Sojka Pavilion · at Bucknell · Conference game
Closing line
BUCK -6.5✓ L-MD covered by 3.5
BUCK -6.5✓ L-MD covered by 3.5Closing total143.5Under by 6.5
 L-MD | This season | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| 3-11 | Record | 4-12 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 3-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 70–75 BUCK · ✓ BUCK (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| BUCK | 28 | 42 | 70 |
1st half: L-MD 28, BUCK 28 (tied). The model had BUCK by 3.1 and a total of 67.8 (actual 56).
Team stats
| L-MD | BUCK | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 14-37 38% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 32 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 8-17 | 4-9 |
| Tyson Commander G | 24 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Sam Springer F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Jonas Sirtautas F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmett Adair F | 25 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 22 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peter Sposito, Goap Kodi, Ben Menker, Garrett Brennan, Everett Barnes
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon Dorries C | 38 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 8-13 | 1-1 |
| Achile Spadone G | 36 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Williams G | 29 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Pat Curtin G | 28 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 10-17 | 2-7 |
| Ruot Bijiek F | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 25 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Quin Berger G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Lange, Grgur Brcic, Kellen Welch, Brandon McCreesh, Josh Fulton, Brady Muller
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBUCK -6.5
ModelBUCK -5.4
Model edgeL-MD +1.1
W L-MD covered
Total
Market143.5
Model144.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
L Under
Projected score
L-MD 69.7 · BUCK 75.1
L-MD 67 · BUCK 70
Win probability
BUCK 68%
1st half
Spread
BUCK -3.1
tied
Total
67.8
56 points
Projected score
L-MD 32.4 · BUCK 35.5
L-MD 28 · BUCK 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBUCK -6.5
no move
CloseBUCK -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +235 · BUCK -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BUCK -6.5 · unchangedmodel BUCK -5.5
model BUCK -5.5
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| BUCK | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
L-MD 3–6 BUCKBUCK leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BUCK has won the last 5 meetings · L-MD 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | L-MD 72 @ BUCK 76 | BUCK -9.5 | L-MD W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | BUCK 70 @ L-MD 67 | L-MD +2.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | L-MD 67 @ BUCK 79 | BUCK -5.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | BUCK 68 @ L-MD 46 | L-MD +4.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | L-MD 52 @ BUCK 67 | BUCK -8.5 | BUCK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
14 games played
Straight up
3-11
21% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ AMER | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAF | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARMY | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−6.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−13.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−1.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−9.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+13.5
over 8under 6avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bucknell
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-13
19% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEL | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @MSM | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ PRIN | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs HOF | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ PITT | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ SJU | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs BGSU | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUF | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs COR | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMBC | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ RID | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ IOWA | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ HC | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs LEH | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @ NAVY | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
+5.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
+12.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−5.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
−1.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−17.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−19.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
+5.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
+2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
−23.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+3.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−8.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
+10.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−29.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−8.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
+2.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
−1.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
−8.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−10.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
+20.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−7.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−12.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
−7.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
−2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
+13.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+16.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−4.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
−46.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−0.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−10.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
−0.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−6.5
over 3under 13avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
3-11 overall · 1-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Army84–76
- Lvs Lafayette64–79
- L@ American69–84
- L@ George Mason79–86
- Lvs Mount St Marys73–81
3 days since their last game.
Bucknell
4-12 overall · 1-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Navy55–76
- Wvs Lehigh72–65
- L@ Holy Cross58–65
- L@ Iowa39–94
- W@ Rider51–38
3 days since their last game.