Kohl Center · at Wisconsin · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -2.5✓ WIS covered by 10.5
WIS -2.5✓ WIS covered by 10.5Closing total147.5Over by 7.5
 IOWA | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 19-7 | Record | 18-8 |
| 16-10 | ATS | 15-11 |
| 15-11 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IOWA 75–77 WIS · ✓ WIS (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 41 | 30 | 71 |
| WIS | 40 | 44 | 84 |
1st half: IOWA 41, WIS 40 (IOWA by 1). The model had WIS by 1.1 and a total of 71.0 (actual 81).
Team stats
| IOWA | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 28-52 54% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Koch F | 40 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-11 | 2-10 |
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 9-16 | 3-8 |
| Kael Combs G | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tavion Banks G | 23 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tate Sage G | 23 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Isaia Howard G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brendan Hausen, Trevin Jirak, Trey Thompson, Peyton McCollum, Joey Matteoni, Jacob Koch
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd G | 36 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 9-16 | 1-3 |
| Nolan Winter F | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 8-11 | 2-3 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 32 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| John Blackwell G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Rapp F | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Jones G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Robison, Zach Kinziger, Isaac Gard, Riccardo Greppi, Will Garlock, Elijah Gray, Jack Janicki
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIS -2.5
ModelWIS -2.0
Model edgeIOWA +0.5
L WIS covered
Total
Market147.5
Model151.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
W Over
Projected score
IOWA 74.9 · WIS 76.8
IOWA 71 · WIS 84
Win probability
WIS 57%
1st half
Spread
WIS -1.1
IOWA -1.0
Total
71.0
81 points
Projected score
IOWA 35 · WIS 36
IOWA 41 · WIS 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -1.5
1 → WIS
CloseWIS -2.5
1 pt toward WIS
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
IOWA +142 · WIS -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -1.5 · closed WIS -2.5 · moved 1 toward WISmodel WIS -2
model WIS -2
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
IOWA 1–6 WISWIS leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WIS has won the last 2 meetings · IOWA 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | WIS 74 @ IOWA 63 | IOWA +5.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | IOWA 85 @ WIS 116 | WIS -6.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | WIS 86 @ IOWA 88 | IOWA -1.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | IOWA 72 @ WIS 83 | WIS -5.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | IOWA 52 @ WIS 64 | WIS +1.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa
26 games played
Straight up
19-7
73% wins
Against the spread
16-10
62% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vs ILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vs RUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs USC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @ WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vs NU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | @MD | L 70-77 | -10.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | vsPUR | L 57-78 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs NEB | W 57-52 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
−17.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−18.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
+3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
+8.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−7.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
−30.5
over 15under 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
26 games played
Straight up
18-8
69% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vsNU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsPUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vsUCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vsRUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vsUSC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vsMSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
over 15under 11avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa
19-7 overall · 9-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nebraska57–52
- Lvs Purdue57–78
- L@ Maryland70–77
- Wvs Northwestern76–70
- W@ Washington84–74
5 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
18-8 overall · 10-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio State69–86
- Wvs Michigan St92–71
- W@ Illinois92–90
- L@ Indiana77–78
- Wvs Ohio State92–82
5 days since their last game.