First Horizon Coliseum · at UNC Greensboro · Conference game
Closing line
MER -5.5✓ MER covered by 4.5
MER -5.5✓ MER covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Over by 38.5
| MER | This season | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 5-11 |
| 13-2 | ATS | 5-11 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 81–75 UNCG · ✓ MER (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 51 | 51 | 102 |
| UNCG | 37 | 55 | 92 |
1st half: MER 51, UNCG 37 (MER by 14). The model had MER by 3.5 and a total of 73.3 (actual 88).
Team stats
| MER | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-51 61% | Field goals | 32-63 51% |
| 10-20 50% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 30-41 73% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 22 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 26 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armani Mighty C | 35 | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 33 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 32 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Zaire Williams G | 27 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 19 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Gross G | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Petras Padegimas, Jaydon Cole, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, TJ Grant, Alex Koch
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely F | 36 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| KJ Younger G | 30 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 7-16 | 1-6 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 29 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 28 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lilian Marville G | 29 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Landon King G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Assane Mandian G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antwann Jones, Braylen Bowman, Chane Bynum, Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -6.5
1 → UNCG
CloseMER -5.5
1 pt toward UNCG
Total
Open158.5
▼ 3
Close155.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MER -270 · UNCG +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -6.5 · closed MER -5.5 · moved 1 toward UNCGmodel MER -5.5 matches the line
model MER -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 158.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -5.5 | MER -5.6 | MER +0.1 | W MER covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 156.5 | Over 1.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MER 81.1 · UNCG 75.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -3.5 | MER -14.0 |
| 1H total | 73.3 | 88 |
| 1H projected score | MER 38.4 · UNCG 34.9 | MER 51 · UNCG 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
| UNCG | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MER 5–3 UNCGMER leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MER 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | UNCG 78 @ MER 61 | MER +2.5 | UNCG W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | MER 79 @ UNCG 78 | UNCG -8.5 | MER W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UNCG 72 @ MER 86 | MER +4.5 | MER W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | MER 70 @ UNCG 64 | UNCG -11.5 | MER W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | UNCG 69 @ MER 49 | MER +3.5 | UNCG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
13-2
87% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ FUR | L 72-74 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | @ ETSU | L 71-77 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CIT | W 101-63 | -16.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WOF | W 109-97 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 15 | @ VMI | W 77-67 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
+0.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
+1.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+21.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+8.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
+1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 2avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
31
@FUR
FURL 72-74
−8.5
3
@ETSU
ETSUL 71-77
−0.5
7
vsCIT
CITW 101-63
+16.5
10
vsWOF
WOFW 109-97
+49.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 77-67
−9.5
over 7under 8avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Greensboro
16 games played
Straight up
5-11
31% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ KSU | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vsELON | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ NCSU | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs APSU | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ QUC | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs YSU | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs DEL | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs M-OH | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCA | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ ECU | W 82-78 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vs NCAT | L 65-71 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 1 | vs UTC | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs SAM | W 89-82 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @WOF | L 85-97 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 10 | @ETSU | L 60-86 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 15 | vsCIT | W 69-66 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−7.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+0.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
+11.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−14.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
−0.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
−0.5
6
@ECU
ECUW 82-78
+11.5
16
vsNCAT
NCATL 65-71
−12.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 77-72
+7.5
3
vsSAM
SAMW 89-82
+9.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 85-97
−4.5
10
@ETSU
ETSUL 60-86
−14.5
15
vsCIT
CITW 69-66
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−13.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+44.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
−22.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−9.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
+2.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
+15.5
6
@ECU
ECUW 82-78
+20.5
16
vsNCAT
NCATL 65-71
−11.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 77-72
+1.5
3
vsSAM
SAMW 89-82
+19.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 85-97
+28.5
10
@ETSU
ETSUL 60-86
−2.5
15
vsCIT
CITW 69-66
−13.5
over 10under 6avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
8-7 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ VMI77–67
- Wvs Wofford109–97
- Wvs The Citadel101–63
- L@ ETSU71–77
- L@ Furman72–74
2 days since their last game.
UNC Greensboro
5-11 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel69–66
- L@ ETSU60–86
- L@ Wofford85–97
- Wvs Samford89–82
- Wvs Chattanooga77–72
2 days since their last game.