Ramsey Center · at W Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
MER -1.5✓ WCU covered by 5.5
MER -1.5✓ WCU covered by 5.5Closing total156.5Under by 4.5
| MER | This season | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-11 | Record | 10-15 |
| 18-8 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 80–79 WCU · ✗ MER (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 32 | 42 | 74 |
| WCU | 33 | 45 | 78 |
1st half: MER 32, WCU 33 (WCU by 1). The model had MER by 0.7 and a total of 74.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MER | WCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 2-12 17% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 25-27 93% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 4 | Assists | 6 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 36 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Zaire Williams G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Armani Mighty C | 34 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 31 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Connor Serven F | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bendji Pierre F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Tristan Gross G | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Alex Koch, Brady Shoulders, Braeden Carlsen, NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Jaydon Cole
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cord Stansberry G | 39 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Tahlan Pettway G | 38 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Marcus Kell F | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 29 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Samuel Dada F | 25 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Hollifield, CJ Hyland, Max Williams, Fischer Brown, Titian DeRosa, Vernon Collins Jr., Julien Soumaoro, Chase McKey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMER -1.5
ModelMER -1.0
Model edgeWCU +0.5
W WCU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model159.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
L Under
Projected score
MER 80.3 · WCU 79.3
MER 74 · WCU 78
Win probability
MER 53%
1st half
Spread
MER -0.7
WCU -1.0
Total
74.6
65 points
Projected score
MER 37.7 · WCU 37
MER 32 · WCU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -1.5
no move
CloseMER -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 4
Close156.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MER -115 · WCU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -1.5 · unchangedmodel MER -1
model MER -1
Opened 160.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| WCU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
MER 5–6 WCUWCU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · MER has won the last 3 meetings · MER 3-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | WCU 76 @ MER 88 | MER -8.5 | MER W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | WCU 66 vs MER 67 | MER -5.5 | WCU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | WCU 69 @ MER 81 | MER -8.5 | MER W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | MER 82 @ WCU 85 | WCU +4.5 | WCU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MER 46 @ WCU 79 | WCU -6 | WCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
18-8
69% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @ VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vsWCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @WOF | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNCG | W 95-77 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsVMI | W 95-81 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | @ UTC | L 75-79 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | @ SAM | L 49-69 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsFUR | W 69-64 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | @CIT | W 70-54 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 19 | vsUTC | L 90-94 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 21 | vsSAM | W 89-86 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−5.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+7.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
−4.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−8.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−21.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
+1.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
+4.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 90-94
−14.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 89-86
−0.5
covered 18didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−0.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+13.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
+22.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−1.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−42.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
−18.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
−23.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 90-94
+32.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 89-86
+18.5
over 13under 13avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Carolina
25 games played
Straight up
10-15
40% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vsWOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsETSU | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTC | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | @MER | L 76-88 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vsVMI | W 88-58 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 29 | @ETSU | W 90-88 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | vsSAM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | @UNCG | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | @WOF | L 66-77 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vsCIT | W 87-49 | -9.5 | W +28.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | @UTC | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 18 | vsUNCG | W 91-77 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @VMI | W 81-62 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
+10.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
−9.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
−3.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
+21.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUW 90-88
+11.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 74-88
−12.5
4
@UNCG
UNCGL 78-81
−4.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 66-77
−7.5
11
vsCIT
CITW 87-49
+28.5
14
@UTC
UTCW 81-76
+6.5
18
vsUNCG
UNCGW 91-77
+8.5
21
@VMI
VMIW 81-62
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
−7.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
+21.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
−6.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUW 90-88
+32.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 74-88
+7.5
4
@UNCG
UNCGL 78-81
+3.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 66-77
−11.5
11
vsCIT
CITW 87-49
−9.5
14
@UTC
UTCW 81-76
+5.5
18
vsUNCG
UNCGW 91-77
+12.5
21
@VMI
VMIW 81-62
−11.5
over 14under 11avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
15-11 overall · 10-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Samford89–86
- Lvs Chattanooga90–94
- W@ The Citadel70–54
- Wvs Furman69–64
- L@ Samford49–69
4 days since their last game.
W Carolina
10-15 overall · 8-8 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ VMI81–62
- Wvs UNC Greensboro91–77
- W@ Chattanooga81–76
- Wvs The Citadel87–49
- L@ Wofford66–77
4 days since their last game.