Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · at Wofford · Conference game
Closing line
MER -2.5✓ WOF covered by 5.5
MER -2.5✓ WOF covered by 5.5Closing total157.5Under by 0.5
| MER | This season | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 11-7 |
| 15-2 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 80–79 WOF · ✗ MER (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 43 | 34 | 77 |
| WOF | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: MER 43, WOF 36 (MER by 7). The model had MER by 1.0 and a total of 74.5 (actual 79).
Team stats
| MER | WOF | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 30-64 47% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 38 | 27 | 0 | 8 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Zaire Williams G | 36 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-12 | 0-6 |
| Armani Mighty C | 28 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 28 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-6 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Tristan Gross G | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: NJ Nganga, Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, Braeden Carlsen, TJ Grant, Alex Koch, Quinton Perkins II, Petras Padegimas
| WOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Machowski G | 40 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6-14 | 4-7 |
| Chace Watley G | 36 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-5 |
| Kahmare Holmes G | 35 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 10-20 | 1-4 |
| Brian Sumpter F | 31 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Cayden Vasko G | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brendan Rigsbee G | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Rex Stirling F | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Tyler G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davis Miller, Grayson Collins, Max Ortega, Alessandro Perotti, Callum Richard, Cannon Richards, Luke Flynn
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMER -2.5
ModelMER -1.5
Model edgeWOF +1.0
W WOF covered
Total
Market157.5
Model159.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
MER 80.3 · WOF 78.8
MER 77 · WOF 80
Win probability
MER 55%
1st half
Spread
MER -1.0
MER -7.0
Total
74.5
79 points
Projected score
MER 37.7 · WOF 36.7
MER 43 · WOF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -1.5
1 → MER
CloseMER -2.5
1 pt toward MER
Total
Open162.5
▼ 5
Close157.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
MER -142 · WOF +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -1.5 · closed MER -2.5 · moved 1 toward MERmodel MER -1.5
model MER -1.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 5 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
| WOF | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MER 2–7 WOFWOF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MER 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | WOF 97 @ MER 109 | MER -3.5 | MER W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | WOF 77 @ MER 66 | MER +1.5 | WOF W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | MER 49 @ WOF 69 | WOF -7.5 | WOF W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | WOF 73 @ MER 60 | MER -1.5 | WOF W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | MER 73 @ WOF 74 | WOF -4.5 | MER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
15-2
88% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @ VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ UNCG | W 102-92 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | vs WCU | W 88-76 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+4.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+3.5
covered 15didn’t cover 2avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
17
@UNCG
UNCGW 102-92
+38.5
21
vsWCU
WCUW 88-76
+5.5
over 9under 8avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wofford
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GMU | L 46-70 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 8 | vs MILW | W 86-76 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ AUB | L 62-93 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 15 | @ BELL | W 94-86 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNF | W 86-78 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | @ NKU | L 83-93 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | @EKU | W 83-77 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRES | W 63-56 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 6 | vsELON | L 52-73 | -4.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 15 | @ GWEB | W 83-57 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 17 | @ WICH | L 73-84 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | @WCU | W 79-74 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @CIT | W 95-86 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | vsUNCG | W 97-85 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 10 | @MER | L 97-109 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 14 | vs UTC | L 67-76 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @FUR | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs SAM | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−9.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+13.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
−3.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+4.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
−2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
−6.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+4.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
+2.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−25.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
+15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+1.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
+2.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
−0.5
7
vsUNCG
UNCGW 97-85
+4.5
10
@MER
MERL 97-109
−8.5
14
vsUTC
UTCL 67-76
−14.5
17
@FUR
FURW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 88-78
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−24.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+11.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
+2.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+23.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
+2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
+26.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+6.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
−19.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−36.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
−15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+12.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
−1.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
+36.5
7
vsUNCG
UNCGW 97-85
+28.5
10
@MER
MERL 97-109
+49.5
14
vsUTC
UTCL 67-76
−11.5
17
@FUR
FURW 74-70
−5.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 88-78
+11.5
over 11under 7avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
10-7 overall · 5-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Carolina88–76
- W@ UNC Greensboro102–92
- W@ VMI77–67
- Wvs Wofford109–97
- Wvs The Citadel101–63
3 days since their last game.
Wofford
11-7 overall · 5-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Samford88–78
- W@ Furman74–70
- Lvs Chattanooga67–76
- L@ Mercer97–109
- Wvs UNC Greensboro97–85
3 days since their last game.