Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -4.5✓ UCLA covered by 6.5
UCLA -4.5✓ UCLA covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Under by 17.5
| UCLA | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | Record | 9-7 |
| 6-10 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 8-8 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 77–73 PSU · ✓ UCLA (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 29 | 42 | 71 |
| PSU | 23 | 37 | 60 |
1st half: UCLA 29, PSU 23 (UCLA by 6). The model had UCLA by 2.9 and a total of 70.3 (actual 52).
Team stats
| UCLA | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-47 43% | Field goals | 20-46 43% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 21-21 100% | Free throws | 16-17 94% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 21 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Perry G | 38 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 32 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-7 |
| Donovan Dent G | 29 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Xavier Booker C | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Steven Jamerson II F | 24 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Eric Freeny G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Jamar Brown G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Williams F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Christian Horry, Anthony Peoples Jr., Evan Manjikian, Markell Alston
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Stewart G | 37 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-7 |
| Ivan Juric F | 35 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Josh Reed F | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Eli Rice G | 28 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melih Tunca G | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kayden Mingo, Justin Houser, Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -3.5
1 → UCLA
CloseUCLA -4.5
1 pt toward UCLA
Total
Open152.5
▼ 4
Close148.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCLA -218 · PSU +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -3.5 · closed UCLA -4.5 · moved 1 toward UCLAmodel UCLA -4.5 matches the line
model UCLA -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 152.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 4 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 | UCLA -4.6 | UCLA +0.1 | W UCLA covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 150.0 | Over 1.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCLA 77.3 · PSU 72.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCLA -2.9 | UCLA -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.3 | 52 |
| 1H projected score | UCLA 36.6 · PSU 33.7 | UCLA 29 · PSU 23 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| PSU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCLA 1–0 PSUUCLA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCLA 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | PSU 54 @ UCLA 78 | UCLA -10.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
over 8under 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
over 8under 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
11-5 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland67–55
- L@ Wisconsin72–80
- L@ Iowa61–74
- Wvs UC Riverside97–65
- Wvs Cal Poly108–87
4 days since their last game.
Penn State
9-7 overall · 0-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue85–93
- Lvs Michigan72–74
- Lvs Illinois65–73
- Wvs NC Central90–67
- Lvs Pitt46–80
4 days since their last game.