Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · at Vanderbilt · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -5.5✓ VAN covered by 19.5
VAN -5.5✓ VAN covered by 19.5Closing total155.5Under by 20.5
 UK | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 17-3 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UK 80–83 VAN · ✓ VAN (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UK | 23 | 32 | 55 |
| VAN | 43 | 37 | 80 |
1st half: UK 23, VAN 43 (VAN by 20). The model had VAN by 1.9 and a total of 76.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UK | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-59 32% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 8 | Blocks | 9 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 31 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 7-19 | 2-6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 31 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 6-15 | 2-4 |
| Collin Chandler G | 28 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 26 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Andrija Jelavic F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mo Dioubate F | 27 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trent Noah F | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Garrison F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Walker Horn, Jaland Lowe, Reece Potter, Kam Williams, Zach Tow, Jayden Quaintance, Braydon Hawthorne
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 37 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 6-16 | 1-5 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 32 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 28 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-6 |
| AK Okereke F | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Washington F | 17 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 27 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Mike James G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Coleson Messer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miles Keeffe G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaylon Dean-Vines G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Duke Miles, Mason Nicholson, Frankie Collins, George Kimble III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -5.5
ModelVAN -3.5
Model edgeUK +2.0
L VAN covered
Total
Market155.5
Model162.6
Model edgeOver 7.1
L Under
Projected score
UK 79.6 · VAN 83.1
UK 55 · VAN 80
Win probability
VAN 62%
1st half
Spread
VAN -1.9
VAN -20.0
Total
76.1
66 points
Projected score
UK 37.1 · VAN 39
UK 23 · VAN 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -6.5
1 → UK
CloseVAN -5.5
1 pt toward UK
Total
Open158.5
▼ 3
Close155.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UK +215 · VAN -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -6.5 · closed VAN -5.5 · moved 1 toward UKmodel VAN -3.5
model VAN -3.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 3 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UK | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| VAN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UK 7–3 VANUK leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UK 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | VAN 61 @ UK 82 | UK -4.5 | UK W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UK 69 @ VAN 74 | VAN +2.5 | VAN W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | VAN 77 @ UK 93 | UK -18.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | UK 109 @ VAN 77 | VAN +8.5 | UK W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | VAN 80 vs UK 73 | UK -8.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kentucky
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NICH | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs VAL | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ LOU | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs EIU | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs MSU | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs L-MD | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs TNTC | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNC | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs GONZ | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCCU | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 13 | vs IU | W 72-60 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJU | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs BELL | W 99-85 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | @ ALA | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIZ | L 68-73 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs MSST | W 92-68 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ LSU | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ TENN | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs TEX | W 85-80 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs MISS | W 72-63 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−5.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+15.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
−2.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+10.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−20.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
+6.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+12.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−10.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−29.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
−6.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
+8.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
+10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
−20.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−9.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−17.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+13.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+8.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
−2.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−29.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+8.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
+10.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+4.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−3.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
−25.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+0.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−32.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−6.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
+21.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
−24.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
−10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
+31.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−10.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−9.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+7.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+12.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
+12.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−10.5
over 9under 11avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
20 games played
Straight up
17-3
85% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vsALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vsLSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
over 10under 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kentucky
14-6 overall · 5-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ole Miss72–63
- Wvs Texas85–80
- W@ Tennessee80–78
- W@ LSU75–74
- Wvs Mississippi St92–68
3 days since their last game.
Vanderbilt
17-3 overall · 4-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Mississippi St88–56
- L@ Arkansas68–93
- Lvs Florida94–98
- L@ Texas64–80
- Wvs LSU84–73
3 days since their last game.