Cajundome · at Louisiana · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -9.5✓ TROY covered by 10.5
TROY -9.5✓ TROY covered by 10.5Closing total136.5Over by 23.5
| TROY | This season | UL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 4-13 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TROY 75–66 UL · ✓ TROY (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 53 | 37 | 90 |
| UL | 35 | 35 | 70 |
1st half: TROY 53, UL 35 (TROY by 18). The model had TROY by 5.7 and a total of 66.2 (actual 88).
Team stats
| TROY | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-63 54% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 17-29 59% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 5-11 45% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 42 18 off | Rebounds | 19 6 off |
| 25 | Assists | 11 |
| 0 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 34 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 29 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 4-5 | 4-4 |
| Theo Seng F | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 20 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Victor Valdes F | 18 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Austin Cross G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Javen Colbert G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Clarton G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Griffin F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Hikaru Awata G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Kameryn Mitchell G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Green, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finister G | 34 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| De'vion Lavergne G | 33 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Milan Mejia G | 25 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Joshua Lewis F | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dariyus Woodson F | 23 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Mike Collins G | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Karris Bilal G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jaxon Olvera G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Michael Mouton G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Logan Myers G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Elkinton, Christian Landry, Rahman Olajuwon, Zeke Cook, Kyran Ratliff, Jamyron Keller
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTROY -9.5
ModelTROY -9.3
Model edgeUL +0.2
L TROY covered
Total
Market136.5
Model141.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
W Over
Projected score
TROY 75.3 · UL 65.9
TROY 90 · UL 70
Win probability
TROY 79%
1st half
Spread
TROY -5.7
TROY -18.0
Total
66.2
88 points
Projected score
TROY 35.9 · UL 30.2
TROY 53 · UL 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -10.5
1 → UL
CloseTROY -9.5
1 pt toward UL
Total
Open131.5
▲ 5
Close136.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
TROY -500 · UL +380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -10.5 · closed TROY -9.5 · moved 1 toward ULmodel TROY -9.5 matches the line
model TROY -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 131.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 5 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| UL | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TROY 4–4 ULSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · TROY 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UL 72 @ TROY 69 | TROY -15.5 | UL W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | TROY 74 @ UL 56 | UL +9.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | TROY 87 @ UL 73 | UL -2.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | UL 73 @ TROY 79 | TROY -1.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | UL 65 @ TROY 80 | TROY +2.5 | TROY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Troy
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +11.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs MRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs TXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs USA | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARST | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
+0.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
−40.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−0.5
over 7under 7avg +11.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana
17 games played
Straight up
4-13
24% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BALL | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs SELA | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs TULN | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ MCN | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ STAN | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ SCU | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCD | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs JKST | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ LAM | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCW | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ LT | L 44-65 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 18 | @ USM | L 54-62 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ ULM | W 76-62 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | vs NORF | W 63-54 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 31 | vsUSA | L 58-63 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSM | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsULM | W 85-79 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−6.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
+2.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
+1.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
−10.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
−6.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−11.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−11.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
+0.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+5.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−11.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
+3.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+12.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
+5.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−1.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
−3.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
−1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−2.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
−25.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
−7.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
+15.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
+19.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−3.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−40.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
−9.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+2.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−17.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
−16.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+1.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
−9.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
+11.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
+24.5
over 6under 11avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Troy
8-6 overall · 3-1 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas St74–86
- Wvs South Alabama59–49
- Wvs Texas St100–80
- Wvs Marshall70–63
- W@ UAB86–85
3 days since their last game.
Louisiana
4-13 overall · 2-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe85–79
- Lvs Southern Miss67–74
- Lvs South Alabama58–63
- Wvs Norfolk St63–54
- W@ UL Monroe76–62
2 days since their last game.