Mullins Center · at UMass · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -1.5✓ MASS covered by 10.5
MASS -1.5✓ MASS covered by 10.5Closing total156.5Over by 19.5
 OHIO | This season | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| 13-14 | Record | 14-15 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 11-18 |
| 13-14 | O/U | 18-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OHIO 80–82 MASS · ✓ MASS (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 39 | 43 | 82 |
| MASS | 37 | 57 | 94 |
1st half: OHIO 39, MASS 37 (OHIO by 2). The model had MASS by 1.1 and a total of 75.4 (actual 76).
Team stats
| OHIO | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-67 40% | Field goals | 30-57 53% |
| 5-28 18% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 27-35 77% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hadaway F | 38 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 36 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 7-17 | 1-5 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-11 | 2-9 |
| Javan Simmons F | 30 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 27 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dior Conners G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Breath F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jesse Burris G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Ayden Evans, Carter Reese, Zay Mosley, JJ Kelly, Jordan Fisher, Chase Boals, Elijah Elliott
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 34 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 8-15 | 6-12 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 33 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 25 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 23 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Placide G | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| K'Jei Parker G | 19 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| CJ Outlaw F | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitri Clerc, Bilal Osman, Donovan Brown, Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra, Daniel Hankins-Sanford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMASS -1.5
ModelMASS -2.0
Model edgeMASS +0.5
W MASS covered
Total
Market156.5
Model161.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
W Over
Projected score
OHIO 79.6 · MASS 81.6
OHIO 82 · MASS 94
Win probability
MASS 57%
1st half
Spread
MASS -1.1
OHIO -2.0
Total
75.4
76 points
Projected score
OHIO 37.1 · MASS 38.2
OHIO 39 · MASS 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -2.5
1 → OHIO
CloseMASS -1.5
1 pt toward OHIO
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
OHIO +110 · MASS -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -2.5 · closed MASS -1.5 · moved 1 toward OHIOmodel MASS -2
model MASS -2
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| MASS | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OHIO 1–0 MASSOHIO leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OHIO 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | MASS 83 @ OHIO 86 | OHIO -4.5 | MASS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio
27 games played
Straight up
13-14
48% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs BGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ EMU | W 68-67 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | vsMASS | W 86-83 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BUF | W 91-80 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ TOL | L 85-101 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ BALL | L 71-76 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 20 | vs NIU | W 80-77 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 23 | vs AKR | L 65-86 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ KENT | L 57-72 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @BUF | W 95-83 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 3 | vs WMU | W 91-71 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ ODU | L 72-78 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 13 | @ M-OH | L 74-90 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 17 | vsBALL | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 21 | @NIU | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 28 | vsTOL | L 67-79 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−1.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
−1.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+6.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
−13.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−10.5
20
vsNIU
NIUW 80-77
−8.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 65-86
−14.5
27
@KENT
KENTL 57-72
−9.5
31
@BUF
BUFW 95-83
+14.5
3
vsWMU
WMUW 91-71
+9.5
7
@ODU
ODUL 72-78
−9.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 74-90
−8.5
17
vsBALL
BALLW 69-57
+2.5
21
@NIU
NIUW 74-66
+1.5
28
vsTOL
TOLL 67-79
−13.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−15.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
+8.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+14.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
+24.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−0.5
20
vsNIU
NIUW 80-77
+2.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 65-86
−16.5
27
@KENT
KENTL 57-72
−33.5
31
@BUF
BUFW 95-83
+21.5
3
vsWMU
WMUW 91-71
+6.5
7
@ODU
ODUL 72-78
−6.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 74-90
+0.5
17
vsBALL
BALLW 69-57
−19.5
21
@NIU
NIUW 74-66
−8.5
28
vsTOL
TOLL 67-79
−12.5
over 13under 14avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
11-18
38% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-11
62% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsMRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vsKENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vsBGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsBALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vsTOL | W 84-82 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | @BUF | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @M-OH | L 84-86 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vsEMU | W 70-67 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsCMU | W 95-89 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @ CCU | L 91-94 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 13 | @AKR | L 92-99 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | vsM-OH | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 21 | vsBUF | L 82-86 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 24 | @BALL | L 73-74 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 28 | @BGSU | L 62-81 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
−0.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
+2.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+7.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−5.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
−5.5
7
@CCU
CCUL 91-94
−5.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 92-99
+5.5
17
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−5.5
21
vsBUF
BUFL 82-86
−11.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 73-74
−4.5
28
@BGSU
BGSUL 62-81
−15.5
covered 11didn’t cover 18avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
+1.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
−24.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+5.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−11.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
+31.5
7
@CCU
CCUL 91-94
+37.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 92-99
+27.5
17
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−0.5
21
vsBUF
BUFL 82-86
+16.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 73-74
+3.5
28
@BGSU
BGSUL 62-81
−7.5
over 18under 11avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio
13-14 overall · 9-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Toledo67–79
- W@ N Illinois74–66
- Wvs Ball State69–57
- L@ Miami OH74–90
- L@ Old Dominion72–78
3 days since their last game.
UMass
14-15 overall · 6-11 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bowling Green62–81
- L@ Ball State73–74
- Lvs Buffalo82–86
- Lvs Miami OH77–86
- L@ Akron92–99
3 days since their last game.