Broadview Center · at UAlbany · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -1.5✓ UMBC covered by 1.5
UMBC -1.5✓ UMBC covered by 1.5Closing total141.5Under by 8.5
| UMBC | This season | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 4-15 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 7-12 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 73–73 UALB · ✓ UMBC (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 27 | 41 | 68 |
| UALB | 28 | 37 | 65 |
1st half: UMBC 27, UALB 28 (UALB by 1). The model had UMBC by 0.5 and a total of 68.5 (actual 55).
Team stats
| UMBC | UALB | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-45 44% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 22-27 81% | Free throws | 4-8 50% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 34 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 36 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Ace Valentine G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 29 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Cougar Downing G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tim Eze, Saahil Thakkar, Devin Ceaser, Regimantas Ciunys, Jake Stout
| UALB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Kempson G | 40 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Amir Lindsey G | 39 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 3-13 | 3-9 |
| Isaac Abidde F | 26 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 8-11 | 4-7 |
| Ma'Kye Taylor F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Tarique Foster G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Okechukwu Okeke F | 31 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Miles Rose G | 30 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Abdoulaye Fall, Will Richardson, Wilkin Paulino, Nasir Muhammad, Bautista Giralt, Zacharie Matulu, Yaya Keita, Ife West-Ingram, Sully Adewale
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -1.5
no move
CloseUMBC -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -120 · UALB +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -1.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -0.5
model UMBC -0.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -1.5 | UMBC -0.6 | UALB +0.9 | L UMBC covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 146.3 | Over 4.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 73.4 · UALB 72.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -0.5 | UALB -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 34.5 · UALB 34 | UMBC 27 · UALB 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UALB | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UMBC 5–3 UALBUMBC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UMBC 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UALB 78 @ UMBC 74 | UMBC +2.5 | UALB W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | UMBC 92 @ UALB 87 | UALB -4.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UALB 75 @ UMBC 80 | UMBC -3.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | UMBC 114 @ UALB 102 | UALB -5.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | UMBC 74 @ UALB 81 | UALB +6.5 | UALB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vs NJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs UML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
over 8under 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
UAlbany
19 games played
Straight up
4-15
21% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MARQ | L 53-80 | +24.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ MASS | L 62-83 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | @ URI | L 61-80 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | @ SIE | L 63-73 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLG | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs FOR | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ COLU | L 65-93 | +13.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 10 | vs YALE | L 82-93 | +17.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | @ FAU | L 79-105 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | @ STBK | W 71-55 | +10.5 | W +26.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 21 | vs COR | L 75-83 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ SC | L 67-96 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @UML | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vsBRY | W 71-46 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vsBING | W 69-53 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 19 | vsUVM | W 75-68 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 22 | @ME | L 49-52 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 131.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 24 | @UNH | L 72-80 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsNJIT | L 68-77 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−2.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−11.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−3.5
21
@SIE
SIEL 63-73
+0.5
28
vsCOLG
COLGL 67-69
+5.5
29
vsFOR
FORL 68-88
−9.5
6
@COLU
COLUL 65-93
−14.5
10
vsYALE
YALEL 82-93
+6.5
13
@FAU
FAUL 79-105
−7.5
17
@STBK
STBKW 71-55
+26.5
21
vsCOR
CORL 75-83
−1.5
30
@SC
SCL 67-96
−9.5
3
@UML
UMLL 71-83
−9.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 71-46
+21.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 69-53
+7.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-68
+12.5
22
@ME
MEL 49-52
−5.5
24
@UNH
UNHL 72-80
−5.5
29
vsNJIT
NJITL 68-77
−14.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−16.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−10.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−9.5
21
@SIE
SIEL 63-73
−4.5
28
vsCOLG
COLGL 67-69
−5.5
29
vsFOR
FORL 68-88
+12.5
6
@COLU
COLUL 65-93
+13.5
10
vsYALE
YALEL 82-93
+29.5
13
@FAU
FAUL 79-105
+36.5
17
@STBK
STBKW 71-55
−20.5
21
vsCOR
CORL 75-83
−9.5
30
@SC
SCL 67-96
+14.5
3
@UML
UMLL 71-83
+3.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 71-46
−19.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 69-53
−16.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-68
+3.5
22
@ME
MEL 49-52
−30.5
24
@UNH
UNHL 72-80
+14.5
29
vsNJIT
NJITL 68-77
+5.5
over 9under 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
10-8 overall · 5-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vermont55–64
- Wvs UMass Lowell79–56
- Wvs NJIT87–74
- W@ Binghamton78–60
- L@ Bryant74–79
2 days since their last game.
UAlbany
4-15 overall · 3-4 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NJIT68–77
- L@ New Hampshire72–80
- L@ Maine49–52
- Wvs Vermont75–68
- Wvs Binghamton69–53
2 days since their last game.