Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena · at Saint Joseph's · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -1.5✓ JOES covered by 19.5
GMU -1.5✓ JOES covered by 19.5Closing total136.5Over by 7.5
| GMU | This season | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| 20-6 | Record | 15-10 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 8-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GMU 70–69 JOES · ✗ GMU (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 25 | 38 | 63 |
| JOES | 44 | 37 | 81 |
1st half: GMU 25, JOES 44 (JOES by 19). The model had GMU by 0.5 and a total of 65.0 (actual 69).
Team stats
| GMU | JOES | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 32-62 52% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 26 4 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 1 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Allenspach F | 31 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 7-16 | 2-6 |
| Jahari Long G | 24 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kory Mincy G | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Fatt Hill G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Masai Troutman G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Booker G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-2 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Nick Ellington F | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| T.J. Prosise G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ben Woodward G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden O'Connor, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson G | 34 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 10-15 | 3-6 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 31 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 28 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-7 |
| Austin Williford G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khaafiq Myers G | 22 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Smith C | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mekai Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Will Lange F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kevin Kearney F | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Al Amadou F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Billy Rayer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Owen Verna, Steven Solano, Deuce Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -1.5
ModelGMU -0.7
Model edgeJOES +0.8
W JOES covered
Total
Market136.5
Model138.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
GMU 69.7 · JOES 69
GMU 63 · JOES 81
Win probability
GMU 52%
1st half
Spread
GMU -0.5
JOES -19.0
Total
65.0
69 points
Projected score
GMU 32.8 · JOES 32.2
GMU 25 · JOES 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -1.5
no move
CloseGMU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▼ 1
Close136.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
GMU -112 · JOES -108
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -1.5 · unchangedmodel GMU -0.5
model GMU -0.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 downmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| JOES | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
GMU 5–3 JOESGMU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 3 meetings · GMU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | JOES 52 @ GMU 60 | GMU -6.5 | GMU W |
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | JOES 64 vs GMU 74 | GMU +1.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | JOES 57 @ GMU 58 | GMU -4.5 | JOES W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | JOES 64 vs GMU 57 | GMU -1.5 | JOES W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | GMU 73 @ JOES 75 | JOES -4.5 | GMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
George Mason
26 games played
Straight up
20-6
77% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @ FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vs VCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @ LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vs GW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 28 | vs DAV | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @ SBU | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs DUQ | L 65-71 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsJOES | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | @ RICH | L 70-82 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 13 | @GW | L 53-72 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 18 | vs DAY | L 67-82 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
+1.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+2.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−14.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
+1.5
10
@RICH
RICHL 70-82
−15.5
13
@GW
GWL 53-72
−15.5
18
vsDAY
DAYL 67-82
−17.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
−22.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+7.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−7.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
−27.5
10
@RICH
RICHL 70-82
+12.5
13
@GW
GWL 53-72
−24.5
18
vsDAY
DAYL 67-82
+11.5
over 13under 13avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Joseph's
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-17
32% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vsDUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vsSBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vsDAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vsGW | W 76-73 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | vsFOR | L 64-68 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 18 | @SBU | W 71-65 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 21 | vsLUC | W 75-61 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
+4.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−7.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
+11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
−6.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−27.5
10
vsFOR
FORL 64-68
−3.5
18
@SBU
SBUW 71-65
−11.5
21
vsLUC
LUCW 75-61
−6.5
over 8under 17avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
George Mason
20-6 overall · 9-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Dayton67–82
- L@ G Washington53–72
- L@ Richmond70–82
- Wvs Saint Joseph's60–52
- Lvs Duquesne65–71
A week or more of rest.
Saint Joseph's
15-10 overall · 9-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola Chicago75–61
- W@ St Bonaventure71–65
- Lvs Fordham64–68
- L@ George Mason52–60
- Wvs G Washington76–73
4 days since their last game.