Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -11.5✓ NEB covered by 8.5
MICH -11.5✓ NEB covered by 8.5Closing total157.5Under by 10.5
 NEB | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 20-0 | Record | 18-1 |
| 12-8 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 6-14 | O/U | 7-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEB 71–84 MICH · ✓ MICH (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 50 | 22 | 72 |
| MICH | 48 | 27 | 75 |
1st half: NEB 50, MICH 48 (NEB by 2). The model had MICH by 7.5 and a total of 72.5 (actual 98).
Team stats
| NEB | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-63 46% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 3-4 75% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 23 7 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 13 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hoiberg G | 39 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 39 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 6-18 | 5-16 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 36 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 35 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 8-15 | 4-9 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leo Curtis F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jared Garcia F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Frager, Kendall Blue, Justin Bolis, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt, Rienk Mast
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Cadeau G | 33 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 33 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-6 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 28 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Aday Mara C | 25 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Will Tschetter F | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| L.J. Cason G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -9.5
2 → MICH
CloseMICH -11.5
2 pts toward MICH
Total
Open153.5
▲ 4
Close157.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
NEB +500 · MICH -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -9.5 · closed MICH -11.5 · moved 2 toward MICHmodel MICH -13
model MICH -13
Opened 153.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 4 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -11.5 | MICH -12.8 | MICH +1.3 | L NEB covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 154.8 | Under 2.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | NEB 71 · MICH 83.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -7.5 | NEB -2.0 |
| 1H total | 72.5 | 98 |
| 1H projected score | NEB 32.5 · MICH 40 | NEB 50 · MICH 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
NEB 2–4 MICHMICH leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · NEB 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | MICH 49 @ NEB 46 | NEB +1.5 | MICH W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | NEB 85 @ MICH 70 | MICH +6.5 | NEB W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MICH 59 @ NEB 79 | NEB -9.5 | NEB W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | NEB 72 @ MICH 93 | MICH -11.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 1, 2021-22 | NEB 79 @ MICH 85 | MICH -15 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nebraska
20 games played
Straight up
20-0
100% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-14
30% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @ OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs ORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs WASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
over 6under 14avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
19 games played
Straight up
18-1
95% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsIU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
over 7under 12avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska
20-0 overall · 9-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Minnesota76–57
- Wvs Washington76–66
- W@ Northwestern77–58
- Wvs Oregon90–55
- W@ Indiana83–77
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
18-1 overall · 8-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State74–62
- Wvs Indiana86–72
- W@ Oregon81–71
- W@ Washington82–72
- Lvs Wisconsin88–91
4 days since their last game.