Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -11.5✓ AUB covered by 20.5
FLA -11.5✓ AUB covered by 20.5Closing total159.5Under by 16.5
 AUB | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 14-5 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 12-7 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AUB 78–87 FLA · ✗ FLA (79%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 43 | 33 | 76 |
| FLA | 28 | 39 | 67 |
1st half: AUB 43, FLA 28 (AUB by 15). The model had FLA by 5.4 and a total of 77.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| AUB | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 22-59 37% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 19-21 90% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 39 17 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall F | 39 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 8-17 | 3-5 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 36 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 31 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Kevin Overton G | 26 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Filip Jovic C | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joah Shay, CJ Williams, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Reed Trapp, Simon Walker, Kaden Magwood
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 38 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 9-19 | 3-9 |
| Boogie Fland G | 37 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Alex Condon F | 37 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 28 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: AJ Brown, Viktor Mikic, Alex Lloyd, CJ Ingram, Olivier Rioux, Alex Kovatchev, Cooper Josefsberg
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -9.5
2 → FLA
CloseFLA -11.5
2 pts toward FLA
Total
Open162.5
▼ 3
Close159.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
AUB +550 · FLA -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -9.5 · closed FLA -11.5 · moved 2 toward FLAmodel FLA -9
model FLA -9
Opened 162.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 downmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -11.5 | FLA -9.2 | AUB +2.3 | W AUB covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 165.3 | Over 5.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | AUB 78 · FLA 87.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -5.4 | AUB -15.0 |
| 1H total | 77.3 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | AUB 36 · FLA 41.4 | AUB 43 · FLA 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| FLA | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
AUB 3–4 FLAFLA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FLA has won the last 2 meetings · AUB 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024-25 | FLA 79 vs AUB 73 | AUB +2.5 | FLA W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | FLA 90 @ AUB 81 | AUB -10.5 | FLA W |
| Mar 17, 2023-24 | FLA 67 vs AUB 86 | AUB -5.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | AUB 65 @ FLA 81 | FLA +1.5 | FLA W |
| Dec 28, 2022-23 | FLA 58 @ AUB 61 | AUB -5.5 | FLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Auburn
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
over 12under 7avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vsMRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsUGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @ OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @ VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vs LSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
over 8under 11avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Auburn
12-7 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ole Miss78–66
- Wvs South Carolina71–67
- L@ Missouri74–84
- Wvs Arkansas95–73
- Lvs Texas A&M88–90
4 days since their last game.
Florida
14-5 overall · 5-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU79–61
- W@ Vanderbilt98–94
- W@ Oklahoma96–79
- Wvs Tennessee91–67
- Wvs Georgia92–77
4 days since their last game.