F.G. Clark Activity Center · at Southern · Conference game
Closing line
SOU -6.5✓ ALST covered by 5.5
SOU -6.5✓ ALST covered by 5.5Closing total149.5Under by 12.5
 ALST | This season | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-16 | Record | 7-13 |
| 9-13 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 13-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 74–81 SOU · ✓ SOU (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| SOU | 35 | 34 | 69 |
1st half: ALST 37, SOU 35 (ALST by 2). The model had SOU by 3.9 and a total of 72.5 (actual 72).
Team stats
| ALST | SOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 22-57 39% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 43 15 off | Rebounds | 34 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Palesse G | 34 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Micah Simpson G | 34 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 7-17 | 2-7 |
| Tyler Byrd G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 27 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| JaSteven Walker F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Mack G | 22 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Mario Andrews C | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damarien Yates F | 20 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| R'Chaun King F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damion Cox Jr., Tyler Mason, Damarion Bonds, Asjon Anderson, Kevin Alabi, Jordon Marshall, Trey Miller
| SOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jacobs G | 38 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 2-15 | 0-5 |
| DaMariee Jones F | 36 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| AJ Barnes F | 30 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. F | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Fazl Oshodi G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Amboree G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Brandon Hardy G | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Ashton Magee G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Puoch Dobuol F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joe Manning G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Rondae Hill, Keith Lamar, Trey Shephard, Femi Olaniyan, D'Mari Wiltz, Lionel Bell, Jayce Depron, Andre Nunley, Malek Abdelgowad
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSOU -6.5
ModelSOU -6.7
Model edgeSOU +0.2
L ALST covered
Total
Market149.5
Model155.0
Model edgeOver 5.5
L Under
Projected score
ALST 74.2 · SOU 80.9
ALST 68 · SOU 69
Win probability
SOU 72%
1st half
Spread
SOU -3.9
ALST -2.0
Total
72.5
72 points
Projected score
ALST 34.3 · SOU 38.2
ALST 37 · SOU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSOU -7.5
1 → ALST
CloseSOU -6.5
1 pt toward ALST
Total
Open151.5
▼ 2
Close149.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
ALST +250 · SOU -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SOU -7.5 · closed SOU -6.5 · moved 1 toward ALSTmodel SOU -6.5 matches the line
model SOU -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| SOU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ALST 4–4 SOUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · ALST has won the last 2 meetings · ALST 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | ALST 66 @ SOU 65 | SOU -5.5 | ALST W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | SOU 81 @ ALST 82 | ALST +1.5 | ALST W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | SOU 65 @ ALST 57 | ALST -0.5 | SOU W |
| Feb 12, 2023-24 | ALST 62 @ SOU 73 | SOU -4.5 | SOU W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | ALST 52 @ SOU 66 | SOU -9.5 | SOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
22 games played
Straight up
6-16
27% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ MIZ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ CIN | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ MEM | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ MSST | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ MVSU | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | @ UAPB | L 79-90 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs JKST | L 64-75 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs ALCN | W 81-66 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 19 | vs AAMU | L 69-73 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ PV | W 95-80 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ TXSO | L 64-96 | +2.5 | L −29.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vs BCU | L 54-69 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 2 | vs FAMU | W 79-66 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | @ GRAM | L 47-57 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 104 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+18.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−15.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
−0.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−20.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+6.5
5
@UAPB
UAPBL 79-90
−12.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTL 64-75
−18.5
12
vsALCN
ALCNW 81-66
+5.5
19
vsAAMU
AAMUL 69-73
−5.5
24
@PV
PVW 95-80
+13.5
27
@TXSO
TXSOL 64-96
−29.5
31
vsBCU
BCUL 54-69
−13.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 79-66
+9.5
7
@GRAM
GRAML 47-57
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+6.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−6.5
22
@MEM
MEML 67-88
+3.5
29
@MSST
MSSTL 56-94
−4.5
3
@MVSU
MVSUW 89-69
+13.5
5
@UAPB
UAPBL 79-90
+9.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTL 64-75
−14.5
12
vsALCN
ALCNW 81-66
−4.5
19
vsAAMU
AAMUL 69-73
−4.5
24
@PV
PVW 95-80
+16.5
27
@TXSO
TXSOL 64-96
+4.5
31
vsBCU
BCUL 54-69
−29.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 79-66
+5.5
7
@GRAM
GRAML 47-57
−40.5
over 10under 12avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Southern
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ARK | L 77-109 | +26.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 5 | @ MARQ | L 82-100 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 18 | @ WASH | L 93-99 | +23.5 | W +17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 21 | @ SJSU | L 66-80 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 29 | @ NWST | W 75-73 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 8 | @ TEX | L 69-95 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 10 | @ TXST | L 83-86 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 16 | @ CBU | L 67-75 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | @ BAY | L 67-111 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | @ ILL | L 55-90 | +33.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsTXSO | W 84-73 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 5 | vsPV | L 85-89 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | @FAMU | L 59-67 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @BCU | W 77-73 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 17 | @GRAM | W 71-53 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 24 | vsUAPB | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | vsMVSU | W 80-69 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ALCN | L 73-78 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 2 | @JKST | W 96-91 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | vsAAMU | W 81-68 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
−5.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+6.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+17.5
21
@SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−8.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 75-73
−1.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 69-95
−3.5
10
@TXST
TXSTL 83-86
+0.5
16
@CBU
CBUL 67-75
+4.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 67-111
−17.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 55-90
−1.5
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 84-73
+4.5
5
vsPV
PVL 85-89
−11.5
10
@FAMU
FAMUL 59-67
−12.5
12
@BCU
BCUW 77-73
+7.5
17
@GRAM
GRAMW 71-53
+19.5
24
vsUAPB
UAPBL 74-75
−10.5
28
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-69
−9.5
31
@ALCN
ALCNL 73-78
−12.5
2
@JKST
JKSTW 96-91
−0.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 81-68
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
+35.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+26.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+34.5
21
@SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−4.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 75-73
+3.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 69-95
+5.5
10
@TXST
TXSTL 83-86
+26.5
16
@CBU
CBUL 67-75
−13.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 67-111
+8.5
29
@ILL
ILLL 55-90
−18.5
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 84-73
+3.5
5
vsPV
PVL 85-89
+13.5
10
@FAMU
FAMUL 59-67
−27.5
12
@BCU
BCUW 77-73
−1.5
17
@GRAM
GRAMW 71-53
−29.5
24
vsUAPB
UAPBL 74-75
−5.5
28
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-69
+7.5
31
@ALCN
ALCNL 73-78
+3.5
2
@JKST
JKSTW 96-91
+34.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 81-68
+5.5
over 13under 7avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
6-16 overall · 4-6 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grambling47–57
- Wvs Florida A&M79–66
- Lvs Bethune54–69
- L@ Texas Southern64–96
- W@ Prairie View95–80
2 days since their last game.
Southern
7-13 overall · 6-4 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama A&M81–68
- W@ Jackson St96–91
- L@ Alcorn St73–78
- Wvs Miss Valley St80–69
- Lvs AR-Pine Bluff74–75
2 days since their last game.