Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson · Conference game
Closing line
CLEM -2.5✓ NCSU covered by 6.5
CLEM -2.5✓ NCSU covered by 6.5Closing total142.5Over by 13.5
 NCSU | This season | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| 12-6 | Record | 16-3 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 12-7 |
| 9-9 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCSU 72–75 CLEM · ✗ CLEM (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU | 38 | 31 | 11 | 80 |
| CLEM | 33 | 36 | 7 | 76 |
1st half: NCSU 38, CLEM 33 (NCSU by 5). The model had CLEM by 1.6 and a total of 68.5 (actual 71).
Team stats
| NCSU | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 22-25 88% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland G | 41 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Darrion Williams F | 39 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5-17 | 3-8 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 36 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Tre Holloman G | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colt Langdon, Jayme Kontuniemi, Jerry Deng, Alyn Breed, Jordan Snell, Zymicah Wilkins, Scottie Ebube
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter G | 38 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-13 | 3-8 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 38 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 38 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Carter Welling F | 34 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Butta Johnson G | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Ace Buckner G | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Nick Davidson F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Chase Thompson F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Trent Steinour, Zac Foster, Blake Davidson, Dallas Thomas
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -3.5
1 → NCSU
CloseCLEM -2.5
1 pt toward NCSU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 3
Close142.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NCSU +124 · CLEM -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -3.5 · closed CLEM -2.5 · moved 1 toward NCSUmodel CLEM -3
model CLEM -3
Opened 145.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 | CLEM -2.9 | CLEM +0.4 | L NCSU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 146.2 | Over 3.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NCSU 71.7 · CLEM 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CLEM -1.6 | NCSU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | NCSU 33.5 · CLEM 35 | NCSU 38 · CLEM 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| CLEM | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NCSU 1–6 CLEMCLEM leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · NCSU 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | CLEM 68 @ NCSU 58 | NCSU +5.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NCSU 78 @ CLEM 77 | CLEM -7.5 | NCSU W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | NCSU 54 vs CLEM 80 | CLEM -1.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | CLEM 96 @ NCSU 71 | NCSU -5.5 | CLEM W |
| Dec 30, 2022-23 | NCSU 64 @ CLEM 78 | CLEM -2.5 | CLEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC State
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs WAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @ BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | vs GT | L 74-78 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−21.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
17
vsGT
GTL 74-78
−2.5
over 9under 9avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
19 games played
Straight up
16-3
84% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vsBC | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIA | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
+8.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
−12.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
−15.5
over 8under 11avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC State
12-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgia Tech74–78
- W@ Florida St113–69
- W@ Boston College79–71
- Lvs Virginia61–76
- Wvs Wake Forest70–57
3 days since their last game.
Clemson
16-3 overall · 6-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Miami69–59
- Wvs Boston College74–50
- W@ Notre Dame76–61
- Wvs SMU74–70
- W@ Pitt73–68
3 days since their last game.