Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
Closing line
MER -10.5✓ UTC covered by 14.5
MER -10.5✓ UTC covered by 14.5Closing total151.5Over by 32.5
 UTC | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 7-17 | Record | 14-10 |
| 10-14 | ATS | 18-6 |
| 11-13 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTC 72–81 MER · ✗ MER (79%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 44 | 50 | 94 |
| MER | 39 | 51 | 90 |
1st half: UTC 44, MER 39 (UTC by 5). The model had MER by 5.4 and a total of 71.3 (actual 83).
Team stats
| UTC | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-57 61% | Field goals | 31-56 55% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 12-23 52% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 25 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Frison G | 39 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 9-14 | 1-4 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 29 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Tate Darner G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Makai Richards C | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Smith G | 28 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Josh Bowman F | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Latif Diouf, Zach Bleshoy, Parker Robison, Liam Vitters, Houston Holland, Ryan Lopez, Sean Cusano, Sebastian Hartmann
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 40 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-6 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Zaire Williams G | 33 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 9-14 | 7-11 |
| Armani Mighty C | 31 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quinton Perkins II G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Connor Serven F | 24 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Gross G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Bendji Pierre, Alex Koch, TJ Grant, Petras Padegimas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMER -10.5
ModelMER -9.3
Model edgeUTC +1.2
W UTC covered
Total
Market151.5
Model152.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
UTC 71.6 · MER 80.9
UTC 94 · MER 90
Win probability
MER 79%
1st half
Spread
MER -5.4
UTC -5.0
Total
71.3
83 points
Projected score
UTC 33 · MER 38.4
UTC 44 · MER 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -10.5
no move
CloseMER -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTC +455 · MER -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -10.5 · unchangedmodel MER -9.5
model MER -9.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| MER | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UTC 9–1 MERUTC leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UTC has won the last 3 meetings · UTC 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025-26 | MER 75 @ UTC 79 | UTC +4.5 | UTC W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | MER 61 vs UTC 76 | UTC -9.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | MER 84 @ UTC 93 | UTC -7.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | UTC 94 @ MER 99 | MER +1.5 | MER W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | MER 75 @ UTC 84 | UTC -9.5 | MER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chattanooga
24 games played
Straight up
7-17
29% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @ BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vs FUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs SAM | W 88-79 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | @ WOF | W 76-67 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @ WCU | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | vs ETSU | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @SAM | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWOF | L 55-81 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 1 | @FUR | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsMER | W 79-75 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | vs CIT | L 71-78 | -9.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | @ETSU | L 61-73 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsWCU | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+7.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+14.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+9.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
+3.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−27.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
+2.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
+8.5
7
vsCIT
CITL 71-78
−16.5
11
@ETSU
ETSUL 61-73
−1.5
14
vsWCU
WCUL 76-81
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+18.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−11.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+21.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
−10.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−13.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−14.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
−1.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
−1.5
7
vsCIT
CITL 71-78
+6.5
11
@ETSU
ETSUL 61-73
−11.5
14
vsWCU
WCUL 76-81
+5.5
over 11under 13avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
18-6
75% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vsWCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @WOF | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNCG | W 95-77 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | vsVMI | W 95-81 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 5 | @UTC | L 75-79 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | @SAM | L 49-69 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 11 | vsFUR | W 69-64 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | @CIT | W 70-54 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−5.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+7.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
−4.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−8.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−21.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
+1.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
+4.5
covered 18didn’t cover 6avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
24
@WOF
WOFL 77-80
−0.5
29
vsUNCG
UNCGW 95-77
+13.5
31
vsVMI
VMIW 95-81
+22.5
5
@UTC
UTCL 75-79
−1.5
7
@SAM
SAML 49-69
−42.5
11
vsFUR
FURW 69-64
−18.5
14
@CIT
CITW 70-54
−23.5
over 11under 13avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chattanooga
7-17 overall · 4-10 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs W Carolina76–81
- L@ ETSU61–73
- Lvs The Citadel71–78
- Wvs Mercer79–75
- L@ Furman70–75
5 days since their last game.
Mercer
14-10 overall · 9-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ The Citadel70–54
- Wvs Furman69–64
- L@ Samford49–69
- L@ Chattanooga75–79
- Wvs VMI95–81
5 days since their last game.