Case Gym · at Boston U · Conference game
Closing line
NAVY -1.5✓ NAVY covered by 6.5
NAVY -1.5✓ NAVY covered by 6.5Closing total138.5Under by 30.5
| NAVY | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-6 | Record | 7-13 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 6-13 | O/U | 13-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NAVY 73–71 BU · ✓ NAVY (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 21 | 37 | 58 |
| BU | 27 | 23 | 50 |
1st half: NAVY 21, BU 27 (BU by 6). The model had NAVY by 1.4 and a total of 67.5 (actual 48).
Team stats
| NAVY | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-51 49% | Field goals | 19-50 38% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 2-2 100% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni G | 40 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 33 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 4-4 |
| Aidan Kehoe C | 31 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Mike Woods F | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Pennick G | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Draper F | 24 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Cam Cole G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tobi Raji, Owen Gray, Cooper Jackson, C.J. Kearns, Matt Gaffney, Colin Pollock, Steven McLeod, Jerry Ashley Jr., Jordan McConnell, Luke Morgan, David Burnett, Davyn de Jongh and 6 more
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azmar Abdullah G | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Sam Hughes F | 36 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Chance Gladden G | 36 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3-11 | 1-2 |
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 36 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Ben Defty C | 32 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Bhesania, Malcolm Chimezie, Peter Carr, Spencer Joyner, Kyrone Alexander, Ethan Okwuosa, Matai Baptiste, Otto Landrum, Ben Roy
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNAVY -1.5
ModelNAVY -2.2
Model edgeNAVY +0.7
W NAVY covered
Total
Market138.5
Model144.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
L Under
Projected score
NAVY 73.2 · BU 71
NAVY 58 · BU 50
Win probability
NAVY 57%
1st half
Spread
NAVY -1.4
BU -6.0
Total
67.5
48 points
Projected score
NAVY 34.5 · BU 33.1
NAVY 21 · BU 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNAVY -1.5
no move
CloseNAVY -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NAVY -135 · BU +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NAVY -1.5 · unchangedmodel NAVY -2
model NAVY -2
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| BU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
NAVY 9–3 BUNAVY leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · NAVY has won the last 2 meetings · NAVY 9-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | BU 77 @ NAVY 82 | NAVY -4.5 | NAVY W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | NAVY 86 @ BU 78 | BU -3.5 | NAVY W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | NAVY 65 @ BU 87 | BU -1.5 | BU W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | BU 47 @ NAVY 62 | NAVY -1.5 | NAVY W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | NAVY 61 @ BU 70 | BU -3.5 | BU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Navy
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PRES | W 76-55 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 7 | vs YALE | L 68-97 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ PSU | L 71-80 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNC | L 61-73 | +26.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs NJIT | W 86-70 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 26 | vs GWEB | W 84-51 | -10.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | @ UNCW | L 57-87 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs SELA | L 65-69 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ DSU | W 66-59 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 7 | vs AF | W 61-56 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 19 | vs COPP | W 88-55 | -20.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 31 | vsBU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ HC | W 65-58 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | vs BUCK | W 76-55 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs LAF | W 76-50 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ AMER | L 51-65 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 17 | @ LEH | W 82-79 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 21 | vsHC | W 85-68 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 24 | vs ARMY | W 84-56 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
+22.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
−21.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−7.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−8.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−4.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
+12.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+0.5
3
@HC
HCW 65-58
+1.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKW 76-55
+12.5
10
vsLAF
LAFW 76-50
+17.5
12
@AMER
AMERL 51-65
−16.5
17
@LEH
LEHW 82-79
−0.5
21
vsHC
HCW 85-68
+5.5
24
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-56
+17.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
−18.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
+5.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−2.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−7.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−16.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
−2.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+21.5
3
@HC
HCW 65-58
−14.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKW 76-55
−6.5
10
vsLAF
LAFW 76-50
−15.5
12
@AMER
AMERL 51-65
−23.5
17
@LEH
LEHW 82-79
+23.5
21
vsHC
HCW 85-68
+18.5
24
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-56
−3.5
over 6under 13avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ NU | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs BRWN | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRMK | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ COLU | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vs HARV | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @PSU | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ NKU | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNH | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs ME | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ DART | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs UML | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @NAVY | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vsAMER | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @LAF | W 83-67 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsARMY | W 100-91 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 14 | vsLEH | L 91-93 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @ L-MD | L 57-74 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 21 | vsLAF | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ COLG | L 79-80 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−1.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
−11.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−18.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−10.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+6.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
−0.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−3.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+14.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
−6.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−18.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
−0.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−4.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
+35.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−3.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+18.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
+21.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−16.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+7.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+50.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
+39.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−17.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
+4.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+11.5
over 13under 7avg +11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Navy
13-6 overall · 7-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Army84–56
- Wvs Holy Cross85–68
- W@ Lehigh82–79
- L@ American51–65
- Wvs Lafayette76–50
4 days since their last game.
Boston U
7-13 overall · 3-5 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colgate79–80
- Wvs Lafayette77–73
- L@ Loyola MD57–74
- Lvs Lehigh91–93
- Wvs Army100–91
4 days since their last game.