Stephen C. O'Connell Center · at Florida · Conference game
Closing line
FLA -15.5✓ FLA covered by 2.5
FLA -15.5✓ FLA covered by 2.5Closing total158.5Under by 18.5
 LSU | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 13-5 |
| 11-7 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 74–87 FLA · ✓ FLA (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 26 | 35 | 61 |
| FLA | 38 | 41 | 79 |
1st half: LSU 26, FLA 38 (FLA by 12). The model had FLA by 7.9 and a total of 75.5 (actual 64).
Team stats
| LSU | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 28-68 41% |
| 3-11 27% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 14-27 52% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 50 24 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Sutton F | 37 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-14 | 0-6 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Rashad King G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 23 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Reece G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| PJ Carter G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Reed, Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Marcus Vaughn
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 35 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-11 | 1-6 |
| Boogie Fland G | 32 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Alex Condon F | 31 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 23 | 15 | 21 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 24 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 5-9 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 15 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| CJ Ingram G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Alex Lloyd G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alex Kovatchev G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown, Olivier Rioux, Viktor Mikic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -13.5
2 → FLA
CloseFLA -15.5
2 pts toward FLA
Total
Open158.5
no move
Close158.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LSU +900 · FLA -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -13.5 · closed FLA -15.5 · moved 2 toward FLAmodel FLA -13.5
model FLA -13.5
Opened 158.5 · unchangedmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -15.5 | FLA -13.5 | LSU +2.0 | L FLA covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 161.4 | Over 2.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LSU 74 · FLA 87.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -7.9 | FLA -12.0 |
| 1H total | 75.5 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | LSU 33.8 · FLA 41.7 | LSU 26 · FLA 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| FLA | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 1–4 FLAFLA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · FLA has won the last 4 meetings · LSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | FLA 79 @ LSU 65 | LSU +9.5 | FLA W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | LSU 80 @ FLA 82 | FLA -10.5 | LSU W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | LSU 67 @ FLA 79 | FLA -7.5 | FLA W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | FLA 67 @ LSU 56 | LSU +2.5 | FLA W |
| Jan 12, 2021-22 | LSU 64 @ FLA 58 | FLA -3 | LSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs SC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
over 8under 10avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs UGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs TENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @ OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
over 8under 10avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
13-5 overall · 1-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri78–70
- Lvs Kentucky74–75
- L@ Vanderbilt73–84
- Lvs South Carolina68–78
- L@ Texas A&M72–75
3 days since their last game.
Florida
13-5 overall · 4-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Vanderbilt98–94
- W@ Oklahoma96–79
- Wvs Tennessee91–67
- Wvs Georgia92–77
- L@ Missouri74–76
3 days since their last game.