Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -19.5✓ DUKE covered by 1.5
DUKE -19.5✓ DUKE covered by 1.5Closing total153.5Over by 5.5
 WAKE | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | Record | 17-1 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 11-8 | O/U | 6-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAKE 67–85 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 31 | 38 | 69 |
| DUKE | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: WAKE 31, DUKE 42 (DUKE by 11). The model had DUKE by 10.2 and a total of 71.0 (actual 73).
Team stats
| WAKE | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 14-32 44% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 21-24 88% |
| 22 6 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 38 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 5-9 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 33 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Myles Colvin G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Nate Calmese G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omaha Biliew F | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Carr G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Cross G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti, Marqus Marion, Owen Kmety
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 33 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 11-20 | 3-8 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Caleb Foster G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Dame Sarr F | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 15 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maliq Brown F | 25 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 24 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Darren Harris G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jack Scott G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Sheffield G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -19.5
ModelDUKE -17.3
Model edgeWAKE +2.2
L DUKE covered
Total
Market153.5
Model151.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
L Over
Projected score
WAKE 67.1 · DUKE 84.5
WAKE 69 · DUKE 90
Win probability
DUKE 93%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -10.2
DUKE -11.0
Total
71.0
73 points
Projected score
WAKE 30.4 · DUKE 40.6
WAKE 31 · DUKE 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -17.5
2 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -19.5
2 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open149.5
▲ 4
Close153.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
WAKE +1300 · DUKE -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -17.5 · closed DUKE -19.5 · moved 2 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -17.5
model DUKE -17.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WAKE 2–6 DUKEDUKE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DUKE has won the last 2 meetings · WAKE 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | WAKE 60 @ DUKE 93 | DUKE -19.5 | DUKE W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | DUKE 63 @ WAKE 56 | WAKE +11.5 | WAKE W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | DUKE 79 @ WAKE 83 | WAKE -2.5 | WAKE W |
| Feb 12, 2023-24 | WAKE 69 @ DUKE 77 | DUKE -6.5 | DUKE W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | WAKE 73 @ DUKE 75 | DUKE -7.5 | WAKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wake Forest
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs VT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs SMU | L 79-91 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
−13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
+12.5
over 11under 8avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
18 games played
Straight up
17-1
94% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vsTTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs GT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vsSMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
over 6under 12avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wake Forest
11-8 overall · 2-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SMU79–91
- W@ Florida St69–68
- L@ North Carolina84–87
- Lvs Miami77–81
- Wvs Virginia Tech81–78
4 days since their last game.
Duke
17-1 overall · 6-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Stanford80–50
- W@ California71–56
- Wvs SMU82–75
- W@ Louisville84–73
- W@ Florida St91–87
A week or more of rest.