Robins Center · at Richmond · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -3.5✓ RICH covered by 15.5
GMU -3.5✓ RICH covered by 15.5Closing total139.5Over by 12.5
| GMU | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 20-3 | Record | 12-11 |
| 13-10 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 10-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GMU 73–70 RICH · ✗ GMU (61%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 29 | 41 | 70 |
| RICH | 49 | 33 | 82 |
1st half: GMU 29, RICH 49 (RICH by 20). The model had GMU by 2.1 and a total of 66.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| GMU | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-56 41% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 20-30 67% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 41 15 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 31 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Kory Mincy G | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Stas Sivka F | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Masai Troutman G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 35 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 8-11 | 2-4 |
| Nick Ellington F | 25 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 16 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Brayden O'Connor, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Lopez G | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Will Johnston G | 30 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 26 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-10 |
| Mike Walz C | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Collin Tanner G | 16 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 25 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 17 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| David Thomas G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
Did not play: Kirby Mooney, Bryson McGlothin, Apostolos Roumoglou, Donovan Richardson, Will Harper III, Dylan Homenick
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -3.5
ModelGMU -3.3
Model edgeRICH +0.2
W RICH covered
Total
Market139.5
Model142.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
GMU 73.1 · RICH 69.7
GMU 70 · RICH 82
Win probability
GMU 61%
1st half
Spread
GMU -2.1
RICH -20.0
Total
66.9
78 points
Projected score
GMU 34.5 · RICH 32.4
GMU 29 · RICH 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -4.5
1 → RICH
CloseGMU -3.5
1 pt toward RICH
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
GMU -166 · RICH +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -4.5 · closed GMU -3.5 · moved 1 toward RICHmodel GMU -3.5 matches the line
model GMU -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| RICH | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
GMU 7–2 RICHGMU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 3 meetings · GMU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | GMU 64 @ RICH 60 | RICH +6.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | RICH 58 @ GMU 64 | GMU -11.5 | RICH W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | RICH 46 @ GMU 64 | GMU -2.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | GMU 70 @ RICH 77 | RICH -2.5 | RICH W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | RICH 57 vs GMU 62 | GMU -2.5 | GMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
George Mason
23 games played
Straight up
20-3
87% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @ FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vs VCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @ LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vs GW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 28 | vs DAV | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @ SBU | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs DUQ | L 65-71 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs JOES | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
+1.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+2.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−14.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
−22.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+7.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−7.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
−27.5
over 11under 12avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vsODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vsGW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vsJOES | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vsLAS | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ SLU | L 63-88 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vsURI | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | @GW | L 69-85 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @VCU | L 69-77 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsDAV | L 54-79 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @URI | L 77-82 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−9.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
+12.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−10.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−4.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
27
@VCU
VCUL 69-77
+4.5
31
vsDAV
DAVL 54-79
−26.5
7
@URI
URIL 77-82
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−18.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
−20.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−11.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−7.5
24
@GW
GWL 69-85
−5.5
27
@VCU
VCUL 69-77
−9.5
31
vsDAV
DAVL 54-79
−7.5
7
@URI
URIL 77-82
+16.5
over 10under 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
George Mason
20-3 overall · 9-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Saint Joseph's60–52
- Lvs Duquesne65–71
- W@ St Bonaventure77–73
- Wvs Davidson60–52
- L@ Rhode Island65–74
3 days since their last game.
Richmond
12-11 overall · 3-8 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rhode Island77–82
- Lvs Davidson54–79
- L@ VCU69–77
- L@ G Washington69–85
- Lvs Rhode Island68–69
3 days since their last game.