Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
FAIR -3.5✓ FAIR covered by 7.5
FAIR -3.5✓ FAIR covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Under by 17.5
 MAN | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 11-19 | Record | 18-12 |
| 11-19 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 13-17 | O/U | 14-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MAN 76–80 FAIR · ✓ FAIR (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 27 | 33 | 60 |
| FAIR | 31 | 40 | 71 |
1st half: MAN 27, FAIR 31 (FAIR by 4). The model had FAIR by 2.4 and a total of 72.7 (actual 58).
Team stats
| MAN | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 25-65 38% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston G | 38 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-3 |
| Terrance Jones G | 34 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 34 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 29 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Quron Elliott G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Asier Miguel G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaeden Robley, Jameson Borodawka, Omari Moore, Nick Lukmann, Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Jackson Delaney, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora, Brett Rumpel
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 38 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 36 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 33 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 27 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Deuce Turner G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Eric Mejia G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Nasir Rodriguez, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Cam Estevez, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFAIR -3.5
ModelFAIR -4.3
Model edgeFAIR +0.8
W FAIR covered
Total
Market148.5
Model155.4
Model edgeOver 6.9
L Under
Projected score
MAN 75.6 · FAIR 79.9
MAN 60 · FAIR 71
Win probability
FAIR 65%
1st half
Spread
FAIR -2.4
FAIR -4.0
Total
72.7
58 points
Projected score
MAN 35.1 · FAIR 37.5
MAN 27 · FAIR 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -4.5
1 → MAN
CloseFAIR -3.5
1 pt toward MAN
Total
Open151.5
▼ 3
Close148.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MAN +170 · FAIR -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -4.5 · closed FAIR -3.5 · moved 1 toward MANmodel FAIR -4.5
model FAIR -4.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| FAIR | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MAN 5–5 FAIRSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · MAN 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | MAN 62 @ FAIR 98 | FAIR -6.5 | FAIR W |
| Dec 5, 2025-26 | FAIR 66 @ MAN 70 | MAN +1.5 | MAN W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MAN 80 @ FAIR 67 | FAIR +1.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | FAIR 87 @ MAN 84 | MAN -3.5 | FAIR W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | MAN 68 @ FAIR 77 | FAIR -9.5 | MAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Manhattan
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
11-19
37% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vsFAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRST | L 68-80 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ FOR | L 53-82 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs FUR | L 68-75 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRES | W 87-81 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 29 | @ RID | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs QUIN | W 80-79 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-73 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs CAN | L 64-70 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | vs NIA | W 79-70 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @FAIR | L 62-98 | +6.5 | L −29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | vs SIE | L 59-74 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | @QUIN | L 92-98 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 24 | @ IONA | L 57-66 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vsRID | W 95-90 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 1 | @ MSM | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vs SPU | L 75-80 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 7 | vs SHU | W 80-68 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | @NIA | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 15 | @CAN | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 20 | vsMRST | L 70-84 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 27 | @SPU | L 65-75 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 1 | vsIONA | L 65-69 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
−4.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−20.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+8.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
+0.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
+8.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−0.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−13.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+3.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
−29.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−8.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+7.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−1.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
−0.5
1
@MSM
MSML 65-72
−0.5
5
vsSPU
SPUL 75-80
−0.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 80-68
+13.5
13
@NIA
NIAW 76-69
+4.5
15
@CAN
CANW 69-65
+2.5
20
vsMRST
MRSTL 70-84
−8.5
27
@SPU
SPUL 65-75
−2.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 65-69
−1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 19avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
+7.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−12.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
−11.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+29.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
−2.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
−0.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−9.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−11.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+8.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
+1.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−11.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+36.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−30.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
+39.5
1
@MSM
MSML 65-72
−10.5
5
vsSPU
SPUL 75-80
+10.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 80-68
−13.5
13
@NIA
NIAW 76-69
+8.5
15
@CAN
CANW 69-65
−8.5
20
vsMRST
MRSTL 70-84
+11.5
27
@SPU
SPUL 65-75
−5.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 65-69
−17.5
over 13under 17avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
30 games played
Straight up
18-12
60% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vsSPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vsRID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAN | W 61-55 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | @IONA | W 71-70 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | vsQUIN | L 65-72 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @SHU | W 92-87 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vsMRST | W 63-60 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 15 | @SPU | L 74-83 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vsSHU | W 78-68 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 22 | @QUIN | W 85-79 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 27 | vsSIE | W 72-58 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 1 | vsMSM | L 47-69 | -4.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−4.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
+2.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−4.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+6.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
+4.5
15
@SPU
SPUL 74-83
−5.5
20
vsSHU
SHUW 78-68
+5.5
22
@QUIN
QUINW 85-79
+12.5
27
vsSIE
SIEW 72-58
+15.5
1
vsMSM
MSML 47-69
−26.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−25.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
−5.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−17.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+23.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
−15.5
15
@SPU
SPUL 74-83
+15.5
20
vsSHU
SHUW 78-68
−12.5
22
@QUIN
QUINW 85-79
+13.5
27
vsSIE
SIEW 72-58
−12.5
1
vsMSM
MSML 47-69
−29.5
over 14under 16avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Manhattan
11-19 overall · 8-12 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iona65–69
- L@ Saint Peter's65–75
- Lvs Marist70–84
- W@ Canisius69–65
- W@ Niagara76–69
4 days since their last game.
Fairfield
18-12 overall · 11-9 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Mount St Marys47–69
- Wvs Siena72–58
- W@ Quinnipiac85–79
- Wvs Sacred Heart78–68
- L@ Saint Peter's74–83
4 days since their last game.