Bartow Arena · at UAB · Conference game
Closing line
USF -2.5✓ USF covered by 10.5
USF -2.5✓ USF covered by 10.5Closing total168.5Under by 17.5
| USF | This season | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 11-7 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 86–84 UAB · ✓ USF (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 45 | 37 | 82 |
| UAB | 34 | 35 | 69 |
1st half: USF 45, UAB 34 (USF by 11). The model had USF by 1.0 and a total of 79.7 (actual 79).
Team stats
| USF | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 22-75 29% |
| 13-33 39% | 3-pointers | 4-25 16% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 21-25 84% |
| 46 16 off | Rebounds | 46 20 off |
| 18 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 12 |
| 9 | Blocks | 8 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Pinion G | 35 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 7-16 | 6-12 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 34 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| CJ Brown G | 34 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 29 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Wes Enis G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daimion Collins F | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Devin Haid G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: De'Ante Green, Onyx Nnani, Caleb Sanders, Tristan Beckford, Xavier Brown
| UAB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Meyer G | 35 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-19 | 1-5 |
| Evan Chatman F | 34 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Ahmad Robinson G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Daniel Rivera F | 23 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Quaran McPherson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Westry G | 27 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| KyeRon Lindsay-Martin F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Ari Gooch G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Salim London G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Dayjaun Anderson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Lance Carr, Joao Das Chagas, Joey Kahn, Jorden Pittman, Justin Holloway
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSF -2.5
ModelUSF -1.5
Model edgeUAB +1.0
L USF covered
Total
Market168.5
Model170.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
USF 85.9 · UAB 84.4
USF 82 · UAB 69
Win probability
USF 55%
1st half
Spread
USF -1.0
USF -11.0
Total
79.7
79 points
Projected score
USF 40.3 · UAB 39.3
USF 45 · UAB 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -2.5
no move
CloseUSF -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▲ 2
Close168.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USF -155 · UAB +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -2.5 · unchangedmodel USF -1.5
model USF -1.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 2 upmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UAB | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
USF 0–6 UABUAB leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UAB has won the last 6 meetings · USF 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | UAB 109 @ USF 106 | USF -8.5 | UAB W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | USF 78 @ UAB 85 | UAB -8.5 | USF W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | UAB 92 @ USF 83 | USF +2.5 | UAB W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | UAB 93 vs USF 83 | USF -2.5 | UAB W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | USF 71 @ UAB 75 | UAB -3.5 | UAB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs ECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs WICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
over 10under 7avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UAB
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MVSU | W 106-55 | -34.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ NCSU | L 70-94 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALST | L 74-77 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | vs HPU | W 91-74 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 21 | vs USA | W 80-72 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIU | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTEP | W 75-59 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ MTSU | L 61-76 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | @ DRKE | W 74-69 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 14 | vs TROY | L 85-86 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs CLE | W 101-77 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNCA | W 72-47 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vsWICH | L 70-75 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @USF | W 109-106 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | vs FAU | L 71-76 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 11 | @ECU | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | @ TULN | W 82-69 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 18 | vsTLSA | L 77-99 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+16.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 70-94
−4.5
11
vsALST
ALSTL 74-77
−22.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 91-74
+18.5
21
vsUSA
USAW 80-72
+0.5
24
vsSIU
SIUW 81-73
+5.5
25
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-59
+7.5
1
@MTSU
MTSUL 61-76
−16.5
5
@DRKE
DRKEW 74-69
+6.5
14
vsTROY
TROYL 85-86
−7.5
17
vsCLE
CLEW 101-77
+5.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAW 72-47
+11.5
31
vsWICH
WICHL 70-75
−8.5
4
@USF
USFW 109-106
+11.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 71-76
−8.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 87-85
−5.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 82-69
+11.5
18
vsTLSA
TLSAL 77-99
−23.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+15.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 70-94
+1.5
11
vsALST
ALSTL 74-77
−13.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 91-74
−3.5
21
vsUSA
USAW 80-72
+2.5
24
vsSIU
SIUW 81-73
−7.5
25
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-59
−12.5
1
@MTSU
MTSUL 61-76
−16.5
5
@DRKE
DRKEW 74-69
−5.5
14
vsTROY
TROYL 85-86
+15.5
17
vsCLE
CLEW 101-77
+21.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAW 72-47
−32.5
31
vsWICH
WICHL 70-75
−4.5
4
@USF
USFW 109-106
+51.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 71-76
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 87-85
+21.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 82-69
−2.5
18
vsTLSA
TLSAL 77-99
+16.5
over 8under 10avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
10-7 overall · 3-2 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wichita St85–86
- Wvs East Carolina82–71
- W@ Tulsa93–78
- W@ North Texas74–70
- Lvs UAB106–109
4 days since their last game.
UAB
11-7 overall · 3-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tulsa77–99
- W@ Tulane82–69
- W@ East Carolina87–85
- Lvs FAU71–76
- W@ South Florida109–106
4 days since their last game.