5
covered 20didn’t cover 9avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−5.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+6.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+10.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
+7.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
−7.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
−21.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+6.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+7.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
−4.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−11.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
−1.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
+22.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+49.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−24.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
−23.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+34.5
19
vsWAG
WAGL 80-83
+29.5
21
vsLIU
LIUW 91-83
+33.5
26
@CCSU
CCSUL 78-80
+16.5
28
@STO
STOW 75-72
+9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 70-61
−0.5
over 14under 15avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stonehill
10-20 overall · 9-10 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Le Moyne81–71
- Lvs Mercyhurst72–75
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves103–77
- Wvs Le Moyne77–68
- L@ New Haven51–64
3 days since their last game.
Mercyhurst
14-16 overall · 11-8 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FDU70–61
- W@ Stonehill75–72
- L@ C Connecticut78–80
- Wvs Long Island91–83
- Lvs Wagner80–83
3 days since their last game.