Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -10.5✓ TTU covered by 19.5
ISU -10.5✓ TTU covered by 19.5Closing total145.5Over by 9.5
 TTU | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-7 | Record | 24-4 |
| 15-13 | ATS | 16-12 |
| 13-15 | O/U | 11-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 71–77 ISU · ✗ ISU (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 45 | 37 | 82 |
| ISU | 29 | 44 | 73 |
1st half: TTU 45, ISU 29 (TTU by 16). The model had ISU by 3.3 and a total of 69.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| TTU | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-53 58% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 14-29 48% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 29 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Atwell G | 38 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 6-10 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 33 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Christian Anderson G | 32 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 26 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyeree Bryan G | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Josiah Moseley F | 22 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Marial Akuentok F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Leon Horner G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nolan Groves, LaTrell Hoover, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis, JT Toppin
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 35 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 6-14 | 2-4 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 32 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-14 | 5-9 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 28 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Killyan Toure G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 26 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Rise, Dominick Nelson, Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Eric Mulder, Xzavion Mitchell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -10.5
ModelISU -5.7
Model edgeTTU +4.8
W TTU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model147.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
TTU 71.1 · ISU 76.8
TTU 82 · ISU 73
Win probability
ISU 69%
1st half
Spread
ISU -3.3
TTU -16.0
Total
69.2
74 points
Projected score
TTU 32.9 · ISU 36.2
TTU 45 · ISU 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -7.5
3 → ISU
CloseISU -10.5
3 pts toward ISU
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TTU +400 · ISU -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -7.5 · closed ISU -10.5 · moved 3 toward ISUmodel ISU -5.5
model ISU -5.5
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TTU 3–4 ISUISU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · ISU has won the last 2 meetings · TTU 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | ISU 85 @ TTU 84 | TTU -2.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | TTU 74 @ ISU 82 | ISU -7.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 30, 2022-23 | ISU 77 @ TTU 80 | TTU -2.5 | TTU W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | TTU 50 @ ISU 84 | ISU -4.5 | ISU W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | ISU 41 vs TTU 72 | TTU -8 | TTU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
28 games played
Straight up
21-7
75% wins
Against the spread
15-13
54% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @ HOU | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLO | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vs UTAH | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs BYU | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @ BAY | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsHOU | W 90-86 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 31 | @ UCF | L 80-88 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 2 | vs KU | L 61-64 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 8 | @ WVU | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vsCOLO | W 78-44 | -13.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @ ARIZ | W 78-75 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ ASU | L 67-72 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vs KSU | W 100-72 | -12.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 24 | vs CIN | W 80-68 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
+3.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−3.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
−3.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
+10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+17.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+5.5
31
@UCF
UCFL 80-88
−13.5
2
vsKU
KUL 61-64
−6.5
8
@WVU
WVUW 70-63
+2.5
11
vsCOLO
COLOW 78-44
+20.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZW 78-75
+11.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 67-72
−12.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 100-72
+15.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 80-68
+5.5
covered 15didn’t cover 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
−8.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−17.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
+2.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
−10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+10.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+34.5
31
@UCF
UCFL 80-88
+8.5
2
vsKU
KUL 61-64
−30.5
8
@WVU
WVUW 70-63
−6.5
11
vsCOLO
COLOW 78-44
−33.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZW 78-75
−3.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 67-72
−17.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 100-72
+13.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 80-68
+4.5
over 13under 15avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
28 games played
Straight up
24-4
86% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vsWVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsOKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vsUCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vsCOLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @KSU | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsBAY | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @ TCU | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vsKU | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 16 | vsHOU | W 70-67 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | @BYU | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | @UTAH | W 75-59 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
+21.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−11.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−14.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
+10.5
16
vsHOU
HOUW 70-67
+0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 69-79
−12.5
24
@UTAH
UTAHW 75-59
+1.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
−0.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−10.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−30.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
−17.5
16
vsHOU
HOUW 70-67
+2.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 69-79
−6.5
24
@UTAH
UTAHW 75-59
−10.5
over 11under 17avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
21-7 overall · 11-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cincinnati80–68
- Wvs Kansas St100–72
- L@ Arizona St67–72
- W@ Arizona78–75
- Wvs Colorado78–44
4 days since their last game.
Iowa State
24-4 overall · 11-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Utah75–59
- L@ BYU69–79
- Wvs Houston70–67
- Wvs Kansas74–56
- L@ TCU55–62
4 days since their last game.