Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -8.5✓ MICH covered by 12.5
MICH -8.5✓ MICH covered by 12.5Closing total161.5Under by 18.5
| MICH | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-1 | Record | 15-7 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MICH 88–78 OSU · ✓ MICH (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 44 | 38 | 82 |
| OSU | 34 | 27 | 61 |
1st half: MICH 44, OSU 34 (MICH by 10). The model had MICH by 6.5 and a total of 77.4 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MICH | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-71 46% | Field goals | 20-55 36% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 43 16 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 20 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Aday Mara C | 25 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 11-16 | 2-2 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 23 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| L.J. Cason G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Trey McKenney G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Will Tschetter F | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Royal F | 36 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Bruce Thornton G | 35 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6-16 | 2-6 |
| Amare Bynum F | 33 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 33 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taison Chatman G | 19 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic, Braylen Nash, Colin White, Josh Ojianwuna, Brandon Noel, Puff Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -8.5
ModelMICH -10.8
Model edgeMICH +2.3
W MICH covered
Total
Market161.5
Model165.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
L Under
Projected score
MICH 88.2 · OSU 77.5
MICH 82 · OSU 61
Win probability
MICH 83%
1st half
Spread
MICH -6.5
MICH -10.0
Total
77.4
78 points
Projected score
MICH 42 · OSU 35.4
MICH 44 · OSU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -9.5
1 → OSU
CloseMICH -8.5
1 pt toward OSU
Total
Open160.5
▲ 1
Close161.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MICH -485 · OSU +370
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -9.5 · closed MICH -8.5 · moved 1 toward OSUmodel MICH -11
model MICH -11
Opened 160.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 upmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MICH 5–2 OSUMICH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MICH has won the last 2 meetings · MICH 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | OSU 62 @ MICH 74 | MICH -16.5 | OSU W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | MICH 86 @ OSU 83 | OSU -1.5 | MICH W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | MICH 61 @ OSU 84 | OSU -12.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | OSU 65 @ MICH 73 | MICH -1.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 5, 2022-23 | OSU 69 @ MICH 77 | MICH -3.5 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan
22 games played
Straight up
21-1
95% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs IU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vs NEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
over 9under 13avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vsNEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vsPSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
over 11under 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan
21-1 overall · 11-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State110–69
- W@ Michigan St83–71
- Wvs Nebraska75–72
- Wvs Ohio State74–62
- Wvs Indiana86–72
3 days since their last game.
Ohio State
15-7 overall · 7-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Maryland82–62
- L@ Wisconsin82–92
- Wvs Penn State84–78
- L@ Michigan62–74
- Wvs Minnesota82–74
3 days since their last game.