The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -2.5✓ UCSB covered by 2.5
UCSB -2.5✓ UCSB covered by 2.5Closing total141.5Over by 21.5
 UCI | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 14-7 | Record | 13-8 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 8-13 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCI 70–70 UCSB · ✗ UCSB (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 28 | 51 | 79 |
| UCSB | 34 | 50 | 84 |
1st half: UCI 28, UCSB 34 (UCSB by 6). The model had UCI by 0.2 and a total of 65.8 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UCI | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 5-14 36% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 12-13 92% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurian Dixon G | 31 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-2 |
| Kyle Evans F | 31 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-1 |
| Derin Saran G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Tama Isaac G | 27 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 29 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 19 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Palmer, Luke Isaak, Mason Hodges, Bryce Goldman, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee, Elijah Chol, Langston Redfield
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 39 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| CJ Shaw G | 35 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Colin Smith F | 33 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Zion Sensley G | 31 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 25 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Zuffelato, John Simcoe, Kyle Haughy, ZZ Clark, Bryce Bedgood, Jason Fontenet II, Isaac Shingange, Miro Little, Koat Keat Tong
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -2.5
ModelUCI -0.1
Model edgeUCI +2.6
L UCSB covered
Total
Market141.5
Model140.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
L Over
Projected score
UCI 70.3 · UCSB 70.2
UCI 79 · UCSB 84
Win probability
UCSB 50%
1st half
Spread
UCI -0.2
UCSB -6.0
Total
65.8
62 points
Projected score
UCI 33 · UCSB 32.8
UCI 28 · UCSB 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -1.5
1 → UCSB
CloseUCSB -2.5
1 pt toward UCSB
Total
Open137.5
▲ 4
Close141.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCI +110 · UCSB -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -1.5 · closed UCSB -2.5 · moved 1 toward UCSBmodel UCI -0
model UCI -0
Opened 137.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 4 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| UCSB | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCI 6–2 UCSBUCI leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCI has won the last 5 meetings · UCI 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UCI 97 @ UCSB 88 | UCSB +3.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UCSB 60 @ UCI 62 | UCI -8.5 | UCSB W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UCSB 69 @ UCI 81 | UCI -10.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | UCI 76 @ UCSB 61 | UCSB +3.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | UCI 70 @ UCSB 59 | UCSB -2.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Irvine
21 games played
Straight up
14-7
67% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vs LBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @ HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCD | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | @UCR | W 80-66 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ UCSD | W 61-59 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsHAW | W 87-76 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 5 | vsCSUB | W 78-62 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−6.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+5.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
+4.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+9.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−1.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+3.5
24
@UCSD
UCSDW 61-59
−26.5
29
vsHAW
HAWW 87-76
+18.5
5
vsCSUB
CSUBW 78-62
−4.5
over 8under 13avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vsSJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vsLBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vsUVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCD | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @CSUB | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsHAW | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs CP | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @LBSU | W 74-71 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @UCSD | W 62-48 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | vsCSUF | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @UCD | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
−11.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−1.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
+17.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+31.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
−1.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
+18.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
+5.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 75-85
−13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
+31.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−0.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
−4.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+14.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
+0.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
−35.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
−1.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 75-85
+12.5
over 11under 10avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Irvine
14-7 overall · 9-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bakersfield78–62
- Wvs Hawai'i87–76
- W@ UC San Diego61–59
- W@ UC Riverside80–66
- L@ UC Davis72–75
2 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
13-8 overall · 8-4 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UC Davis75–85
- Wvs Fullerton83–69
- W@ UC San Diego62–48
- W@ Long Beach St74–71
- Wvs Cal Poly107–67
2 days since their last game.