Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UMBC -7.5✓ UMBC covered by 14.5
UMBC -7.5✓ UMBC covered by 14.5Closing total147.5Over by 12.5
 UML | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 12-17 | Record | 20-8 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 17-11 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 12-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 71–79 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| UMBC | 43 | 48 | 91 |
1st half: UML 29, UMBC 43 (UMBC by 14). The model had UMBC by 4.9 and a total of 70.4 (actual 72).
Team stats
| UML | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-69 36% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 37 17 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrel Yepdo G | 40 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-8 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 38 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| Xavier Spencer G | 38 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-12 | 1-7 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 33 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Austin Green F | 30 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4-13 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Victor Okojie F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| JJ Massaquoi F | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Walter, Kris Johnson, Keenan Bey, Jerrell Roberson II, Jared Frey
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 33 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 7-14 | 5-8 |
| Ace Valentine G | 33 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-6 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 25 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 25 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 20 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Paul Greene F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Stout F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -7.5
ModelUMBC -8.4
Model edgeUMBC +0.9
W UMBC covered
Total
Market147.5
Model150.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
UML 71 · UMBC 79.4
UML 69 · UMBC 91
Win probability
UMBC 77%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -4.9
UMBC -14.0
Total
70.4
72 points
Projected score
UML 32.7 · UMBC 37.6
UML 29 · UMBC 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -8.5
1 → UML
CloseUMBC -7.5
1 pt toward UML
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UML +280 · UMBC -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -8.5 · closed UMBC -7.5 · moved 1 toward UMLmodel UMBC -8.5
model UMBC -8.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| UMBC | 10-0 100% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
UML 9–3 UMBCUML leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · UMBC has won the last 2 meetings · UML 7-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | UMBC 84 @ UML 60 | UML +2.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | UML 56 @ UMBC 79 | UMBC -2.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UMBC 79 @ UML 98 | UML -5.5 | UML W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UML 83 @ UMBC 67 | UMBC +2.5 | UML W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UMBC 89 @ UML 94 | UML -7.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
29 games played
Straight up
12-17
41% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ CONN | L 47-110 | +36.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs NHVN | L 67-73 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 13 | @ COLU | L 72-86 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | @ WAKE | L 75-109 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 19 | @ BRAD | L 77-87 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | @ SPU | L 66-68 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | @ STO | W 75-64 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ MASS | L 60-80 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ QUIN | L 71-75 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs SHU | W 87-82 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ BU | L 76-88 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ IOWA | L 62-90 | +33.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UALB | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 8 | @ BRY | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ BING | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 15 | vs NJIT | L 64-73 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 22 | vs UVM | L 68-77 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @UMBC | L 56-79 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UNH | L 61-66 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 31 | vs ME | W 91-77 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 5 | @NJIT | L 56-81 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | @UALB | W 89-79 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | vsBRY | W 88-69 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNH | W 78-56 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | vsBING | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 26 | @UVM | L 64-66 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 28 | vsUMBC | L 60-84 | +2.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 3 | @ME | W 67-56 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 7 | vsUALB | W 81-76 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
+13.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−8.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
+8.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+7.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
−6.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+5.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+9.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
+16.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−1.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−17.5
22
vsUVM
UVML 68-77
−4.5
24
@UMBC
UMBCL 56-79
−20.5
29
@UNH
UNHL 61-66
−1.5
31
vsME
MEW 91-77
+9.5
5
@NJIT
NJITL 56-81
−23.5
7
@UALB
UALBW 89-79
+14.5
12
vsBRY
BRYW 88-69
+14.5
19
vsUNH
UNHW 78-56
+18.5
21
vsBING
BINGW 92-79
+3.5
26
@UVM
UVML 64-66
+7.5
28
vsUMBC
UMBCL 60-84
−21.5
3
@ME
MEW 67-56
+9.5
7
vsUALB
UALBW 81-76
+2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
−9.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−15.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
−7.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+17.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
+18.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+6.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+3.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
−3.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−5.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−8.5
22
vsUVM
UVML 68-77
−0.5
24
@UMBC
UMBCL 56-79
−16.5
29
@UNH
UNHL 61-66
−19.5
31
vsME
MEW 91-77
+31.5
5
@NJIT
NJITL 56-81
−12.5
7
@UALB
UALBW 89-79
+24.5
12
vsBRY
BRYW 88-69
+15.5
19
vsUNH
UNHW 78-56
−17.5
21
vsBING
BINGW 92-79
+24.5
26
@UVM
UVML 64-66
−16.5
28
vsUMBC
UMBCL 60-84
−6.5
3
@ME
MEW 67-56
−16.5
7
vsUALB
UALBW 81-76
+10.5
over 13under 16avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
28 games played
Straight up
20-8
71% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vsME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vsNJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsUML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UML | W 84-60 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 3 | @NJIT | W 91-52 | -4.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNH | W 84-69 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
+21.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
+34.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+2.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
−6.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
−0.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+10.5
over 12under 16avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
12-17 overall · 10-7 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAlbany81–76
- W@ Maine67–56
- Lvs UMBC60–84
- L@ Vermont64–66
- Wvs Binghamton92–79
3 days since their last game.
UMBC
20-8 overall · 15-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Hampshire84–69
- W@ NJIT91–52
- W@ UMass Lowell84–60
- Wvs Bryant70–58
- Wvs UAlbany66–62
3 days since their last game.