Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -11.5✓ UMBC covered by 0.5
UMBC -11.5✓ UMBC covered by 0.5Closing total138.5Under by 10.5
 BRY | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 6-19 | Record | 16-8 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 11-14 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRY 66–75 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| UMBC | 36 | 34 | 70 |
1st half: BRY 30, UMBC 36 (UMBC by 6). The model had UMBC by 5.7 and a total of 65.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| BRY | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-51 35% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 17-19 89% |
| 23 6 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 6 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| BRY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Sims II F | 39 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-12 | 0-1 |
| Keegan Harvey F | 38 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Timofei Rudovskii F | 35 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Ty Tabales G | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Khalil Williams G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aaron Davis III G | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-7 |
| Jakai Robinson G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ethane Bourgade F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael DeOrsey, Reed Woerner, Quincy Allen, Daniel Akoue, Gio Sanford, Lennart Weber, Joe Green, Jaheim Nyam, Jason Sepe, Langston Bailey, Frankie Vassalluzzo
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 37 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 32 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 29 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 28 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 28 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Greene, Saahil Thakkar, Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -11.5
ModelUMBC -9.8
Model edgeBRY +1.8
L UMBC covered
Total
Market138.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
L Under
Projected score
BRY 65.5 · UMBC 75.3
BRY 58 · UMBC 70
Win probability
UMBC 80%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -5.7
UMBC -6.0
Total
65.9
66 points
Projected score
BRY 30.1 · UMBC 35.8
BRY 30 · UMBC 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -11.5
no move
CloseUMBC -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BRY +470 · UMBC -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -11.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -10
model UMBC -10
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRY | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| UMBC | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BRY 6–2 UMBCBRY leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BRY has won the last 6 meetings · BRY 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | UMBC 74 @ BRY 79 | BRY +1.5 | BRY W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UMBC 74 @ BRY 85 | BRY -15.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UMBC 79 @ BRY 81 | BRY -12.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | BRY 92 @ UMBC 86 | UMBC +5.5 | BRY W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UMBC 95 @ BRY 99 | BRY -12.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bryant
25 games played
Straight up
6-19
24% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SIE | L 66-82 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ GT | L 45-74 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 12 | vs DART | W 82-75 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ VAL | L 50-68 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ VT | L 61-78 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | @ CONN | L 49-72 | +36.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ HARV | L 53-56 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 2 | vs STO | W 77-65 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 5 | @ BRWN | L 56-75 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Dec 10 | @ IONA | L 63-69 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs MRST | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | @ HPU | L 47-93 | +19.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ ME | W 56-51 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 125.5 | U 107 |
| Jan 8 | vs UML | L 63-77 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ UALB | L 46-71 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vsUMBC | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ NJIT | L 55-79 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 24 | vs UVM | L 52-62 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 29 | @ BING | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | vs UNH | W 92-84 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | vsUALB | L 63-65 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | vsME | W 73-67 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 128.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 12 | @UML | L 69-88 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @UVM | L 63-90 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | vsBING | L 67-79 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−2.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−13.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−11.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
+7.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
+13.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
+4.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+5.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
−12.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
+2.5
13
vsMRST
MRSTL 74-82
−6.5
22
@HPU
HPUL 47-93
−26.5
3
@ME
MEW 56-51
+3.5
8
vsUML
UMLL 63-77
−16.5
10
@UALB
UALBL 46-71
−21.5
15
vsUMBC
UMBCW 79-74
+6.5
19
@NJIT
NJITL 55-79
−22.5
24
vsUVM
UVML 52-62
−1.5
29
@BING
BINGL 60-63
−5.5
31
vsUNH
UNHW 92-84
+6.5
5
vsUALB
UALBL 63-65
−3.5
7
vsME
MEW 73-67
+3.5
12
@UML
UMLL 69-88
−14.5
14
@UVM
UVML 63-90
−13.5
19
vsBING
BINGL 67-79
−16.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−0.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−19.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−25.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
−12.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
−26.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
−28.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+7.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
+0.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
−14.5
13
vsMRST
MRSTL 74-82
+24.5
22
@HPU
HPUL 47-93
−13.5
3
@ME
MEW 56-51
−18.5
8
vsUML
UMLL 63-77
−3.5
10
@UALB
UALBL 46-71
−19.5
15
vsUMBC
UMBCW 79-74
+17.5
19
@NJIT
NJITL 55-79
+1.5
24
vsUVM
UVML 52-62
−19.5
29
@BING
BINGL 60-63
−7.5
31
vsUNH
UNHW 92-84
+44.5
5
vsUALB
UALBL 63-65
−5.5
7
vsME
MEW 73-67
+11.5
12
@UML
UMLL 69-88
+15.5
14
@UVM
UVML 63-90
+19.5
19
vsBING
BINGL 67-79
+11.5
over 11under 14avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
24 games played
Straight up
16-8
67% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vsME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vsNJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsUML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
over 11under 13avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bryant
6-19 overall · 4-9 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Binghamton67–79
- L@ Vermont63–90
- L@ UMass Lowell69–88
- Wvs Maine73–67
- Lvs UAlbany63–65
A week or more of rest.
UMBC
16-8 overall · 11-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAlbany66–62
- Wvs Vermont75–62
- W@ New Hampshire85–63
- W@ Maine78–62
- Wvs Binghamton79–62
5 days since their last game.