Fiserv Forum · at Marquette · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -8.5✓ MARQ covered by 2.5
SJU -8.5✓ MARQ covered by 2.5Closing total157.5Under by 11.5
| SJU | This season | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| 20-5 | Record | 9-17 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 9-17 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 14-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 84–73 MARQ · ✓ SJU (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 44 | 32 | 76 |
| MARQ | 35 | 35 | 70 |
1st half: SJU 44, MARQ 35 (SJU by 9). The model had SJU by 6.4 and a total of 73.2 (actual 79).
Team stats
| SJU | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 26-61 43% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Hopkins F | 34 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 8-14 | 1-3 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 30 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 30 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Joson Sanon G | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Ian Jackson G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Oziyah Sellers G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Dylan Darling G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ruben Prey F | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Imran Suljanovic, Fotis Konstantinidis, Casper Pohto, Kelvin Odih, Handje Tamba
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross G | 36 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 34 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 11-21 | 1-3 |
| Ben Gold F | 32 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Royce Parham F | 29 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarius Owens SF | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tre Norman G | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nash Walker, Braeden Brenn, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Joshua Clark, Casey O'Malley, Sean Jones, Jonah Lucas
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJU -8.5
ModelSJU -10.6
Model edgeSJU +2.1
L MARQ covered
Total
Market157.5
Model156.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
SJU 83.5 · MARQ 72.9
SJU 76 · MARQ 70
Win probability
SJU 82%
1st half
Spread
SJU -6.4
SJU -9.0
Total
73.2
79 points
Projected score
SJU 39.8 · MARQ 33.4
SJU 44 · MARQ 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -9.5
1 → MARQ
CloseSJU -8.5
1 pt toward MARQ
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
SJU -440 · MARQ +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -9.5 · closed SJU -8.5 · moved 1 toward MARQmodel SJU -10.5
model SJU -10.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| MARQ | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SJU 4–6 MARQMARQ leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SJU has won the last 4 meetings · SJU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | MARQ 68 @ SJU 92 | SJU -15.5 | SJU W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MARQ 63 vs SJU 79 | SJU -3.5 | SJU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | SJU 86 @ MARQ 84 | MARQ -4.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | MARQ 64 @ SJU 70 | SJU -2.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | SJU 75 @ MARQ 86 | MARQ -7.5 | MARQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vsMARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vs HALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @ XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vs CONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @PROV | W 79-69 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
14
@PROV
PROVW 79-69
−19.5
over 12under 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marquette
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
9-17
35% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vsGTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vsHALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | @CONN | L 57-73 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | vsXAV | W 66-65 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsVILL | L 73-76 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @SJU | L 68-92 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 16 | @DEP | L 75-80 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | vsPROV | W 105-104 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 23 | @BTLR | L 76-87 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 27 | vsCREI | W 86-62 | +1.5 | W +25.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | @HALL | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | vsBTLR | W 70-55 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 10 | @VILL | L 74-77 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @XAV | L 88-96 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
+1.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−4.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+0.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
−8.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
−2.5
19
vsPROV
PROVW 105-104
−1.5
23
@BTLR
BTLRL 76-87
−5.5
27
vsCREI
CREIW 86-62
+25.5
31
@HALL
HALLL 64-69
+1.5
7
vsBTLR
BTLRW 70-55
+11.5
10
@VILL
VILLL 74-77
+6.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 88-96
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 17avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
−14.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−26.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
+4.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
+9.5
19
vsPROV
PROVW 105-104
+41.5
23
@BTLR
BTLRL 76-87
+1.5
27
vsCREI
CREIW 86-62
−6.5
31
@HALL
HALLL 64-69
−10.5
7
vsBTLR
BTLRW 70-55
−30.5
10
@VILL
VILLL 74-77
+6.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 88-96
+26.5
over 14under 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
20-5 overall · 13-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Providence79–69
- Wvs Xavier87–82
- Wvs UConn81–72
- W@ DePaul68–56
- Wvs Butler92–70
4 days since their last game.
Marquette
9-17 overall · 4-11 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Xavier88–96
- L@ Villanova74–77
- Wvs Butler70–55
- L@ Seton Hall64–69
- Wvs Creighton86–62
4 days since their last game.