Addition Financial Arena · at UCF · Conference game
Closing line
UCF -6.5✓ ASU covered by 3.5
UCF -6.5✓ ASU covered by 3.5Closing total161.5Under by 6.5
 ASU | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 11-9 | Record | 15-4 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 13-7 | O/U | 7-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 80–86 UCF · ✓ UCF (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 39 | 37 | 76 |
| UCF | 35 | 44 | 79 |
1st half: ASU 39, UCF 35 (ASU by 4). The model had UCF by 3.3 and a total of 77.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| ASU | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 29-65 45% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 36 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Massamba Diop C | 33 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Ford G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 25 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 24 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 22 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vijay Wallace, Dame Salane, Jovan Icitovic, Trevor Best, Quentin McCoy, Kash Polk, Marcus Adams Jr., Adante' Holiman
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 38 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 3-12 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Burks F | 35 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Riley Kugel G | 35 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 28 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| John Bol C | 24 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Johnson G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Elijah Hulsewe, George Beale Jr., Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Jeremy Foumena, Kris Parker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCF -6.5
ModelUCF -5.8
Model edgeASU +0.7
W ASU covered
Total
Market161.5
Model165.1
Model edgeOver 3.6
L Under
Projected score
ASU 79.7 · UCF 85.5
ASU 76 · UCF 79
Win probability
UCF 69%
1st half
Spread
UCF -3.3
ASU -4.0
Total
77.3
74 points
Projected score
ASU 37 · UCF 40.3
ASU 39 · UCF 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -8.5
2 → ASU
CloseUCF -6.5
2 pts toward ASU
Total
Open164.5
▼ 3
Close161.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +270 · UCF -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -8.5 · closed UCF -6.5 · moved 2 toward ASUmodel UCF -6
model UCF -6
Opened 164.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 downmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 9-1 90% |
| UCF | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ASU 0–1 UCFUCF leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ASU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | UCF 95 @ ASU 89 | ASU -3.5 | UCF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @ BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs KSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ ARIZ | L 82-89 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 18 | @ HOU | L 73-103 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vs WVU | L 63-75 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vs CIN | W 82-68 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+14.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
−11.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−13.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+17.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+3.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
+33.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−7.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+3.5
over 13under 7avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
19 games played
Straight up
15-4
79% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vsCIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @COLO | W 95-86 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+21.5
over 7under 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
11-9 overall · 2-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cincinnati82–68
- Lvs West Virginia63–75
- L@ Houston73–103
- L@ Arizona82–89
- Wvs Kansas St87–84
3 days since their last game.
UCF
15-4 overall · 4-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Colorado95–86
- L@ Iowa State57–87
- Lvs Arizona77–84
- W@ Kansas St82–73
- Wvs Cincinnati73–72
3 days since their last game.