Case Gym · at Boston U · Conference game
Closing line
BU -1.5✓ AMER covered by 3.5
BU -1.5✓ AMER covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Under by 16.5
 AMER | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 4-9 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 5-8 |
| 9-3 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 74–75 BU · ✗ BU (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 38 | 26 | 64 |
| BU | 32 | 30 | 62 |
1st half: AMER 38, BU 32 (AMER by 6). The model had BU by 1.0 and a total of 69.8 (actual 70).
Team stats
| AMER | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-49 47% | Field goals | 20-53 38% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 36 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 30 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Matt Mayock F | 30 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 22 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Luke Brown F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dean Hogans, Adrian Samuels, Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Gibraltar Coleman, Noah Jones, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Gladden G | 37 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 37 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Azmar Abdullah G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Ben Defty C | 27 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Malcolm Chimezie F | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sam Hughes F | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Andrew Bhesania, Ben Roy, Otto Landrum, Quinn Nielsen, Matai Baptiste, Ethan Okwuosa, Kyrone Alexander, Spencer Joyner, Peter Carr
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBU -1.5
ModelBU -1.9
Model edgeBU +0.4
L AMER covered
Total
Market142.5
Model148.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
L Under
Projected score
AMER 73.5 · BU 75.4
AMER 64 · BU 62
Win probability
BU 56%
1st half
Spread
BU -1.0
AMER -6.0
Total
69.8
70 points
Projected score
AMER 34.4 · BU 35.4
AMER 38 · BU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -1.5
3 → BU
CloseBU -1.5
3 pts toward BU
Total
Open150.5
▼ 8
Close142.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
AMER -105 · BU -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -1.5 · closed BU -1.5 · moved 3 toward BUmodel BU -2
model BU -2
Opened 150.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 8 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| BU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
AMER 2–6 BUBU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · AMER 0-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | BU 44 @ AMER 48 | AMER -4.5 | BU W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | AMER 54 @ BU 60 | BU -2.5 | BU W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | BU 67 @ AMER 52 | AMER -5.5 | BU W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | AMER 68 @ BU 72 | BU -1.5 | BU W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | AMER 54 @ BU 60 | BU -2.5 | BU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-3
75% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
over 9under 3avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +11.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ NU | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs BRWN | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRMK | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ COLU | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vs HARV | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ PSU | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ NKU | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNH | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vsME | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ DART | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs UML | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @ NAVY | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−1.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
−11.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−18.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−10.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+6.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−4.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
+35.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−3.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+18.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
+21.5
over 8under 5avg +11.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
6-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD84–69
- L@ Virginia51–95
- L@ VCU83–105
- Wvs MD Eastern78–60
- Wvs Drexel75–73
3 days since their last game.
Boston U
4-9 overall · 0-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Navy77–82
- Wvs UMass Lowell88–76
- L@ Dartmouth64–77
- Lvs Maine59–69
- L@ New Hampshire82–88
3 days since their last game.