Sojka Pavilion · at Bucknell · Conference game
Closing line
BUCK -2.5✓ BUCK covered by 4.5
BUCK -2.5✓ BUCK covered by 4.5Closing total137.5Over by 7.5
 LAF | This season | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| 3-13 | Record | 5-12 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 10-5 | O/U | 3-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 67–72 BUCK · ✓ BUCK (64%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 30 | 39 | 69 |
| BUCK | 36 | 40 | 76 |
1st half: LAF 30, BUCK 36 (BUCK by 6). The model had BUCK by 2.4 and a total of 65.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| LAF | BUCK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 12-22 55% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 26 7 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 33 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Caleb Williams G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 32 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Wyche F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Azzinaro, Ashton Wallace, Beckett Currie, Folabomi Fayemi, TJ Berger, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achile Spadone G | 37 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Williams G | 36 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Pat Curtin G | 30 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Amon Dorries C | 27 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Quin Berger G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kellen Welch, Grgur Brcic, Matt Lange, Brandon McCreesh, Ruot Bijiek, Josh Fulton, Brady Muller
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBUCK -2.5
ModelBUCK -4.2
Model edgeBUCK +1.7
W BUCK covered
Total
Market137.5
Model138.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
W Over
Projected score
LAF 67.3 · BUCK 71.6
LAF 69 · BUCK 76
Win probability
BUCK 64%
1st half
Spread
BUCK -2.4
BUCK -6.0
Total
65.1
66 points
Projected score
LAF 31.3 · BUCK 33.8
LAF 30 · BUCK 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBUCK -4.5
2 → LAF
CloseBUCK -2.5
2 pts toward LAF
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LAF +140 · BUCK -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BUCK -4.5 · closed BUCK -2.5 · moved 2 toward LAFmodel BUCK -4
model BUCK -4
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 3-7 30% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| BUCK | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
LAF 3–6 BUCKBUCK leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BUCK has won the last 3 meetings · LAF 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | BUCK 75 @ LAF 69 | LAF +1.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | LAF 62 @ BUCK 65 | BUCK -3.5 | LAF W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | LAF 50 @ BUCK 60 | BUCK -4.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | BUCK 72 @ LAF 75 | LAF -2.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | LAF 65 @ BUCK 75 | BUCK -0.5 | BUCK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vs COLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vs BU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
over 10under 5avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bucknell
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-14
18% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEL | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ MSM | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ PRIN | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs HOF | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ PITT | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ SJU | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs BGSU | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUF | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vsCOR | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMBC | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ RID | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ IOWA | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ HC | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs LEH | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @NAVY | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsL-MD | W 70-67 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
+5.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
+12.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−5.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
−1.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−17.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−19.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
+5.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
+2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
−23.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+3.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−8.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
+10.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−29.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−8.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
+2.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−12.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
−1.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
−8.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−10.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
+20.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−7.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−12.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
−7.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
−2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
+13.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+16.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−4.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
−46.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−0.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−10.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
−0.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−6.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−6.5
over 3under 14avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
3-13 overall · 1-3 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Navy50–76
- Lvs Boston U67–83
- W@ Loyola MD79–64
- Lvs Colgate77–85
- L@ Georgia Tech81–95
4 days since their last game.
Bucknell
5-12 overall · 2-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD70–67
- L@ Navy55–76
- Wvs Lehigh72–65
- L@ Holy Cross58–65
- L@ Iowa39–94
4 days since their last game.