Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St · Conference game
Closing line
BYU -7.5✓ BYU covered by 2.5
BYU -7.5✓ BYU covered by 2.5Closing total174.5Under by 18.5
| BYU | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 | Record | 9-4 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BYU 88–78 KSU · ✓ BYU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 45 | 38 | 83 |
| KSU | 35 | 38 | 73 |
1st half: BYU 45, KSU 35 (BYU by 10). The model had BYU by 5.5 and a total of 77.7 (actual 80).
Team stats
| BYU | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 28-67 42% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 3-21 14% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 47 16 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 12 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 37 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 6-15 | 2-2 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 35 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Richie Saunders G | 35 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-15 | 3-11 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 33 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 8-15 | 1-2 |
| Keba Keita F | 27 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: KJ Perry, Aleksej Kostic, Dominique Diomande, Khadim Mboup, Brody Kozlowski, Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor, Dawson Baker
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 36 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 8-16 | 0-2 |
| Nate Johnson G | 31 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 30 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 25 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Taj Manning F | 18 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6-14 | 0-5 |
| Dorin Buca C | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| CJ Jones G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Elias Rapieque, Exavier Wilson, Stephen Osei, Andrej Kostic, Marcus Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -7.5
ModelBYU -9.0
Model edgeBYU +1.5
W BYU covered
Total
Market174.5
Model165.9
Model edgeUnder 8.6
W Under
Projected score
BYU 87.5 · KSU 78.4
BYU 83 · KSU 73
Win probability
BYU 79%
1st half
Spread
BYU -5.5
BYU -10.0
Total
77.7
80 points
Projected score
BYU 41.6 · KSU 36.1
BYU 45 · KSU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -14.5
7 → KSU
CloseBYU -7.5
7 pts toward KSU
Total
Open171.5
▲ 3
Close174.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
BYU -340 · KSU +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -14.5 · closed BYU -7.5 · moved 7 toward KSUmodel BYU -9
model BYU -9
Opened 171.5 · closed 174.5 · moved 3 upmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| KSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BYU 2–1 KSUBYU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BYU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | KSU 65 @ BYU 80 | BYU -7.5 | BYU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | BYU 74 @ KSU 84 | KSU -1.5 | KSU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | KSU 66 @ BYU 72 | BYU -10.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
BYU
13 games played
Straight up
12-1
92% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
over 6under 7avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
over 8under 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
BYU
12-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Washington109–81
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–67
- Wvs Pacific93–57
- Wvs UC Riverside100–53
- Wvs Clemson67–64
A week or more of rest.
Kansas St
9-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe94–85
- Wvs South Dakota106–76
- W@ Creighton83–76
- Wvs Miss Valley St108–49
- Lvs Seton Hall67–78
6 days since their last game.