Lenovo Center · at NC State · Conference game
Closing line
NCSU -10.5✓ NCSU covered by 9.5
NCSU -10.5✓ NCSU covered by 9.5Closing total151.5Over by 4.5
 SYR | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 14-6 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 72–82 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| NCSU | 41 | 47 | 88 |
1st half: SYR 37, NCSU 41 (NCSU by 4). The model had NCSU by 5.5 and a total of 72.0 (actual 78).
Team stats
| SYR | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-67 39% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 33 15 off | Rebounds | 45 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 21 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnie Freeman F | 34 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 9-18 | 2-4 |
| Nate Kingz G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| J.J. Starling G | 28 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7-19 | 2-6 |
| William Kyle III F | 27 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Naithan George G | 26 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-12 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Akir Souare F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Russell III G | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Luke Fennell G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Lobdell, Aaron Womack III, Tiefing Diawara
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Williams F | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 9-16 | 5-9 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 33 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 26 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 8-8 | 0-0 |
| Tre Holloman G | 24 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 21 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colt Langdon, Jerry Deng, Alyn Breed, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins, Jayme Kontuniemi, Scottie Ebube
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -11.5
1 → SYR
CloseNCSU -10.5
1 pt toward SYR
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +470 · NCSU -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -11.5 · closed NCSU -10.5 · moved 1 toward SYRmodel NCSU -9.5
model NCSU -9.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NCSU -10.5 | NCSU -9.4 | SYR +1.1 | L NCSU covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 153.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SYR 72.2 · NCSU 81.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NCSU -5.5 | NCSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 72.0 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | SYR 33.2 · NCSU 38.7 | SYR 37 · NCSU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| NCSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
SYR 5–1 NCSUSYR leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · SYR 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | NCSU 60 @ SYR 74 | SYR -0.5 | SYR W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | NCSU 83 vs SYR 65 | SYR -1.5 | NCSU W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | SYR 87 @ NCSU 83 | NCSU -6.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NCSU 65 @ SYR 77 | SYR -0.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | NCSU 72 @ SYR 75 | SYR -1.5 | SYR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vs FSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @ BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vs MIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
over 10under 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vsKU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs WAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | vsGT | L 74-78 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | @CLEM | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @PITT | W 81-72 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−21.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+6.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−2.5
20
@CLEM
CLEMW 80-76
+13.5
24
@PITT
PITTW 81-72
+8.5
over 11under 9avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
12-8 overall · 3-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami76–85
- Lvs Virginia Tech74–76
- L@ Boston College73–81
- Wvs Florida St94–86
- W@ Pitt83–72
3 days since their last game.
NC State
14-6 overall · 5-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pitt81–72
- W@ Clemson80–76
- Lvs Georgia Tech74–78
- W@ Florida St113–69
- W@ Boston College79–71
3 days since their last game.