Frost Bank Center · at Spurs
LineNo line yet
Total—
 BKN | This season | SA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 122–102 · win probability SA 92%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 223.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
BKN 0, SA 6 · 2026-27 so far
SABigBKN offense vs SA defense
Offense 29th of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
SABigSA offense vs BKN defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 22nd, on the model’s ratings
SABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: BKN 18.2%, SA 13.1%. Forced: BKN 15.9%, SA 15.7%
SABigShooting
Effective FG%: BKN 50.7 and allows 55.3; SA 53.3 and allows 52.1
SASmallHome court
SA at home. This season: SA 2-2 at home, BKN 1-2 away
Context
Schedule so far
BKN has played the 19th-hardest schedule, SA the 15th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SASmallFree throws
Free throw rate: BKN 32.9, SA 24.5. Allowed: BKN 33.5, SA 21.7
Even
Three-pointers
BKN hits 35.1% and allows 35.8%; SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%. Threes are 48.0% and 39.0% of their shots
Even
Recent form
Last 5: BKN 3-2 ATS, margin -8.0; SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BKN 25.4%, SA 27.2%. Defensive: BKN 77.8%, SA 75.8%
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: BKN plays 105.1 a game (10th fastest), SA 104.3 (11th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BKN 100%, SA 100%. Transfers in: BKN 0, SA 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -19.6
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model223.4
Model edge—
Projected score
BKN 101.9 · SA 121.5
Win probability
SA 92%
1st half
Spread
SA -10.9
Total
112.0
Projected score
BKN 50.6 · SA 61.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BKNlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BKN 4–6 SASA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 5 meetings · BKN 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025-26 | SA 126 @ BKN 110 | BKN +10.5 | SA W |
| Oct 26, 2025-26 | BKN 107 @ SA 118 | SA -10.5 | SA W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | BKN 113 @ SA 127 | SA -3.5 | SA W |
| Dec 27, 2024-25 | SA 96 @ BKN 87 | BKN +7.5 | SA W |
| Mar 17, 2023-24 | BKN 115 @ SA 122 | SA -1.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nets
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
BOSL 124-125
+12.5
30
vs
DET
DETL 94-110
−7.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
27
@BOS
BOSL 124-125
+25.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−18.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
−42.5
over 3under 3avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs has the better starters
Position by position: Nets 1, Spurs 4, even 0
NetsBetterSpurs
G K. Ellis5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 21
→SABig
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
G N. Traore10.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 1
→SABig
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
F J. Randle20.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 39
→SABig
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
F M. Porter21.2 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 91
←BKNSmall
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
C D. Sharpe8 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 6
→SABig
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
NetsBetterSpurs
BKN offense29th of 30 · -5.5
→SABig
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
BKN defense22nd of 30 · -1.7
→SABig
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
Backcourt-12.0 · 2 players
→SABig
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt+7.8 · 3 players
→SABig
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
Bench-17.9 · 5 players
→SABig
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBKN betterSA betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NetsGuards
K. Ellis24 minN. Traore21 minT. Mann24 minD. Powell21 minB. Saraf21 min
Forwards
J. Randle34 minM. Porter32 minC. Johnson22 minN. Clowney22 minD. Wolf21 minJ. Minott11 min
Centers
D. Sharpe23 minM. Wagner19 min
Out
M. BrownDay-To-DayE. DeminOut
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
BKN108.2 #25SA117.3 #12Points per possession
BKN1.03 #29SA1.12 #10Pace (possessions)
BKN105.1 #10SA104.3 #11Shooting
Effective FG%
BKN50.7 #26SA53.3 #163-point %
BKN35.1 #15SA34.9 #173-point attempt rate
BKN48.0 #3SA39.0 #24Free throw rate
BKN32.9 #6SA24.5 #24Possessions
Turnover rate
BKN18.2 #27SA13.1 #2Offensive rebound rate
BKN25.4 #23SA27.2 #16Assists per game
BKN22.8 #28SA27.5 #9Defense
Points allowed
BKN116.0 #21SA110.2 #12Points allowed per possession
BKN1.11 #18SA1.06 #6Opponent effective FG%
BKN55.3 #23SA52.1 #11Opponent 3-point %
BKN35.8 #19SA37.3 #23Turnovers forced
BKN15.9 #12SA15.7 #14Defensive rebound rate
BKN77.8 #2SA75.8 #7Steals per game
BKN9.0 #14SA9.2 #10Blocks per game
BKN4.7 #17SA7.0 #1| BKN | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.2 #25 | Points per game | 117.3 #12 |
| 1.03 #29 | Points per possession | 1.12 #10 |
| 105.1 #10 | Pace (possessions) | 104.3 #11 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.7 #26 | Effective FG% | 53.3 #16 |
| 35.1 #15 | 3-point % | 34.9 #17 |
| 48.0 #3 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.0 #24 |
| 32.9 #6 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #24 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.2 #27 | Turnover rate | 13.1 #2 |
| 25.4 #23 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.2 #16 |
| 22.8 #28 | Assists per game | 27.5 #9 |
| Defense | ||
| 116.0 #21 | Points allowed | 110.2 #12 |
| 1.11 #18 | Points allowed per possession | 1.06 #6 |
| 55.3 #23 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.1 #11 |
| 35.8 #19 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.3 #23 |
| 15.9 #12 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #14 |
| 77.8 #2 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.8 #7 |
| 9.0 #14 | Steals per game | 9.2 #10 |
| 4.7 #17 | Blocks per game | 7.0 #1 |
Nets
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers98–90
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
A week or more of rest.
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.